Chapter

Fusion Methodologies in Crisis Management

pp 313-340

A Model for Threat Assessment

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Abstract

A concept for characterizing, predicting and recognizing threat situations is developed. The goal is to establish a systematic approach to automation of some of these functions. Approaches are discussed to address the fundamental problems of (a) sparse and ambiguous indicators of potential or actualized threat activity buried in massive background data; and (b) uncertainty in threat capabilities, intent and opportunities.