Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

The Role of Creativity in the Development of Future Intelligent Decision Technologies

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Knowledge, Information and Creativity Support Systems: Recent Trends, Advances and Solutions

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 364))

Abstract

This paper presents a methodological background and selected final results of a foresight project concerning the role of creativity in the development of intelligent decision technologies. Technological trends and scenarios have been generated via a simulation of a hybrid system consisting of discrete-time control and discrete-event components. Both form a complex information society model, which describes the evolution of social, economic and scientific factors relevant to the production and adoption of intelligent technologies. The trends and scenarios derived are then discussed and refined during cooperative expert activities. Specifically, we have investigated the development of intelligent decision technologies, with special attention paid to web-based decision support systems, neurocognitive and autonomous systems, as well as artificial creativity aspects. The overall project is outlined in Sect. 2. In Sect. 3, we will present selected trends related to the development of creative technologies in the context of overall progress in information and communication technologies (ICT) and computer science (CS). The discussion of the future role of creativity in the design and implementation of intelligent systems is based on the results of a Delphi study carried out within the recent foresight project SCETIST.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Log in via an institution
Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Brookhart, S.: Assessing creativity. Educ. Leadersh. 70(5), 28–34 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Daim, T.U., Rueda, G., Martin, H., Gerdsri, P.: Forecasting emerging technologies: use of bibliometrics and patent analysis. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 73, 981–1012 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Gero, J.S.: Future directions for design creativity research. In: Taura, T., Nagai, Y. (eds.) Design Creativity 2010, pp. 15–22. Springer-Verlag, London (2011)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  4. Iba, T.: An autopoietic systems theory for creativity. In: Riopelle, K., Gloor, P., Miller, C., Gluesing, J. (eds.): 1st Collaborative Innovation Networks Conference–COINS’2009. Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences, vol. 2(4), pp. 6610–6625. Elsevier Science BV, Amsterdam (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Lane, D., Pumain, D., van der Leeuw, S.E., West, G. (eds.). Complexity Perspectives in Innovation and Social Change, Springer Science + Business Media B.V. (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Linstone, H.A., Turoff, M. (eds.): The Delphi Method. Techniques and Applications. p. 616 (1975). [Electronic version © Harold A. Linstone, Murray Turoff, 2002]

    Google Scholar 

  7. Pereira, C.F.: Creativity and Artificial Intelligence. A Conceptual Blending Approach. Mouton de Gruyter, Berlin, New York, p. 253 (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Petrick, I.J., Echols, A.E.: Technology roadmapping in review: A tool for making sustainnable new product development decisions. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 71, 81–100 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Plucker, J.A., Makel, M.C.: Assessment of creativity. In: Kaufman, J.C., Sternberg, R.J. (eds.) The Cambridge Handbook of Creativity, pp. 48–73. Cambridge University Press, New York (2010)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  10. Schmidhuber, J.: Developmental robotics, optimal artificial curiosity, creativity, music, and the fine arts. Connect. Sci. 18(2), 173–187 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Simonton, D.K.: Taking the U.S. patent office criteria seriously: a quantitative three-criterion creativity definition and its implications. Creat. Res. J. 24(2–3), 97–106 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: Decision Support Systems Based on Reference Sets. AGH University Scientific Publishers, Monographs No. 40, p.167 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: Framing new member states and candidate countries information society insights. In: Compaño, R., Pascu, C. (eds.) Prospects for a Knowledge-Based Society in the New Members States and Candidate Countries, pp. 9–51. Publishing House of the Romanian Academy, Bucharest (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: Methods of technological roadmapping and foresight (in Polish). Chemik: Nauka-Technika-Rynek 42(5), 197–204 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: Freedom of choice and creativity in multicriteria decision making. In: Theeramunkong, T., Kunifuji, S, Nattee, C., Sornlertlamvanich, V. (eds.) Knowledge, Information, and Creativity Support Systems: KICSS 2010 Revised Selected Papers, Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence, vol. 6746, pp. 190–203. Springer (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: A foresight support system to manage knowledge on information society evolution. In: Aberer K., et al. (eds.) Social Informatics. 4th International Conference, SocInfo 2012, Lausanne, Switzerland, 5–7 Dec 2012, Proceedings. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 7710, pp. 246–259. Springer, Berlin (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: Discovering complex system dynamics with intelligent data retrieval tools. In: Zhang, Y., et al. (eds.) Sino-foreign-interchange Workshop on Intelligent Science and Intelligent Data Engineering IScIDE 2011, Xi’an, China, 23–26 October 2011. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 7202, pp. 614–626. Springer, Berlin (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: Universal intelligence, creativity, and trust in emerging global expert systems. In: Rutkowski L., et al. (eds.) Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing. 12th International Conference, ICAISC 2013, Zakopane, Poland, 9–13 June 2013, Proceedings, Part II. Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence, vol. 7895, pp. 582–592. Springer, Berlin (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: Web-based learning in remote areas: evaluation of learning goals, scenarios and bidirectional satellite internet implementation. In: Wang, J.-F., Lau, R. (eds.) Advances in Web-Based Learning—ICWL 2013, 12th International Conference, Kenting, Taiwan, 6–9 October 2013. Proceedings, Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 8167, pp. 50–60. Springer, Berlin (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: Towards a new insight into technological evolution: the foresight of information society and emerging intelligent technologies. In: Skulimowski, A.M.J. (eds.) Looking into the Future of Creativity and Decision Support Systems: Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Knowledge, Information and Creativity Support Systems, Kraków, Poland, 7–9 November 2013, Advances in Decision Sciences and Future Studies, vol. 2, pp. 599–610. Progress & Business Publishers, Kraków (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Skulimowski, A.M.J.: Anticipatory network models of multicriteria decision-making processes. Int. J. Sys. Sci. 45(1), 39–59 (2014). doi:10.1080/00207721.2012.670308

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  22. Skulimowski, A.M.J. (ed.): Scenarios and Development Trends of Selected Information Society Technologies until 2025 (SCETIST). Final Report, Progress & Business Publishers, Kraków (2013). www.ict.foresight.pl

  23. Skulimowski, A.M.J., Pukocz, P.: Enhancing creativity of strategic decision processes by technological roadmapping and foresight. In: Lee, V.C.S., Ong, K.-L. (eds.) KICSS 2012: Seventh International Conference on Knowledge, Information and Creativity Support Systems: Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, 8–10 November 2012. IEEE Computer Society. CPS Conference Publishing Services, pp. 223–230 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  24. Tadeusiewicz, R.: A need of scientific reflection on the information society development. In: Bliźniuk, G., Nowak, J.S. (eds.) Information Society 2005 (in Polish), pp. 11–38. PTI, Katowice (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Villani, D., Antonietti, A.: Measurement of creativity. In: Carayannis, E.G. (ed.) Encyclopedia of Creativity, Invention, Innovation and Entrepreneurship, pp. 1234–1238. Springer, New York (2013)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  26. Voigt, M., Bergener, K.: Enhancing creativity in groups–proposition of an integrated framework for designing group creativity support systems. In: Proceedings of the 46th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, pp. 225–234. IEEE (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  27. von der Gracht, H.A.: Consensus measurement in Delphi studies: Review and implications for future quality assurance. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 79(8), 1525–1536 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Wong, Ch-Y, Goh, K.-L.: Modeling the behaviour of science and technology: self-propagating growth in the diffusion process. Scientometrics 84(3), 669–686 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgement

The research presented in this paper has been conducted within the foresight project “Scenarios and Development Trends of Selected Information Society Technologies until 2025” (SCETIST) co-financed by the ERDF within the Innovative Economy Operational Programme 2006-2013, Contract No. WND-POIG.01.01.01-00-021/09.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Chair of Automatic Control, Decision Science Laboratory, AGH University of Science and Technology, al. Mickiewicza 30, 30-050, Kraków, Poland

    Andrzej M.J. Skulimowski

  2. International Centre for Decision Sciences and Forecasting, Progress & Business Foundation, Lea 12B, 30-048, Kraków, Poland

    Andrzej M.J. Skulimowski

Authors
  1. Andrzej M.J. Skulimowski
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Andrzej M.J. Skulimowski .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Automatic Control and Biomedical Engineering, AGH University of Science and Technology, Kraków, Poland, and International Centre for Decision Sciences and Forecasting, Kraków, Poland

    Andrzej M.J. Skulimowski

  2. Polish Academy of Sciences, Systems Research Institute, Warszawa, Poland, and AGH University of Science and Technology, Kraków, Poland

    Janusz Kacprzyk

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Skulimowski, A.M. (2016). The Role of Creativity in the Development of Future Intelligent Decision Technologies. In: Skulimowski, A., Kacprzyk, J. (eds) Knowledge, Information and Creativity Support Systems: Recent Trends, Advances and Solutions. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 364. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-19090-7_22

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-19090-7_22

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-19089-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-19090-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Search

Navigation