Abstract
If one glanced at the working paper on the Center for Evidence-Based Corrections website entitled “Development of the California Static Risk Assessment, CSRA,” the most likely reaction a reader might have is a yawn. He or she might think the project was pretty dry and uneventful. Not so. What began as a fast turnaround project, done in collaboration with our client, the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation, morphed into a saga that would try the patience of any researcher.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsNotes
- 1.
- 2.
Willie Horton, a felon serving a life sentence for murder, was released on a weekend furlough program from a Massachusetts prison in 1986. While on the furlough, he escaped and raped a woman. When Michael Dukakis, who was governor in 1986 and who supported the program, ran for president in 1988, his opponent used Willie Horton’s picture in a negative campaign ad. Although the ad itself didn’t cost the election, it damaged his run.
References
Barnoski, R., & Aos, S. (2003). Washington’s offender accountability act: An analysis of the Department of Corrections’ risk assessment. Washington, DC: Washington State Institute for Public Policy.
Brennan, T., Dietterich, W., & Ehret, B. (2009). Evaluating the predictive validity of the COMPAS risk and needs assessment system. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 36(1), 21–40.
California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation (CDCR). (2007). Expert panel on adult offender recidivism reduction programming: Report to the state legislature. Sacramento, CA: California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation.
Grattet, R., Petersilia, J., & Lin, J. (2008). Parole violations and revocations in California. Washington, DC: National Institute of Justice.
Lieu, T. (2011). Non-revocable parole is too dangerous. Los Angeles Times. Op-Ed.
Martin, B., & Van Dine, S. (2008). Examining the impact of Ohio’s progressive sanction grid, Final Report. Washington, DC: National Institute of Justice.
Martin, B., Van Dine, S., & Fialkoff, D. (2009). Ohio’s progressive sanctions grid: Promising findings on the benefits of structured responses. Perspectives, 33, 22–29.
Northpoint. (n.d.). Select COMPAS questions asked by requesting agencies. http://www.northpointeinc.com/files/downloads/FAQ_Document.pdf
Turner, S., Braithwaite, H., Kearney, L., & Hearle, D. (2012). Evaluation of the California parole violation decision-making instrument (PVDMI). Journal of Crime and Justice, 35(2), 269–295.
Turner, S., Hess, J., & Jannetta, J. (2009). Development of the California static risk assessment instrument (CSRA). Working paper, Center for Evidence-Based Corrections, University of California, Irvine. http://ucicorrections.seweb.uci.edu/pubs#reports
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Turner, S. (2015). Predicting Risk: Who Knew It Was Such a Risky Business?. In: Maltz, M., Rice, S. (eds) Envisioning Criminology. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-15868-6_22
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-15868-6_22
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-15867-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-15868-6
eBook Packages: Humanities, Social Sciences and LawSocial Sciences (R0)