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Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification and Propagation in Nonlinear Structural Dynamics

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Book cover Topics in Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 5

Abstract

A Bayesian uncertainty quantification and propagation (UQ&P) framework is presented for identifying nonlinear models of dynamic systems using vibration measurements of their components. The measurements are taken to be either response time histories or frequency response functions of linear and nonlinear components of the system. For such nonlinear models, stochastic simulation algorithms are suitable Bayesian tools to be used for identifying system and uncertainty models as well as perform robust prediction analyses. The UQ&P framework is applied to a small scale experimental model of a vehicle with nonlinear wheel and suspension components. Uncertainty models of the nonlinear wheel and suspension components are identified using the experimentally obtained response spectra for each of the components tested separately. These uncertainties, integrated with uncertainties in the body of the experimental vehicle, are propagated to estimate the uncertainties of output quantities of interest for the combined wheel-suspension-frame system. The computational challenges are outlined and the effectiveness of the Bayesian UQ&P framework on the specific example structure is demonstrated.

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Acknowledgements

This research has been co-financed by the European Union (European Social Fund – ESF) and Greek national funds through the Operational Program “Education and Lifelong Learning” of the National Strategic Reference Framework (NSRF) – Research Funding Program: Heraclitus II. Investing in knowledge society through the European Social Fund.

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Correspondence to Sotirios Natsiavas .

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© 2013 The Society for Experimental Mechanics, Inc.

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Giagopoulos, D., Papadioti, DC., Papadimitriou, C., Natsiavas, S. (2013). Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification and Propagation in Nonlinear Structural Dynamics. In: Simmermacher, T., Cogan, S., Moaveni, B., Papadimitriou, C. (eds) Topics in Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 5. Conference Proceedings of the Society for Experimental Mechanics Series. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-6564-5_4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-6564-5_4

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4614-6563-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4614-6564-5

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