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Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics pp 399–406Cite as

Validation of a Potential-based Evacuation Model of City Residents in Post-earthquake Fire

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Abstract

Evacuation of a large number of residents is conceivable in case of urban fires following a large earthquake in a city. It is essential to implement effective evacuation measures for ensuring residents’ safety in the regional disaster prevention plan. We have been developing a simulation model based on a potential method for the evacuation behaviors of city residents in a post-earthquake fire. The model has been validated by comparing the evacuation behaviors of Tokyo City residents in the Kanto Earthquake Fire, where the distribution of fatalities calculated by this model was qualitatively similar to that reported by the survey of that time. In this paper, the evacuation behaviors of Tokyo City residents in the Kanto Earthquake Fire were simulated for validating the prediction function of this model in terms of the traveling trajectory of an evacuee.

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References

  1. Nishino, T., Tsuburaya, S., Himoto, K., Tanaka, T.: A Study on the Estimation of the Evacuation Behaviors of Tokyo City Residents in the Kanto Earthquake Fire. Proceedings of 9th Symposium. International Association for Fire Safety Science. 453-464 (2008)

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  2. Okada, M., Yoshida, K., Kashiwahara, S., Tsuzi, M.: Human Dynamics of a Building and a City. Kashima (1977) (In Japanese)

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  3. Tanaka, T.: An Introduction to Building Fire Safety Science. The Building Center of Japan. 315-317 (2001) (In Japanese)

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  4. Nakamura, S.: Record of the Kanto Earthquake. Disaster Preventive Research Institute in Japan, pp. 81-134 (1925) (In Japanese)

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Disaster Prevention Research Unit, Kyoto University Gokasyo, Uji, Kyoto, 611-0011, Japan

    T. Nishino, S. Tsuburaya, K. Himoto & T. Tanaka

Authors
  1. T. Nishino
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  2. S. Tsuburaya
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  3. K. Himoto
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  4. T. Tanaka
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to T. Nishino .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Technology, Fire Research Division, National Institute of Standards and, Gaithersburg, 20899-1070, Maryland, USA

    Richard D. Peacock

  2. Technology, Fire Research Division, National Institute of Standards and, Gaithersburg, 20899-1070, Maryland, USA

    Erica D. Kuligowski

  3. Technology, Fire Research Division, National Institute of Standards and, Gaithersburg, 20899-1070, Maryland, USA

    Jason D. Averill

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© 2011 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC

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Cite this paper

Nishino, T., Tsuburaya, S., Himoto, K., Tanaka, T. (2011). Validation of a Potential-based Evacuation Model of City Residents in Post-earthquake Fire. In: Peacock, R., Kuligowski, E., Averill, J. (eds) Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9725-8_36

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9725-8_36

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4419-9724-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4419-9725-8

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

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