Abstract
Deserts rank at the forefront of vulnerability to global change because their biota is expected to encounter large climatic changes while apparently existing at biological limits. We review the available evidence for climate change effects on arid lands, and specifically on vegetation because as primary producers, plants are main providers of ecosystem services. We summarize field experiments and correlative evidence from spatial and temporal climatic gradients. Surprisingly, only few climate manipulation experiments have been conducted in semideserts, none in arid regions, and almost none in cold drylands. We argue that correlative approaches do not yield the necessary knowledge to understand and thus mitigate potential changes due to their oversight of long-term evolutionary processes. Nonetheless, the limited mechanistic evidence suggests a surprisingly high resilience of desert vegetation to changes in precipitation and CO2. We suggest this resilience is due to specific adaptations that have evolved in response to stressful and highly variable climatic conditions.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Bakkenes M, Alkemade JRM, Ihle F, Leemans R, Latour JB (2002) Assessing effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050. Glob Change Biol 8:390–407
Bates JD, Svejcar T, Miller RF, Angell RA (2006) The effects of precipitation timing on sagebrush steppe vegetation. J Arid Environ 64:670–694
Bates BC, Kundzewicz ZW, Wu S, Palutikof, JP (2008) Climate change and water. Technical paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on climate change. Secretariat, IPCC, Geneva
Bazzaz FA (1990) The response of natural ecosystems to the rising CO2 levels. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 21:167–196
Beier C, Beierkuhnlein C, Wohlgemuth T, Peñuelas J, Emmett B, Körner C, de Boeck H, Hesselbjerg Christensen J, Leuziger S, Janssens IA, Hansen K (2012) Precipitation manipulation experiments – challenges and recommendations for the future. Ecol Lett 15:899–911
Bowers JE (2005) Effects of drought on shrub survival and longevity in the northern Sonoran Desert. J Torrey Bot Soc 132:421–431
Bowers JE, Turner RM (2001) Dieback and episodic mortality of Cercidium microphyllum (Foothill Paloverde), a dominant Sonoran Desert tree. J Torrey Bot Soc 128:128–140
Butterfield BJ, Betancourt JL, Turner RM, Briggs JM (2010) Facilitation drives 65 years of vegetation change in the Sonoran Desert. Ecology 91:1132–1139
Browning DM, Dawn M, Duniway MC, Laliberte AS, Rango A (2012) Hierarchical analysis of vegetation dynamics over 71 years: soil-rainfall interactions in a Chihuahuan Desert ecosystem. Ecol Appl 22:909–926
Callaway RM, de Lucia E, Schlesinger WH (2004) Biomass allocation of montane and desert ponderosa tree: an analog for response to climate change. Ecology 75:1474–1481
Cohen D (1966) Optimizing reproduction in a randomly varying environment. J Theor Biol 12:119–129
Cole KL (1990) Reconstruction of past desert vegetation along the Colorado river using packrat middens. Paleogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol 76:349–366
Collins SL, Fargione SE, Crenshaw CL, Nonaka E, Elliott JR, Xia Y, Pockman WT (2010) Rapid plant community responses during the summer monsoon to nighttime warming in a northern Chihuahuan Desert grassland. J Arid Environ 74:611–617
Cowles HC (1899) The ecological relations of the vegetation on the sand dunes of Lake Michigan. Bot Gaz 27:95–117
Cushman JC (2001) Crassulacean acid metabolism: a plastic photosynthetic adaptation to arid environments. Plant Physiol 127:1439–1448
Danin A (1976) Plant species diversity under desert conditions. Oecologia 22:251–259
de la Maza M, Lima M, Meserve PL, Gutiérrez JR, Jaksic FM (2009) Primary production dynamics and climate variability: ecological consequences in semiarid Chile. Glob Change Biol 15:1116–1126
D'Odorico P, Bhattachan A (2012) Hydrologic variability in dryland regions: impacts on ecosystem dynamics and food security. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 367:3145–3157
Dunne JA, Saleska SR, Fischer ML, Harte J (2004) Integrating experimental and gradient methods in ecological climate change research. Ecology 85:904–916
Evans SE, Byrne KM, Lauenroth WK, Burke IC (2011) Defining the limit to resistance in a drought-tolerant grassland: long-term severe drought significantly reduces the dominant species and increases ruderals. J Ecol 99:1500–1507
Etterson JR, Shaw RG (2001) Constraint to adaptive evolution in response to global warming. Science 294:151–154
Ewers FW, North BN, North GB, Noble PS (1992) Root-stem junctions of a desert monocotyledon and a dicotyledon: hydraulic consequences under wet conditions and during drought. New Phytol 121:377–385
Fedoroff NV, Battisti DS, Beachy RN, Cooper PJM, Fischhoff DA, Hodges CN, Knauf VC, Lobell D, Mazur BJ, Molden D, Reynolds MP, Ronald PC, Rosegrant MW, Sanchez PA, Vonshak A, Zhu JK (2010) Radically rethinking agriculture for the 21st century. Science 12:833–834
Fukami T, Wardle DA (2012) Long-term ecological dynamics: reciprocal insights from natural and anthropogenic gradients. Proc Biol Sci 272:2105–2115
Gibson AC (1998) Photosynthetic organs of desert plants. BioScience 48:911–920
Grünzweig JM, Körner C (2000a) Biodiversity effects of elevated CO2 in species-rich model communities from the semi-arid Negev of Israel. Oikos 95:112–124
Grünzweig JM, Körner C (2000b) Growth and reproductive responses to elevated CO2 in wild cereals of the northern Negev of Israel. Glob Change Biol 6:631–638
Grünzweig JM, Körner C (2001) Growth, water and nitrogen relations in grassland model ecosystems of the semi-arid Negev of Israel exposed to elevated CO2. Oecologia 128:251–262
Guisan A, Thuiller W (2005) Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecol Lett 8:993–1009
Hampe A (2004) Bioclimate envelope models: what they detect and what they hide. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 13:469–470
Harpole WS, Potts WS (2007) Ecosystem responses to water and nitrogen amendment in a California grassland. Glob Change Biol 13:2341–2348
Halvorson WL, Patten DT (1974) Seasonal water potential changes in Sonoran Desert shrubs in relation to topography. Ecology 17:173–177
Holzapfel C, Tielbörger K, Parag HA, Kigel J, Sternberg M (2006) Annual plant-shrub interactions along an aridity gradient. Basic Appl Ecol 7:268–279
Huxman TE, Barron-Gafford G, Gerst KL, Angert AL, Tyler AP, Venable DL (2008) Photosynthetic resource-use efficiency and demographic variability in desert winter annual plants. Ecology 89(6):1554–1563
Ibañez I, Clark JS, Dietze MC, Feeley K, Hersh M, Ladeau S, McBride A, Welch NE, Wolosin MS (2006) Predicting biodiversity change: outside the climate envelope, beyond the species-area curve. Ecology 87:1896–1906
International Livestock Research Institute (2006) Mapping climate vulnerability and poverty in Africa. ILRI, Nairobi
IPCC (2007a) Climate change: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (eds) Contribution of Working Group II. Fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p 976
IPCC (2007b) Climate change: synthesis report. In: Pachauri RK, Reisinger A (eds) Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on climate change. Core Writing Team, United Nations, Geneva, p 104
Jump AS, Peñuelas J (2005) Running to stand still: adaptations and the response of plants to rapid climate change. Ecol Lett 8:1010–1020
Kadmon R (1994) Ecology of linear dunes. 2. Differential demographic responses of annual plants to local scale variation in sand stability. Isr J Plant Sci 72:275–284
Kimball S, Angert AL, Huxman TE, Venable DL (2010) Contemporary climate change in the Sonoran Desert favors cold-adapted species. Glob Change Biol 16:1555–1565
Kozlowski TT (1973) Extent and significance of shedding plant parts. In: Kozlowski TT (ed) Shedding of plant parts. Academic, New York, pp 1–44
Knapp AK, Briggs JM, Hartnett DC, Collins SL (1998) Grassland dynamics: long-term ecological research in tallgrass prairie. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Körner C (2003) Limitation and stress – always or never? J Veg Sci 14:141–143
Kraaij T, Milton SJ (2005) Vegetation changes (1995–2004) in semi-arid Karoo shrubland, South Africa: effects of rainfall, wild herbivores and change in land use. J Arid Environ 64:174–192
Lampei C, Tielbörger K (2010) Evolvability of between-year seed dormancy in populations along an aridity gradient. Biol J Linn Soc 100:924–934
Lanner RM, Connor KF (2001) Does bristlecone pine senesce? Exp Gerontol 36:675–685
Lázaro R, Rodrigo FS, Gutiérrez L, Domingo F, Puigdefábregas J (2001) Analysis of a 30-year rainfall record (1967–1997) in semi-arid SE Spain for implications on vegetation. J Arid Environ 48:373–395
Liancourt P, Tielbörger K (2009) Competition and a short growing season lead to ecotypic differentiation at the two extremes of the ecological range. Funct Ecol 23:397–404
Lindenmayer DB, Likens GE, Andersen A, Bowman D, Bull M, Burns E, Dickman CR, Hoffmann AA, Keith DA, Liddell MJ, Lowe AJ, Metcalfe DJ, Phinn SR, Russell-Smith J, Thurgate N, Wardle GM (2012) The value of long-term ecological studies. Austral Ecol 37:745–757
Link SO, Smith JL, Halvorson JJ, Bolton JR (2003) A reciprocal transplant experiment within a climatic gradient in a semiarid shrub-steppe ecosystem: effects on bunchgrass growth and reproduction, soil carbon, and soil nitrogen. Glob Change Biol 9:1097–1105
Lioubimtseva E, Adams JM (2004) Possible implications of increased carbon dioxide levels and climate change for desert ecosystems. Environ Manage 33:S388–S404
Lucas RW, Forseth IN, Casper BB (2008) Using rainout shelters to evaluate climate change effects on the demography of Cryptantha flava. J Ecol 96:514–522
Lüttge U (2004) Ecophysiology of Crassulacean Acid Metabolism (CAM). Ann Bot 93:629–652
Maestre FT, Salguero-Gómez R, Quero JL (2012) It is getting hotter in here: determining and projecting the impacts of global environmental change on drylands. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 367:3062–3075
Maherali H, Williams BL, Paige KN, de Lucia EH (2002) Hydraulic differentiation of Ponderosa pine populations along a climate gradient is not associated with ecotypic divergence. Funct Ecol 16:510–521
Martin LJ, Blossey B, Ellis E (2012) Mapping where ecologists work: biases in the global distribution of terrestrial ecological observations. Front Ecol Environ 10:195–201
Meigs P (1953) World distribution of arid and semi-arid homoclimates. In: Reviews of research on arid zone hydrology. United Nations, Paris, pp 203–209
Melillo JM, McGuire AD, Kicklighter DW, Moore B III, Vörösmarty CJ, Schloss AL (1993) Global climatic change and terrestrial net primary production. Nature 363:234–240
Metz J, Liancourt P, Kigel J, Harel D, Sternberg M, Tielbörger K (2010) Plant survival in relation to seed size along environmental gradients: a long-term study from semi-arid and Mediterranean annual plant communities. J Ecol 98:697–704
Meze-Hausken E (2000) Migration caused by climate change: how vulnerable are people in dryland areas? Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 5:379–406
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being: biodiversity synthesis. World Research Institute, Washington, DC
Milton SJ, Dean WRJ (2000) Disturbance, drought and dynamics of desert dune grassland, South Africa. Plant Ecol 150:37–51
Miranda JD, Armas C, Padilla FM, Pugnaire FI (2011) Climatic change and rainfall patterns: effect on semi-arid plant communities of the Iberian Southeast. J Arid Environ 75:1302–1309
Miranda JD, Padilla FM, Lázaro R, Pugnaire FI (2009a) Do changes in rainfall patterns affect semiarid annual plant communities? J Veg Sci 20:269–276
Miranda JD, Padilla FM, Pugnaire FI (2009b) Response of a Mediterranean semiarid community to changing patterns of water supply. Perspect Plant Ecol Evol Syst 11:255–266
Morgan JA, Milchunas DG, LeCain DR, West M, Mosier AR (2007) Carbon dioxide enrichment alters plant community structure and accelerates shrub growth in the shortgrass steppe. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 104:14724–14729
Morton SR, Stafford Smight DM, Dickman CR, Dunkerley DL, Friedel MH, McAllister RRJ, Reid JRW, Roshier DA, Smith MA, Walsh FJ, Wardle GM, Watson IW, Westoby M (2011) A fresh perspective for the ecology of arid Australia. J Arid Environ 75:313–329
Noy-Meir I (1973) Desert ecosystems: environment and producers. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 4:25–51
Ogle K, Reynolds JF (2004) Plant responses to precipitation in desert ecosystems: integrating functional types, pulses, and delays. Oecologia 141:282–294
Onigkeit J, Twite R (2011) Future management of the Jordan River basin’s water and land resources under climate change – a scenario exercise. CESR, Kassel
OPEC – Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (2010) Annual statistical bulletin 2010/2011. OPEC, Vienna
Parmesan C (2006) Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 37:637–669
Pearson RB, Dawson TP (2003) Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? Glob Ecol Biogeogr 12:361–371
Peterson TA, Ortega-Huerta MA, Bartley J, Sánchez-Cordero V, Soberón J, Buddemeier RH, Stockwell DRB (2002) Future projections for Mexican faunas under global climate change scenarios. Nature 416:626–629
Petrů M, Tielbörger K, Belkin R, Sternberg M (2006) Life history variation of an annual plant under two opposing selective forces along a steep climatic gradient. Ecography 29:66–74
Petrů M, Tielbörger K (2008) Germination strategies of annual plants under changing climatic conditions: teasing apart local and regional effects. Oecologia 155:717–728
Pickett STA (1989) Space-for-time substitution as an alternative to long-term studies. In: Likens GE (ed) Long-term studies in ecology: approaches and alternatives. Springer, New York, pp 110–135
Pierson EA, Turner RM (1998) An 85-year study of saguaro (Carnegiea gigantea) demography. Ecology 79:2676–2693
Rees M (1996) Evolutionary ecology of seed dormancy and seed size. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 351:1299–1308
Reynolds JF, Virginia RA, Kemp PR, de Soyza AG, Tremmel DC (1999) Impact of drought on desert shrubs: effects of seasonality and degree of resource and island development. Ecol Monogr 69:69–106
Reynolds JF, Kemp PR, Ogle K, Fernandez RJ (2004) Modifying the pulse-reserve paradigm for deserts of North America. Oecologia 141:194–210
Reynolds JF, Stafford Smith DM, Lambin EF, Turner BL II, Mortimore M, Batterbury SPJ, Downing TE, Dowlatabadi H, Fernandez RJ, Herrick JE, Huber-Sannwald E, Jiang H, Leemans R, Lynam T, Maestre FT, Ayarza M, Walker B (2007) Global desertification: building a science for dryland development. Science 316:847–851
Reynolds R, Belnap J, Reheis M, Lamothe P, Luiszer F (2001) Aeolian dust in Colorado Plateau soils: nutrient inputs and recent change in source. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 98:7123–7127
Romm J (2011) Desertification: the next dust bowl. Nature 478:450–451
Sala OE, Chapin SF III, Armesto JJ, Berlow E, Bloom J, Dirzo R, Huber-Sannwald E, Huenneke LF, Jackson RB, Kinzig A, Leemans R, Lodge DM, Mooney HA, Oesterheld M, LeRoy PN, Sykes MT, Walker BH, Walker M, Wall DH (2000) Global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100. Science 287:1770–1774
Sala OE, Gherardi LA, Reichmann L, Jobbágy E, Peters D (2012) Legacies of precipitation fluctuations on primary production: theory and data synthesis. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 367:3135–3144
Salguero-Gómez R, Casper BB (2011a) A hydraulic explanation for size-specific plant shrinkage: developmental hydraulic sectoriality. New Phytol 189:229–240
Salguero-Gómez R, Casper BB (2011b) Introducing short roots in a desert perennial: anatomy and spatio-temporal foraging responses to increased precipitation. New Phytol 191:173–183
Salguero-Gómez R, Siewert W, Casper BB, Tielbörger K (2012) A demographic approach to study effects of climate change in desert plants. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 367:3100–3114
Scheiner SM, Rey-Benayas JM (1994) Global patterns of plant diversity. Evol Ecol 8:331–347
Schenk HJ, Espino S, Goedhart CM, Nordenstahl M, Martinez Cabrera HI, Jones CS (2008) Hydraulic integration and shrub growth form linked across continental aridity gradients. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105:11248–11253
Schwinning S, Sala OE, Loik ME, Ehleringer JR (2004) Thresholds, memory, and seasonality: understanding pulse dynamics in arid/semi-arid systems. Oecologia 141:191–193
Smiatek G, Kunstmann H, Heckl A (2011) High-resolution climate change simulations for the Jordan River area. J Geophys Res Atmos 116, D16111
Smith SD, Huxman TE, Zitzer SF, Charlet TN, Housman DC, Coleman JS, Fenstermaker LK, Seeman JR, Nowak RS (2000) Elevated CO2 increases productivity and invasive species success in an arid ecosystem. Nature 408:79–82
Squeo FA, Ehleringer JR, Olivares NC, Arancio G (1994) Variation in leaf level energy balance components of Encelia canescens along a precipitation gradient in north-central Chile. Rev Chil Hist Nat 67:143–155
Sternberg M, Holzapfel C, Tielbörger K, Sarah P, Kigel J, Lavee H, Fleischer A, Jeltsch F, Köchy M (2011) The use and misuse of climatic gradients for evaluating climate impact on dryland ecosystems – an example for the solution of conceptual problems. In: Blanco J, Kheradmand H (eds) Climate change – geophysical foundations and ecological effects. InTech, Rijeka, pp 361–374
Suazo AA, Spencer JE, Engel EC, Abella SR (2012) Responses of native and non-native Mojave Desert winter annuals to soil disturbance and water addition. Biol Invasions 14:215–227
Suttle KB, Thomsen MA, Power ME (2007) Species interactions reverse grassland responses to changing climate. Science 315:640–642
Thomas CD, Cameron A, Green RE, Bakkenes M, Beaumont LJ, Collingham YC, Erasmus BFN, de Siqueira MF, Grainger A, Hannah L, Hughes L, Huntley B, van Jaarsveld AS, Midgley GF, Miles L, Ortega-Huerta MA, Townsend Peterson A, Phillips OL, Williams SE (2004) Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427:145–148
Thornton PK, Jones PG, Owiyo T, Kruska RL, Herrero M, Orindi V, Bhadwal S, Kristjanson P, Notenbaert A, Bekele N, Omolo A (2008) Climate change and poverty in Africa: mapping hotspots of vulnerability. Afr J Agric Res 2:24–44
Thornthwaite CW (1948) An approach to a rational classification of climate. Geogr Rev 38:55–94
Thuiller W (2007) Climate change and the ecologist. Nature 448:550–552
Tielbörger K, Kadmon R (1997) Relationships between shrubs and annual communities in a sandy desert ecosystem: a three-year study. Plant Ecol 130:191–201
Tielbörger K, Kadmon R (2000) Temporal environmental variation tips the balance between facilitation and interference in desert plants. Ecology 81:1544–1553
Tompkins EL, Adger WN (2004) Does adaptive management of natural resources enhance resilience to climate change? Ecol Soc 9:10
Turner RM (1990) Long-term vegetation change of a fully protected Sonoran Desert site. Ecology 71:464–477
Tylianakis JM, Didham RK, Bascompte J, Wardle DA (2008) Global change and species interactions in terrestrial ecosystems. Ecol Lett 11:1351–1363
Vasek EC (1980) Creosote bush: long-lived clones in the Mojave desert. Am J Bot 67:246–255
Venable DL (1985) The evolutionary ecology of seed heteromorphism. Am Nat 126:577–595
Venable DL, Flores-Martinez A, Muller-Landau H, Parron-Gafford G (2008) Seed dispersal of desert annuals. Ecology 89:2218–2227
Venable DL, Pake CE, Caprio AC (1993) Diversity and coexistence of Sonoran Desert winter annuals. Plant Species Biol 8:207–216
Walker MD, Wahren HD, Hollister RD, Henry GHR, Ahlquist LE, Alatalo JM, Bret-Harte MS, Calef MP, Callaghan TV, Carrolla AB, Epstein HE, Jónsdóttir IS, Klein JA, Magnusson B, Molaug U, Oberbauer SF, Rewan SP, Robinson CH, Shaver GR, Suding KN, Thompson CC, Tolvanen A, Totland Ø, Turner PL, Tweedie CE, Webber PJ, Wookey PA (2006) Plant community responses to experimental warming across the tundra biome. Proc Natl Acad Sci 103:1342–1346
Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, Parmesan C, Beebee TJC, Fromentin JM, Hoegh-Guldberg O, Bairlein F (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416:389–395
White RP, Nackoney J (2003) Drylands, people, and ecosystem goods and services: a web-based geospatial analysis. World Research Institute, Washington, DC
Whittaker RH (1975) Communities and ecosystems. Macmillan, New York
Williams JW, Webb T, Richard PH, Newby P (2000) Late quaternary biomes of Canada and the eastern United States. J Biogeogr 27:585–607
van Willert DJ, Eller BM, Werger MJA, Brinckmann E, Ihlenfeldt H-D (1992) Life strategies of succulents in deserts: with special reference to the Namib desert. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Yoder CK, Vivin P, Defalco LA, Seeman JR, Nowak RS (2000) Root growth and function of three Mojave Desert grasses in response to elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations. New Phytol 145:245–256
Acknowledgements
The authors are indebted to J. Metz for providing unpublished data on plant diversity along an aridity gradient in Israel. K.T. acknowledges support from the GLOWA Jordan River project, funded by the German Ministry of Science and Education (BMBF), as well as additional funding by the German Research Foundation (DFG; TI338_11-1, and TI338_12-1). R.S.-G acknowledges support from the Evolutionary Biodemography Laboratory of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2014 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Tielbörger, K., Salguero-Gómez, R. (2014). Some Like It Hot: Are Desert Plants Indifferent to Climate Change?. In: Lüttge, U., Beyschlag, W., Cushman, J. (eds) Progress in Botany. Progress in Botany, vol 75. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38797-5_12
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38797-5_12
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-38796-8
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-38797-5
eBook Packages: Biomedical and Life SciencesBiomedical and Life Sciences (R0)