Reasoning with Vague Probability Assessments

* Final gross prices may vary according to local VAT.

Get Access


In this lecture, I expound and comment on a model, or even more ambitiously, a theory, for representing, and drawing inferences from, vague probability assessments. The details of this theory have been published in two papers, the first [3] dealing with its behavioural underpinnings, and the second [1, 2] with its deeper mathematical aspects.