Skip to main content

Time Series Prediction Method Based on LS-SVR with Modified Gaussian RBF

  • Conference paper
Neural Information Processing (ICONIP 2012)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 7664))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

LS-SVR is widely used in time series prediction. For LS-SVR, the selection of appropriate kernel function is a key issue, which has a great impact with the prediction accuracy. Compared with some other feasible kernel functions, Gaussian RBF is always selected as kernel function due to its good features. As a distance functions-based kernel function, Gaussian RBF also has some drawbacks. In this paper, we modified the standard Gaussian RBF to satisfy the two requirements of distance functions-based kernel functions which are fast damping at the place adjacent to the test point and keeping a moderate damping at infinity. The simulation results indicate preliminarily that the modified Gaussian RBF has better performance and can improve the prediction accuracy with LS-SVR.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Müller, K.-R., Smola, A.J., Rätsch, G., Schölkopf, B., Kohlmorgen, J., Vapnik, V.: Predicting Time Series with Support Vector Machines. In: Gerstner, W., Hasler, M., Germond, A., Nicoud, J.-D. (eds.) ICANN 1997. LNCS, vol. 1327, pp. 999–1004. Springer, Heidelberg (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Tay, F.E.H., Cao, L.: Application of Support Vector Machines in Financial Time Series Forcasting. Omega 29, 309–317 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Zhang, J.F., Hu, S.S.: Chaotic Time Series Prediction Based on Multi-kernel Learning Support Vector Regression. ACTA Phys. Sinica (Chin. Phys.) 57, 2708–2713 (2008)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. Guo, Y.M., Zhai, Z.J., Jiang, H.M.: Weighted Prediction of Multi-parameter Chaotic Time Series Using Least Squares Support Vector Regression (LS-SVR). J. Northwestern Polytechnical University 27, 83–86 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Zhang, X.R., Hu, L.Y., Wang, Z.S.: Multiple Kernel Support Vector Regression for Economic Forecasting. In: 2010 International Conference on Management Science and Engineering (17th), Melbourne, pp. 129–134 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Qi, M., Zhang, G.P.: Trend Time Series Modeling and Forecasting with Neural Networks. IEEE Trans. Neural Networks 19, 808–816 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Xi, J.H.: Study on Long-term Prediction Technology of Chaotic Time Series. Ph. D. Thesis of Dalian University of Technology (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Vapnik, V.: Theory of Statistical Learning. In: Haykin, S. (ed.), pp. 375–563. A Wiley-Interscience Publication, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Suykens, J.A.K., Branbanter, J.K., Lukas, L., et al.: Weighted Least Squares Support Vector Machines: Robustness and Spare Approximation. Neurocomput. 48, 85–105 (2002)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. Zhang, Y.: Enhanced Statistical Analysis of Nonlinear Process Using KPCA, KICA and SVM. Chem. Eng. Sci. 64, 801–811 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Xie, J.H.: LS-SVM Method Applied to Detect Damage for Piezoelectric Smart Structures. Sens. Actuat. 20, 164–167 (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Xie, J.H.: Kernel optimization of LS-SVM Based on Damage Detection for Smart Structures. In: 2nd IEEE International Conference on Computer Science and Information Technology, Beijing, pp. 4244–4519 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Yang, L., Zhang, L., Zhang, S.X., Liu, J.W.: Comparison Research of Single Kernel and Multi-kernel Relevance Vector Machine. Comput. Engineer. 36, 195–197 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Remaki, L., Cheriet, M.: KCS-New Kernel Family with Compact Support in Scale Space: Formulation and Impact. IEEE Trans. Image Process. 9, 970–981 (2009)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  15. Huang, X.: The Study on Kernels in Support Vector Machine. Master degree thesis of Suzhou University (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Ye, M.Y., Wang, X.D., Zhang, H.R.: Chaotic Time Series Forecasting Using Online Least Squares Support Vector Machine Regression. ACTA Phys. Sinica 54, 2568–2573 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Guo, Y., Li, X., Bai, G., Ma, J. (2012). Time Series Prediction Method Based on LS-SVR with Modified Gaussian RBF. In: Huang, T., Zeng, Z., Li, C., Leung, C.S. (eds) Neural Information Processing. ICONIP 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7664. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34481-7_2

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34481-7_2

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-34480-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-34481-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics