I taught a course called “Are We Alone?” at the University of New South Wales for a few years. The most popular lecture was “The Great Drake Equation Debate” — half a dozen “experts” would sit at the front of the crowded lecture theater defending their estimates for the various terms in the Drake Equation (an equation created by Frank Drake to estimate the number of civilizations in the Milky Way with whom we might communicate via radio telescopes). The first terms of the equation are astronomical. How many stars are in our galaxy? — most experts agreed — about 300 billion. What fraction of those stars are orbited by “Earth-like” planets? — estimates ranged from ∼100% to ∼ 0.1% depending roughly proportionally on how specific “Earth-like” was interpreted to be. Then came the more contentious biological terms: What fraction of these Earth-like planets would harbor life? I defended a relatively high probability (∼10%) based on how rapidly biogenesis occurred on Earth (Lineweaver and Davis, 2002). We argued back and forth about how probable or improbable the steps of molecular evolution were, that led to life on Earth — and whether there were places on Earth where life could still be emerging. We all learned a lot about biochemistry, autocatalytic cycles and hydrothermal vents. However, the most contentious term was: Once there is life of any kind, what is the probability that it will evolve into a human-like intelligence that can build and operate radio telescopes? (We define intelligence this way not out of some geeky technophilic perversity but because posed this way, we have the ability to answer the question by searching for other telescopes with our telescopes. So far, no signals from intelligent aliens have been identified, Tarter, 2001.)
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Benton, M., Cook, E., Hooker, J.J. (2005). Mesozoic and Tertiary Fossil Mammals and Birds of Great Britain, Geological Conservation Review Series, No. 32, Joint Nature Conservation Committee, Peterborough
Conway-Morris, S. (2003). Life’s Solution: Inevitable Humans in a Lonely Universe, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Conway-Morris, S. (2005). Extraterrestrial Aliens Like Us? Astronomy & Geophysics 46 (4 August), 24–26
Dawkins, R. (2005). The Ancestor’s Tale: A Pilgrimage to the Dawn of Life, Weidenfeld & Nicolson, London
Dollo, L. (1893). Les Lois de l’evolution. Bulletin de la Socie ‘te’ Beige de Ge’ologie, de pale’ontologie, et de Hydrologie 7, 164–166
Drake, F. (2006). On-line Debate Astrobiology Magazine, http://www.astrobio.net/news/article239.html
Gatland, K.W., Dempster, D.D. (1957). The Inhabited Universe: An Enquiry Staged on the Frontiers of Knowledge, McKay, New York
Gould, S.J. (1970). Dollo on Dollo’s Law: Irreversibility and the Status of Evolutionary Laws, Journal of the History of Biology 3(2) (September), 189–212
Gould, S.J. (1989). The Iconography of an Expectation. Wonderful Life, W.W. Norton, New York, pp. 23–52.
Hedges, S.B. Blair, J.E., Venturi, M.L., Shoe, J.L. (2004). A Molecular Timescale of Eukaryote Evolution and the Rise of Complex Multicellular Life, BMC Evolutionary Biology 4(2)
Jerison, H.J. (1955). Brain to body ratios and the evolution of intelligence, Science 121, 447–449
Jerison, Harry. (1973). Evolution of the Brain and Intelligence, Academic, New York
Jerison, H.J. (1991). Brain Size and the Evolution of Mind, American Museum of Natural History, New York
Jerison, H.J. (1976). (see Fig. 17) Paleoneurology and the Evolution of Mind, Scientific American 234(1), 90–100 (plot on page 96)
Kirschner, M.W. and Gerhart, J.C. (2005) The Plausibility of Life: Resolving Darwin’s Dilemma, Yale University Press, New Haven, CT
Lineweaver, C.H. (2005). Book Review of Ulmschneider (2003) Intelligent Life in the Universe: From Common Origins to the Future of Humanity, Astrobiology 5(5), 658–661
Lineweaver, C.H., Davis, T.M. (2002). Does the Rapid Appearance of Life on Earth Suggest that Life Is Common in the Universe? Astrobiology 2(3), 293–304
Lineweaver, C.H., Schwartzman, D. (2004). Cosmic Thermobiology: Thermal Constraints on the Origin and Evolution of Life in the Universe. In: J. Seckbach (ed.) Origins: Genesis, Evolution and Diversity of Life. Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp. 233–248; also available on-line at astro-ph/0305214
Manzanares, M., Nieto, M.A. (2003). A Celebration of the New Head and an Evaluation of the New Mouth. Neuron 37, 895–898 (March 27)
Marino, L., McShea, D.W., Uhen, M.D. (2004). Origin and Evolution of Large Brains in Toothed Whales, The Anatomical Record Part A 281 A, 1247–1255
Mayr, E. (1995a). Can SETI Succeed? Not Likely, Bioastronomy News 7(3); Available online at: http://www.planetary.org/html/UPDATES/seti/Contact/debate/Mayr.htm
Mayr, E. (1995b). The SETI debate Ernst Mayr reponds. http://www.planetary.org/html/UPDATES/seti/Contact/debate/Mayr2.htm
Pace, N.R. (1997). A Molecular View of Microbial Diversity and the Biosphere, Science 276: 734–740.
Poulakakis, N., Theodorou, G.E., Zouros, E., Mylonas, M. (2002). Molecular Phylogeny of the Extinct Pleistocene Dwarf Elephant Palaeoloxodon antiquus falconeri from Tilos Island, Dodekanisa, Greece, Molecular Evolution 55, 364–374.
Sagan, C. (1995a). The abundance of life-bearing planets, Bioastronomy News 7(4). Available online at: http://www.planetary.org/html/UPDATES/seti/Contact/debate/Sagan.htm
Sagan, C. (1995b). Carl Sagan responds http://www.planetary.org/html/UPDATES/seti/Contact/debate/Sagan2.htm
Simpson, G.G. (1964). The Nonprevalence of Humanoids, Science 143, 769–775
Smith, J.M and Szathmary, E. (1995). The Major Transitions in Evolution, W.H. Freeman, Oxford
Tarter, J. (2001) The Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI), Annual Reviews of Astronomy and Astrophysics 39, 511–548
Ulmschneider, P. (2003). Intelligent Life in the Universe: From Common Origins to the Future of Humanity, Springer, Berlin
Wada, H. (2001). Origin and Evolution of the Neural Crest: A Hypothetical Reconstruction of Its Evolutionary History Development, Growth and Differentiation 43(5), 509–520
West-Eberhard, M.J. (1989). Phenotypic Plasticity and the Origin of Diversity, Ann. Rev. of Ecology and Systematics, 20, 249–278
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2009 Springer Science + Business Media B.V
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Lineweaver, C.H. (2009). Paleontological Tests: Human-Like Intelligence Is Not a Convergent Feature of Evolution. In: Seckbach, J., Walsh, M. (eds) From Fossils to Astrobiology. Cellular Origin, Life in Extreme Habitats and Astrobiology, vol 12. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-8837-7_17
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-8837-7_17
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-1-4020-8836-0
Online ISBN: 978-1-4020-8837-7
eBook Packages: Physics and AstronomyPhysics and Astronomy (R0)