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How Well Understood Are the Processes that Create Dendroclimatic Records? A Mechanistic Model of the Climatic Control on Conifer Tree-Ring Growth Dynamics

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Book cover Dendroclimatology

Part of the book series: Developments in Paleoenvironmental Research ((DPER,volume 11))

Abstract

We develop an observational and conceptual basis for modeling conifer cambial processes as a direct but nonlinear and multivariate response to external environmental conditions. The model, here termed Vaganov–Shashkin (VS), reproduces the critical features linking climate variability to tree-ring proxy formation. We discuss recent test simulations of tree-ring width data from a variety of sites and spatiotemporal scales. Our experiments demonstrate that the model skillfully reproduces observed patterns of tree-ring growth across a range of environments, species, and scales. Model performance is found to be robust to parameter estimation. We discuss present and future applications of the VS model, including exploration of the biological basis of emergent phenomena and prediction of the influence of climate change on conifer tree growth dynamics.

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Acknowledgements

KJA was supported by a graduate training fellowship from the NSF IGERT Program (DGE-0221594) and a Graduate Research Environmental Fellowship (to KJA) from the US Department of Energy.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Rectorate, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia

    Eugene A. Vaganov

  2. Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA

    Kevin J. Anchukaitis & Michael N. Evans

  3. Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, 10964, USA

    Kevin J. Anchukaitis

  4. Department of Geology and Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, The University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA

    Michael N. Evans

Authors
  1. Eugene A. Vaganov
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  2. Kevin J. Anchukaitis
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  3. Michael N. Evans
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Eugene A. Vaganov .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, 85721, Arizona, USA

    Malcolm K. Hughes

  2. , Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, 85721, Arizona, USA

    Thomas W. Swetnam

  3. , CIRES, University Colorado, Broadway 325, Boulder, 80305-3328, Colorado, USA

    Henry F. Diaz

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Vaganov, E.A., Anchukaitis, K.J., Evans, M.N. (2011). How Well Understood Are the Processes that Create Dendroclimatic Records? A Mechanistic Model of the Climatic Control on Conifer Tree-Ring Growth Dynamics. In: Hughes, M., Swetnam, T., Diaz, H. (eds) Dendroclimatology. Developments in Paleoenvironmental Research, vol 11. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-5725-0_3

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