Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View

Authors:

ISBN: 978-90-481-8896-3 (Print) 978-90-481-8897-0 (Online)

Table of contents (12 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xxiii

  2. Introduction

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

    2. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 3-13

      Introduction and Background

    3. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 15-34

      Preliminaries

  3. Explaining and Forecasting Migration

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 35-35

    2. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 37-51

      Explaining Migration: Brief Overview of Selected Theories

    3. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 53-87

      Forecasting Migration: Selected Models and Methods

  4. Examples of Bayesian Migration Predictions

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 89-89

    2. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 91-116

      Bayesian Model Selection and Forecast Averaging

    3. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 117-136

      Bayesian VAR Modelling ‘from General to Specific’

    4. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 137-152

      Selected Approaches to Discontinuities in Trends

    5. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 153-173

      Evaluation of Presented Forecasts of European Migration

    6. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 175-196

      Bayesian Computing in Practice

  5. Perspectives of Forecast Makers and Users

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 197-197

    2. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 199-216

      Extensions and Limitations of Migration Forecasts

    3. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 217-234

      Dealing with Uncertain Forecasts: A Policy Perspective

  6. Conclusion

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 235-235

    2. No Access

      Book Chapter

      Pages 237-250

      Summary and Conclusion: Beyond Migration Forecasting

  7. Back Matter

    Pages 251-308