Book Volume 83 1989

Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to AIDS Epidemiology


ISBN: 978-3-540-52174-7 (Print) 978-3-642-93454-4 (Online)

Table of contents (19 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-IX

  2. Introduction

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

    2. Chapter

      Pages 2-35

      Statistical and Mathematical Approaches in HIV/AIDS Modeling: A Review

  3. Statistical Methodology and Forecasting

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 37-37

    2. Chapter

      Pages 38-57

      Epidemic Models, Empirical Studies, and Uncertainty

    3. Chapter

      Pages 58-88

      Predicting AIDS Incidence by Extrapolating from Recent Trends

  4. Infectivity and the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 89-89

    2. Chapter

      Pages 90-110

      Measuring HIV Infectivity

    3. Chapter

      Pages 111-137

      The Stages of HIV Infection: Waiting Times and Infection Transmission Probabilities

    4. Chapter

      Pages 138-156

      Modeling Heterogeneity in Susceptibility and Infectivity for HIV Infection

    5. Chapter

      Pages 157-176

      On the Role of Variable Infectivity in the Dynamics of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus Epidemic

  5. Heterogeneity and HIV Transmission Dynamics

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 177-177

    2. Chapter

      Pages 178-199

      Assessment of the Risk of HIV Spread Via Non-Steady Heterosexual Partners in the U.S. Population

    3. Chapter

      Pages 200-217

      On the Role of Long Incubation Periods in the Dynamics of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS). Part 2: Multiple Group Models

    4. Chapter

      Pages 218-239

      Nonrandom Mixing Models of HIV Transmission

  6. Social Dynamics and AIDS

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 241-241

    2. Chapter

      Pages 242-259

      The Structure and Context of Social Interactions and the Spread of HIV

    3. Chapter

      Pages 260-274

      Pair Formation in Sexually-Transmitted Diseases

    4. Chapter

      Pages 275-288

      Mixing Framework for Social/Sexual Behavior

    5. Chapter

      Pages 289-300

      Interaction, Pair Formation and Force of Infection Terms in Sexually Transmitted Diseases

    6. Chapter

      Pages 301-315

      Structured Mixing: Heterogeneous Mixing by the Definition of Activity Groups

    7. Chapter

      Pages 316-348

      Selective Contact within Structured Mixing with an Application to HIV Transmission Risk from Oral and Anal Sex

  7. The Immune System and the HIV

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 349-349

    2. Chapter

      Pages 350-370

      Modeling the Interaction of the Immune System with HIV

    3. Chapter

      Pages 371-385

      Modeling the Interaction of HIV with Cells of the Immune System

    4. Chapter

      Pages 386-405

      When HIV Meets the Immune System: Network Theory, Alloimmunity, Autoimmunity, and AIDS

  8. Back Matter

    Pages 409-412