Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries

Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective

ISBN: 978-0-7923-6833-5 (Print) 978-0-306-47562-7 (Online)

Table of contents (12 chapters)

  1. Introduction

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 1-32

      A Review of Demographic Forecasting Models for Mortality

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 33-56

      A Review of Epidemiological Approaches to Forecasting Mortality and Morbidity

  2. Theoretical Perspectives on Forecasting Mortality

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 59-82

      A Regression Model of Mortality, with Application to the Netherlands

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 83-103

      Forecasting Mortality from Regression Models: The Case of the Netherlands

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 105-126

      Gompertz in Context: The Gompertz and Related Distributions

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 127-155

      Comparing Theoretical Age Patterns of Mortality Beyond the Age of 80

  3. From Theory to Practice

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 159-187

      Predicting Mortality from Period, Cohort or Cause-specific Trends: A Study of Four European Countries

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 189-204

      Incorporating Risk Factor Epidemiology in Mortality Projections

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 205-226

      Projecting Mortality in Population Forecasts in the Netherlands

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 227-258

      The Latest Mortality Forecasts in the European Union

  4. Issues for the Future: More Consistency and Transparency

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 261-280

      Mortality Models Incorporating Theoretical Concepts of Ageing

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      Book Chapter

      Pages 281-303

      Towards an Integration of the Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspectives in Forecasting Mortality