Abstract
We consider a dependent compound renewal risk model, where the interarrival times of accidents and the claim numbers follow a dependence structure characterized by a conditional tail probability and the claim sizes have a pairwise negatively quadrant dependence structure or a related dependence structure with the upper tail asymptotical dependence structure. When the distributions of the claim sizes belong to the dominated variation distribution class, we give the asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the precise large deviations of the aggregate claims.
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1 Introduction
Consider the compound renewal risk model where the claim sizes \(\{X_{ij},j\geq 1\}\) caused by the ith (\(i\geq 1\)) accident form a sequence of nonnegative random variables (r.v.s) with finite mean. The interarrival times of the accidents \(\{\theta _{i},i\geq 1\}\) are positive independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) r.v.s with finite mean \(\lambda ^{-1}\). Then the renewal counting process is
with a mean function \(\lambda (t)=EN(t)\), \(t\geq 0\), such that \(\lambda (t)/\lambda t\to 1\) as \(t\to \infty \). Let \(\{Y_{i},i\geq 1 \}\) be the claim numbers caused by the successive accidents, which are a sequence of i.i.d. positive integer-valued r.v.s with finite mean ν. We assume that the r.v.s \(\{Y_{i},i\geq 1\}\) are bounded, that is, there exists a finite integer number \(h>0\) such that \(Y_{i}\leq h\), \(i\geq 1\). Thus the aggregate claims accumulated up to time \(t\geq 0\) are expressed as
In this paper, we investigate the precise large deviations for the random sums \(S(t)\).
Throughout this paper, all limit relationships hold as \(t\to \infty \) unless stated otherwise. For two positive functions \(a(x)\) and \(b(x)\), we write \(a(x)\lesssim b(x)\) if \(\limsup_{x\to \infty } a(x)/b(x) \leq 1\), \(a(x)\gtrsim b(x)\) if \(\liminf_{x\to \infty } a(x)/b(x) \geq 1\), \(a(x)\sim b(x)\) if both \(a(x)\lesssim b(x)\) and \(a(x)\gtrsim b(x)\), and \(a(x)=o(b(x))\) if \(\lim_{x\to \infty } a(x)/b(x)=0\). For a real number y, its integer part is denoted by \(\lfloor y\rfloor \), and \(\mathbf{1}_{B}\) denotes the indicator function of an event B.
1.1 Heavy-tailed distribution classes
In this subsection, we introduce some related heavy-tailed distribution classes. For a proper distribution V on \((-\infty , \infty )\), let \(\overline{V}=1-V\) be its (right) tail. A distribution V on \((-\infty , \infty )\) is said to be heavy-tailed if
that is, if V has no any positive exponential moment. Otherwise, V is said to be light-tailed.
The dominated variation distribution class is an important class of heavy-tailed distributions, denoted by \(\mathscr{D}\). A distribution V on \((-\infty , \infty )\) belongs to the class \(\mathscr{D}\) if for any \(y\in (0,1)\),
A slightly smaller class is the consistent variation distribution class, denoted by \(\mathscr{C}\). A distribution V on \((-\infty , \infty )\) belongs to the class \(\mathscr{C}\) if
Another related distribution class is the long-tailed distribution class, denoted by \(\mathscr{L}\). A distribution V on \((-\infty , \infty )\) belongs to the class \(\mathscr{L}\) if for any \(y>0\),
A special distribution class is called the extended regularly varying tailed distribution class, denoted by ERV. A distribution V on \((-\infty , \infty )\) belongs to the class \(\mathit{ERV}(- \alpha ,-\beta )\) for \(0\leq \alpha \leq \beta <\infty \) if for any \(y>1\),
It is well known that the following relationships hold:
See, for example, Embrechts et al. [9], Foss et al. [10], and Denisov et al. [7]. For a distribution V on \((-\infty , \infty )\), denote its upper Matuszewska index by
Another important parameter \(L_{V}\) is defined by
From Chap. 2.1 of Bingham et al. [2] we get the following equivalent statements:
1.2 Dependence structures
In the studies of dependent risk models, many works consider a general dependence structure, namely upper tail asymptotically independent (UTAI).
Definition 1.1
We say that r.v.s \(\{\xi _{i},i\geq 1\}\) are upper tail asymptotically independent (UTAI) if for all \(i\ne j\geq 1\),
The UTAI structure was proposed by Geluk and Tang [12] when they investigated the asymptotics of the tail of sums with dependent increments. There are some papers investigating the UTAI structure, such as Asimit et al. [1], Liu et al. [22], Gao and Liu [11], Li [20], and so on. In this paper, we consider a related dependence structure with the UTAI structure, which was introduced by He et al. [14] as follows:
Another dependence structure is the widely (upper/lower) orthant dependent (WUOD/ WLOD) r.v.s, which was introduced by Wang et al. [29] when they investigated a dependent risk model.
Definition 1.2
For the r.v.s \(\{\xi _{i}, i\geq 1\}\), if there exists a sequence of positive numbers \(\{g_{U}(m), m\geq 1\}\) satisfying
for each integer \(m\geq 1\) and all \(x_{i}\in (-\infty ,\infty )\), \(1\leq i\leq m\), then we say that the r.v.s \(\{\xi _{i}, i\geq 1\}\) are widely upper orthant dependent (WUOD) with dominating coefficients \(g_{U}(m)\), \(m\geq 1\); if there exists a sequence of positive numbers \(\{g_{L}(m), m\geq 1\}\) satisfying
for each integer \(m\geq 1\) and all \(x_{i}\in (-\infty ,\infty )\), \(1\leq i\leq m\), then we say that the r.v.s \(\{\xi _{i}, i\geq 1\}\) are widely lower orthant dependent (WLOD) with dominating coefficients \(g_{L}(m)\), \(m\geq 1\); and if they are both WUOD and WLOD, then we say that the r.v.s \(\{\xi _{i}, i\geq 1\}\) are widely orthant dependent (WOD).
Obviously, if r.v.s \(\{X_{i},i\geq 1\}\) are WUOD or satisfy relation (1.2), then r.v.s \(\{X_{i},i\geq 1\}\) are following the UTAI structure. In addition, Liu et al. [22] noted that there exist random variables that are UTAI but do not satisfy WUOD structure; see Example 3.1 of Liu et al. [22]. He et al. [14] pointed out that if \(\{X_{i},i\geq 1 \}\) are identically distributed and WUOD random variables with finite means, then \(\{X_{i},i\geq 1\}\) satisfy (1.2).
In this paper, when investigating the asymptotic upper bound of the precise large deviations of the aggregate claims, we also consider the claim sizes that have a pairwise negatively quadrant dependence structure. This structure is stronger than the upper tail asymptotically independence structure.
Definition 1.3
We say that r.v.s \(\{\xi _{i},i\geq 1\}\) are pairwise negatively quadrant dependent (pairwise NQD) if for all real numbers x and y,
The negatively quadrant dependence structure was introduced by Lehmann [19]. Many researchers have studied the negatively quadrant dependence structure, such as Ebrahimi and Ghosh [8], Block et al. [3], Chen and Ng [4], Yang et al. [32], and so on.
For the dependence structure between the interarrival times of accidents and the claim numbers, Liu et al. [21] adopted a general dependence structure via the conditional tail probability of the accident interarrival time given the claim number caused by the subsequent accidents being fixed, which was based on Chen and Yuen [5]. In the following, we briefly restate the definition of the above dependence structure between the interarrival times of accidents and the claim numbers and some other related quantities.
Assume that \(\{(\theta _{i}, Y_{i}),i\geq 1\}\) are i.i.d. We denote by \((\theta , Y)\) the generic r.v. of \(\{(\theta _{i}, Y_{i}),i\geq 1\}\) and assume that θ and Y are such that for all \(t\in [0, \infty )\) and any \(1\leq k\leq h\),
where \(\theta ^{*}\) is a nonnegative r.v. independent of other sources of randomness.
Let \(\theta _{1}^{*}\) be a positive r.v. independent of all sources of randomness and such that for all \(t\in [0,\infty )\) and r any \(1\leq k\leq h\), \(P(\theta _{1}^{*}>t)=P(\theta _{1}>t|Y_{1}=k)\). Denote \(\tau _{1}^{*}=\theta _{1}^{*}\), \(\tau _{n}^{*}=\theta _{1}^{*}+\sum_{i=2} ^{n}\theta _{i}\), \(n\geq 2\), which constitute the delayed renewal counting process
Then, for all integer \(n\geq 1\) and \(1\leq k\leq h\),
1.3 Motivation and main results
It is well known that for the standard renewal risk model, when the claims sizes and interarrival times are all i.i.d. r.v.s, the precise large deviations for the aggregate claims and the ruin probability have been widely studied; see Klüppelberg and Stadtmüller [15], Tang [25], Wang [28], and Hao and Tang [13], among others. Actually, the independence assumption does not apply to most practical problems. Based on this situation, many researchers started to pay their attention to the risk model with dependent assumptions; we refer to Chen and Ng [4], Konstantinides and Loukissas [18], Wang et al. [29], Peng and Wang [23], Peng and Wang [24], Yang et al. [33], and some others.
There are many works investigating the compound renewal risk model. When the claim sizes are i.i.d. r.v.s with common distribution F, Tang et al. [26] investigated the large deviations for the aggregate claims with \(F\in \mathit{ERV}\); Konstantinides and Loukissas [17] also considered the i.i.d. claim sizes and extended the results of Tang et al. [26] from \(F\in \mathit{ERV}\) to \(F\in \mathscr{C}\); Zong [34] established an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability of compound renewal risk model in which claims sizes and interarrival times are all identically distributed but negatively dependent; Chen et al. [6] considered the claim sizes that are a sequence of negatively dependent heavy-tailed r.v.s with common distribution \(F\in \mathscr{C}\); Yang and Wang [31] investigated the precise large deviations for dependent random variables and assumed that the claim sizes are extended negatively dependent r.v.s with common distribution \(F\in \mathscr{D}\).
In the researches mentioned, the assumption of independence oft the interarrival times of the accidents and the corresponding claim numbers was always used. Recently, Liu et al. [21] considered the dependent case (1.3) between the interarrival times of the accidents and the corresponding claim numbers. They investigated the case where \(\{X_{ij}, i\geq 1, j\geq 1\}\) are nonnegative r.v.s with common distribution F, \(\{\theta _{i}, i \geq 1\}\) and \(\{Y_{i}, i\geq 1\}\) are all i.i.d. r.v.s, but for every \(i\geq 1\), \(\theta _{i}\) and \(Y_{i}\) follow the dependence structure (1.3). Liu et al. [21] obtained the asymptotic lower bound of the precise large deviations of the aggregate claims when \(F\in \mathscr{L}\cap \mathscr{D}\) and \(\{X_{ij},i\geq 1,j\geq 1\}\) satisfy the dependence structure (1.2). Strengthening the condition to that \(F\in \mathscr{C}\) and \(\{X_{ij},i\geq 1,j\geq 1\}\) are WUOD r.v.s with \(EX_{1}^{\beta }<\infty \) for some \(\beta >1\), they derived the asymptotic upper bound of the precise large deviations of the aggregate claims.
In this paper, we still consider the dependent case (1.3) between the interarrival times of the accidents and the corresponding claim numbers and investigate the precise large deviations of the aggregate claims (1.1). We mainly study the case where the claim sizes caused by the different accidents are dependent and have different distributions belonging to the dominated variation distribution class. To proceed, we impose the following assumptions.
Assumption 1.1
All the claim sizes \(\{X_{ij},j\geq 1,i\geq 1\}\) are nonnegative r.v.s satisfying relation (1.2), that is, for any \(\alpha >0\),
and
For each \(i\geq 1\), \(\{X_{ij},j\geq 1\}\) are identically distributed r.v.s with common distribution \(F_{i}\).
Assumption 1.2
The interarrival times of the accidents \(\{\theta _{i},i\geq 1\}\) are positive r.v.s with finite mean \(\lambda ^{-1}\); the claim numbers \(\{Y_{i},i\geq 1\}\) are a sequence of positive integer-valued r.v.s with finite mean ν; \(\{(\theta _{i}, Y_{i}), i\geq 1\}\) is a sequence of i.i.d. r.v.s with generic r.v. \((\theta , Y)\) satisfying the dependence structure (1.3). In addition, \(\{X_{ij},i\geq 1,j\geq 1\}\) are independent of \(\{\theta _{i},i\geq 1\}\) and \(\{Y_{i},i\geq 1\}\).
Firstly, we investigate the asymptotic lower bound of the precise large deviations for the aggregate claims. For this case, we will use the following assumption on the distributions \(F_{i}\), \(i\geq 1\).
Assumption 1.3
There exists a distribution F such that the distributions \(F_{i}\), \(i\geq 1\), satisfy the relation
From Assumption 1.3 we know that if \(F_{i}\in \mathscr{D}\), \(i\geq 1\), then \(F\in \mathscr{D}\), and for any \(y>1\) and \(i\geq 1\),
Therefore we have that \(J_{F}^{+}=J_{F_{i}}^{+}\) and \(\frac{M_{L}}{M _{U}}L_{F_{i}}\leq L_{F}\leq \frac{M_{U}}{M_{L}}L_{F_{i}}\) for all \(i\geq 1\). Under Assumptions 1.1, 1.2, and 1.3, we can obtain the asymptotic lower bound of the precise large deviations of the aggregate claims.
Theorem 1.1
Consider the aggregate claims (1.1). Suppose that Assumptions 1.1, 1.2, and 1.3 are satisfied. If \(F_{i}\in \mathscr{D}\), \(i\geq 1\), then for any \(\gamma >0\),
uniformly for all \(x\geq \gamma t\), which is equivalent to
When \(\{X_{ij},i\geq 1,j\geq 1\}\) are identically distributed r.v.s, we obtain the following corollary directly from Theorem 1.1.
Corollary 1.1
Consider the aggregate claims (1.1). Suppose that Assumption 1.2 is satisfied and the claim sizes \(\{X_{ij},i\geq 1,j\geq 1 \}\), are nonnegative r.v.s with common distribution F satisfying Assumption 1.1. If \(F\in \mathscr{D}\), then for any \(\gamma >0\),
uniformly for all \(x\geq \gamma t\), which is equivalent to
Next, we will investigate the asymptotic upper bound of the precise large deviations for the aggregate claims. In this case, we consider the case where the claim sizes \(\{X_{ij},i\geq 1,j\geq 1\}\) follow the pairwise negatively quadrant dependence structure.
Assumption 1.4
All the claim sizes \(\{X_{ij},j\geq 1,i\geq 1\}\) are nonnegative r.v.s and follow the pairwise negatively quadrant dependence structure, that is, for all \(x\geq 0\) and \(y\geq 0\),
and
For each \(i\geq 1\), \(\{X_{ij},j\geq 1\}\) are identically distributed r.v.s with common distribution \(F_{i}\).
Furthermore, we will use the following assumption, which was given by Yang and Wang [31] when they investigated the precise large deviations for extendedly negatively dependent random variables. Wang et al. [30] also used this assumption when they studied the precise large deviations for widely orthant dependent random variables.
Assumption 1.5
For all \(i\geq 1\), \(F_{i}\in \mathscr{D}\). Furthermore, assume that for any \(\varepsilon >0\), there exist some \(w_{1}=w_{1}(\varepsilon )>1\) and \(x_{1}=x_{1}(\varepsilon )>0\), irrespective to i, such that for all \(i\geq 1\), \(1\leq w\leq w_{1}\), and \(x\geq x_{1}\),
or, equivalently, for any \(\varepsilon >0\), there exist some \(0< w_{2}=w_{2}(\varepsilon )<1\) and \(x_{2}=x_{2}(\varepsilon )>0\), irrespective to i, such that for all \(i\geq 1\), \(w_{2}\leq w\leq 1\), and \(x\geq x_{2}\),
As noted in Remark 1(ii) of Wang et al. [30] Assumption 1.5 actually requires the distributions of \(X_{ij}\), \(i\geq 1\), \(j\geq 1\), do not differ too much from each other. In particular, if there exists a positive integer \(i_{0}\) such that \(F_{i}=F_{i_{0}}\) for all \(i\geq i_{0}\), then since \(F_{i_{0}}\in \mathscr{D}\), we know that Assumption 1.5 is satisfied.
We will derive the asymptotic upper bound of the precise large deviations of the aggregate claims under Assumptions 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, and 1.5.
Theorem 1.2
Consider the aggregate claims (1.1). Suppose that Assumptions 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, and 1.5 are satisfied and \(EX_{ij}^{2p+1}<\infty \), \(i, j\geq 1\), for some \(p>J_{F}^{+}\). Then there exist constants \(\gamma _{1}>0\) and \(c_{1}>0\) such that for any \(\gamma \geq \gamma _{1}\),
uniformly for all \(x\geq \gamma t\), which is equivalent to
If \(\{X_{ij},i\geq 1,j\geq 1\}\) are identically distributed r.v.s with common distribution \(F\in \mathscr{D}\), then Assumptions 1.3 and 1.5 are satisfied. Thus from Theorem 1.2 we can obtain the following corollary.
Corollary 1.2
Consider the aggregate claims (1.1). Suppose that Assumption 1.2 is satisfied and the claim sizes \(\{X_{ij},i\geq 1,j\geq 1\}\) are nonnegative r.v.s with common distribution F satisfying Assumptions 1.4 and \(EX_{ij}^{2p+1}<\infty \), \(i, j\geq 1\), for some \(p>J_{F}^{+}\). If \(F\in \mathscr{D}\), then there exist constants \(\gamma _{1}>0\) and \(c_{1}>0\) such that for any \(\gamma \geq \gamma _{1}\),
uniformly for all \(x\geq \gamma t\), which is equivalent to
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 includes some lemmas. In Sect. 3, we collect the proofs of our main results.
2 Some lemmas
This section presents some lemmas, which are useful in proving the main results of this paper. The following lemma can obtained from Proposition 2.2.1 of Bingham et al. [2] and Lemma 3.5 of Tang and Tsitsiashvili [27].
Lemma 2.1
If \(V\in \mathscr{D}\), then
-
(1)
for each \(\rho >J_{V}^{+}\), there exist positive constants A and B such that
$$ \frac{\overline{V}(y)}{\overline{V}(x)}\leq A \biggl(\frac{x}{y} \biggr) ^{\rho } $$for all \(x\geq y\geq B\);
-
(2)
for each \(\rho >J_{V}^{+}\),
$$ x^{-\rho }=o\bigl(\overline{V}(x)\bigr). $$
Consider the aggregate claims (1.1). For the delayed renewal counting process in (1.4), we have the following conclusion.
Lemma 2.2
In addition to (1.3), assume that \(E\theta =\lambda ^{-1}>0\). Then for every \(0<\delta <1\),
The proof of this lemma is similar to that of Lemma 2.1 of Chen and Yuen [5]. For the completeness of the proof, we give the following proof with some modifications.
Proof
For all \(1\leq k\leq h\) and \(t>0\),
where in the last step, we used (1.3) and \(P(\theta _{1}^{*}>t)=P( \theta _{1}>t|Y_{1}=k)\) for any \(1\leq k\leq h\). By the law of large numbers for the partial sums \(\sum_{i=1}^{n}\theta _{i}\), \(n\geq 1\), we have
Thus
Similarly,
Therefore
and
Since for all \(t>0\),
we have
This completes the proof of Lemma 2.2. □
The following lemma gives asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the tail of the partial sums with UTAI increments.
Lemma 2.3
Let n be any positive integer, and let \(\{\xi _{k}, 1\leq k\leq n\}\) be nonnegative and UTAI r.v.s with distributions \(V_{k}\), \(1\leq k\leq n\), respectively. If \(V_{k}\in \mathscr{D}\), \(1\leq k\leq n\), then, as \(x\to \infty \), we have
Proof
When \(n=1\), by \(V_{1}\in \mathscr{D}\) we know that Lemma 2.3 obviously holds. We further assume that \(n\geq 2\). Denote \(S_{n}=\sum_{k=1}^{n}\xi _{k}\). Firstly, we estimate an asymptotic upper bound for \(P(S_{n}>x)\). For arbitrarily fixed \(0<\varepsilon <1\) and any \(x>0\),
For \(I_{1}(x)\), we have that for any \(x>0\),
For any \(1\leq k\leq n\), from the definition of \(L_{V_{k}}\) we have
Thus, for any \(\varepsilon _{1}>0\), there exist some \(0<\delta _{1}= \delta _{1}(\varepsilon _{1}, n)<1\) and \(x_{1}=x_{1}(\varepsilon _{1}, n)>0\) such that for all \(\delta _{1}\leq y\leq 1\), \(x\geq x_{1}\), and \(1\leq k\leq n\),
and for all \(1\leq i\ne j\leq n\) and \(x\geq x_{1}\),
Therefore, for the above \(\varepsilon _{1}\), taking \(0<\varepsilon \leq 1-\delta _{1}\) in (2.1), since \(0< L_{V_{k}}\leq 1\), \(1\leq k\leq n\), by (2.2), for all \(x\geq x_{1}\), we have
Hence
For \(I_{2}(x)\), by (2.3) we have that, for \(x>x_{1}\),
Since \(V_{k}\in \mathscr{D}\), \(1\leq k\leq n\), by Lemma 2.1(1), for any \(\rho >\max {\{J_{V_{k}}^{+}, 1\leq k\leq n\}}\), there exist constants \(A>0\) and \(B\geq x_{1}\) such that for all \(1\leq k\leq n\) and \(x>y\geq B\),
It follows from (2.5) and (2.6) that for all \(x\geq nB\),
Therefore
By (2.1), (2.4), and (2.7) we get that
Now we prove the asymptotic lower bound for \(P(S_{n}>x)\). Since \(\{ \xi _{i}, 1\leq i\leq n \} \) are UTAI, for any \(0<\varepsilon _{2}<1\), there exists \(x_{2}=x_{2}(\varepsilon _{2}, n)>0\) such that for all \(1\leq i\ne j\leq n\) and \(x> x_{2}\),
Hence, for all \(x> x_{2}\),
Therefore, since \(\{\xi _{k}, 1\leq k\leq n\}\) are nonnegative, for all \(x>x_{2}\),
which means that
Since \(0< L_{V_{k}}\leq 1\), \(1\leq k\leq n\), we have
This completes the proof of the lemma. □
The following lemma presents an upper bound of the tail of the partial sums with dominated variation increments.
Lemma 2.4
Let \(\{\xi _{k}, k\geq 1\}\) be a sequence of real-valued r.v.s with distributions \(V_{k}\in \mathscr{D}\), \(k\geq 1\), respectively. Suppose that there exists a distribution V satisfying the relation
Then for any \(p>J_{V}^{+}\), there exists a constant \(M>0\) such that for all \(x\geq 0\) and \(n\geq 1\),
Proof
Since \(V_{k}\in \mathscr{D}\), \(k\geq 1\), by (2.8) we know that \(V\in \mathscr{D}\). Hence by Lemma 2.1(2) and (2.8) we get that for any \(p>J_{V}^{+}\),
Thus, for some constant \(C_{1}>0\), there exists \(\varepsilon >0\) such that for all \(x\geq \varepsilon \) and \(k\geq 1\),
Since \(V\in \mathscr{D}\), by Lemma 2.1(1), for any \(p>J_{V}^{+}\), there exist constants A and B such that for all \(x\geq \frac{x}{n}\geq B\),
By (2.8) there exists a constant \(B_{1}>B\) such that for all \(x\geq B_{1}\) and \(k\geq 1\),
Thus, for all \(x\geq \frac{x}{n}\geq B_{1}\),
By (2.9) and (2.10), for all \(x\geq \varepsilon \), \(k\geq 1\), and \(n\geq 1\), we have
Thus for all \(x>\varepsilon \) and \(n\geq 1\),
When \(0\leq x\leq \varepsilon \), for p in (2.9), we have that for all \(n\geq 1\),
It follows from (2.12) and (2.13) that for all \(x\geq 0\) and \(n\geq 1\),
where \(M=\max \{ B_{1}^{p}C_{1}+C_{2}, C_{1}\varepsilon ^{p} \} \). This completes the proof of the lemma. □
The following lemma shows the closure property of r.v.s satisfying (1.2).
Lemma 2.5
Consider the aggregate claims (1.1). Suppose that Assumptions 1.1 and 1.3 are satisfied. Also assume that \(F_{i} \in \mathscr{D}\), \(i\geq 1\). If the sequences \(\{Y_{i}, i\geq 1\}\) and \(\{X_{ij}, i\geq 1, j\geq 1\}\) are mutually independent, then \(\{ Z_{i}=\sum_{j=1}^{Y_{i}}X_{ij}, i\geq 1 \} \) also satisfy relation (1.2).
Proof
For any integer number \(n\geq 2\), \(1\leq i< j\leq n\), and \(x>0\), we have that
By (2.11) we know that for any \(p>J_{F}^{+}\), there exist constants \(C_{3}>0\) and \(\varepsilon >0\) such that for all \(j\geq 1\), \(k_{i}\geq 1\), \(i=1,2\), \(k\geq 1\), and \(x>\varepsilon \), we have that
So, for the above \(p>J_{F}^{+}\), we have that for all \(j\geq 1\), \(k_{i}\geq 1\), \(i=1,2\), \(k\geq 1\), and \(x>\varepsilon \),
Therefore by (2.14) and (2.15), for the above \(p>J_{F}^{+}\) and any \(\alpha >0\), we have that
where in the last step, we used Assumption 1.1. This completes the proof of the lemma. □
Consider the compound renewal risk model mentioned in the introduction and let
which express the aggregate claims caused by the first n accidents. The following lemma gives the asymptotic upper bound for the precise large deviations of \(S_{n}\) as \(n\to \infty \).
Lemma 2.6
Consider the aggregate claims (2.16). Suppose that Assumptions 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, and 1.5 are satisfied and \(EX_{ij}^{2p+1}<\infty \), \(i, j\geq 1\), for some \(p>J_{F}^{+}\). Then there exist constants \(\gamma _{0}>0\) and \(c_{0}>0\) such that for any \(\gamma \geq \gamma _{0}\),
uniformly for all \(x\geq \gamma n\) as \(n\to \infty \), which is equivalent to
Proof
By Assumption 1.5, for any \(0<\varepsilon _{3}<1\), there exist some \(0<\omega _{2}=\omega _{2}( \varepsilon _{3})<1\) and \(x_{3}=x_{3}(\varepsilon _{3})>0\), irrespective to i, such that for all \(i\geq 1\), \(\omega _{2}\leq \omega <1\), and \(x\geq x_{3}\),
Take any constant δ such that \(\omega _{2}\leq \delta <1\). By Assumption 1.3 there exist \(0< M_{U1}<\infty \), \(0< M_{L1}< \infty \), and \(x_{4}>0\) such that for all \(i\geq 1\) and \(x\geq x_{4}\),
and for all \(i\geq 1\) and \(x>0\),
Since \(F\in \mathscr{D}\), by (2.11), for \(p>J_{F}^{+}\), there exist \(x_{5}>x_{4}\) and \(B_{0}>0\) such that for all \(x>x_{5}\) and \(k\geq 1\),
For all \(x>0\) and \(n\geq 1\), we have the decomposition
For \(I_{1}(x,n)\), by Assumption 1.4 we have that for all \(n\geq 1\) and \(x\geq \gamma n\),
By (2.20), (2.17), (2.19), and \(L_{F_{i}}^{-1}\geq 1\), \(i\geq 1\), we obtain that
For \(I_{2}(x,n)\), similarly to \(I_{1}(x,n)\), by Assumption 1.4 we have that for all \(n\geq 1\) and \(x\geq \gamma n\),
Thus from (2.20), (2.17), and (2.19) we get that
For \(I_{3}(x,n)\), by Assumption 1.4 we have that for all \(n\geq 1\) and \(x\geq \gamma n\),
Furthermore, from Lemma 2.1(1) we know that for \(p>J_{F} ^{+}\), there exist positive constants \(C_{4}\) and \(C_{5}\) such that for all \(x\geq y\geq C_{5}\),
Thus, by (2.18), (2.19), (2.24), and \(E X_{ij}^{2p+1}<\infty \), \(i, j\geq 1\), taking \(\gamma _{0}>hC_{5}(1-\delta _{0})^{-1}\), we have that for any \(\gamma \geq \gamma _{0}\),
For \(I_{4}(x,n)\), by (2.20) and (2.17), for any \(\gamma >0\) and \(x\geq \gamma n\), as \(n\to \infty \), we have that
Taking \(c_{0}=B_{0}h ^{p}\) and letting \(\varepsilon _{3} \to 0\), we get
Then Lemma 2.6 holds by substituting (2.22), (2.23), (2.25), and (2.26) into (2.21). The proof of the lemma is completed. □
The following lemma is a restatement of Theorem 1(i) of Kočetova et al. [16].
Lemma 2.7
Let the interarrival times of the accidents \(\{\theta _{i}, i\geq 1\}\) be a sequence of positive and i.i.d. r.v.s with common mean \(\lambda ^{-1}\). Then for every \(a>\lambda \) and some \(b>1\),
3 Proofs of main results
3.1 Proof of Theorem 1.1
For any \(0<\delta <1\) and \(\gamma >0\), we have that for all \(x\geq \gamma t\) and \(t>0\),
Firstly, by Lemma 2.3 we have that for each \(i\geq 1\) as \(x\to \infty \),
and
For \(J_{1}(x,t)\), by (1.5), (3.3), and Lemma 2.2,
uniformly for all \(x\geq \gamma t\) as \(t\to \infty \).
Since \(\frac{M_{L}}{M_{U}}L_{F_{i}}\leq L_{F}\leq \frac{M_{U}}{M_{L}}L _{F_{i}}\), \(i\geq 1\), by (2.19) we have that
Letting \(\delta \downarrow 0\), we have
Thus
Therefore from (3.4) it follows that
For \(J_{2}(x,t)\), from Lemma 2.5 we know that for any \(\alpha >0\),
Thus, for any \(\varepsilon >0\), there exists \(N>0\) such that for all \(n>N\), \(x\geq \alpha n\), and \(1\leq l< m\leq n\),
Thus by the Fubini theorem, (3.2), and (3.7) we have that, uniformly for all \(x\geq \gamma t\),
where we used (3.7) in the sixth step and (3.2) in the last step. Since \(\frac{M_{L}}{M_{U}}L_{F_{i}}\leq L_{F}\leq \frac{M _{U}}{M_{L}}L_{F_{i}}\), \(i\geq 1\), by (2.19) and the above relation we have that
Letting \(\varepsilon \downarrow 0\), we get
Therefore the theorem follows from (3.1), (3.6), and (3.8). This completes the proof.
3.2 Proof of Theorem 1.2
Using \(\gamma _{0}\) in Lemma 2.6 and taking \(\gamma _{1}=2\gamma _{0}\lambda \), for any \(0<\delta <1\) and \(\gamma \geq \gamma _{1}\), we have that for all \(x\geq \gamma t\) and \(t>0\),
For \(J_{3}(x,t)\), by Lemma 2.6 there exists a constant \(c_{0}>0\) such that, uniformly for all \(x\geq \gamma t\),
Similarly to (3.5), we have that
Thus
From (2.11) we know that for \(p>J_{F}^{+}\), there exist \(\varepsilon >0\) and a constant \(B_{2}>0\) such that for all \(x\geq \varepsilon \), \(i\geq 1\), and \(n\geq 1\),
Then for all \(x\geq \varepsilon \), \(i\geq 1\), \(1\leq k\leq h\), and \(n\geq 1\),
Substituting (3.11) into \(J_{4}(x,t)\), for the above \(p>J_{F} ^{+}\), we have that, uniformly for all \(x\geq \gamma t\),
Hence we have that
From (2.19) it follows that for sufficiently large x and all \(n\geq 1\),
Therefore from (3.12), (3.13), and Lemma 2.7 we obtain that
Then (1.7) can be obtained by substituting (3.10) and (3.14) into (3.9) and taking \(c_{1}=c_{0}\). The proof of the theorem completed.
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Acknowledgements
The authors wish to thank the referees and the Editor for their very valuable comments on an earlier version of this paper. This work was finished during a research visit of Kaiyong Wang to the University of Hong Kong. They would like to thank the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science for its excellent hospitality.
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This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 11401418), the Humanities and Social Science Foundation of the Ministry of Education of China (No. 18YJC910004), the 333 Talent Training Project of Jiangsu Province and the Jiangsu Province Key Discipline in the 13th Five-Year Plan.
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Wang, K., Chen, L. Precise large deviations for the aggregate claims in a dependent compound renewal risk model. J Inequal Appl 2019, 257 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13660-019-2209-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13660-019-2209-1