Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

Towards integrative risk management and more resilient societies

  • Regular Article
  • Published:
The European Physical Journal Special Topics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Society depends decisively on the availability of infrastructure systems such as energy, telecommunication, transportation, banking and finance, health care and governmental and public administration. Even selective damages of one of these infrastructures may result in disruptions of governmental, industrial or public functions. Vulnerability of infrastructures therefore provides spectacular leverage for natural disasters as well as criminal and terrorist actions. Threats and risks are part of the technological, economical, and societal development. This article focuses on the development and characterization of an integrative risk-management which, from the perspective of “resilient systems”, can be seen as an innovative and pro-active crisis management approach dealing with the increasing amount of complexity in societies in a comprehensive, agile and adaptive way.

Graphical abstract

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. P. Bak, How Nature Works: The Science of Self-Organized Criticality (Copernicus Press, New York, 1996) ISBN 0-387-94791-4

  2. S. Bouchon, The vulnerability of interdependent critical infrastructure systems: epistemological and conceptual state-of-the-art EU report, EU Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy (2006)

  3. L. Buzna, K. Peters, D. Helbing, Physica A 363, 132 (2006)

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  4. L. Buzna, K. Peters, H. Ammoser, C. Kühnert, D. Helbing, Phys. Rev. E 75, 056107 (2007)

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  5. A. Clauset, M. Young, K.S. Gleditsch, J. Conflict Resol. 51, 58 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. M. D’Inverno, M. Luck, Understanding agent systems (Springer, Berlin, 2004)

  7. I. Dobson, B.A. Carreras, V.E. Lynch, D.E. Newman, CHAOS 17, 15 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. I. Dolgopolova, B. Hu, A. Leopold, S. Pickl, Economic, Institutional and Technological Uncertainties of Emissions Trading – a System Dynamics Approach (to be published) (2011)

  9. D.J. Watts, PNAS 99, 5766 (2002)

    Article  MathSciNet  ADS  MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. G. Dupuy, Systèmes, réseaux et territoires, Presse de L’Ecole nationale des Ponts et Chausées, Paris (1985)

  11. J.W. Forrester, Sys. Dynam. Rev. 10, 245 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. K. Gollin, E. Yüksel, S. Pickl, B. Hu. Does International Emission Trading Help All Participants Reduce Income Loss? A System Dynamics and Agent-based Simulation. InterSymp 2009 – Symposium on Multiagent Systems, Robotics and Cybernetics: Theory and Practice, International Institute for Advanced Studies in Systems Research and Cybernetics, Baden-Baden (2009)

  13. P. Grossi, H. Kunreuther, Catastrophe Modeling: A New Approach to Managing Risk (Springer, New York, NY, 2005), p. 245

  14. Dirk Helbing, S. Balietti, S. Bishop, P. Lukowicz, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 195, 165 (2011)

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  15. D. Helbing, C. Kühnert, Physica A 328, 584 (2003)

    Article  MathSciNet  ADS  MATH  Google Scholar 

  16. D. Helbing, H. Ammoser, C. Kühnert, Disasters as extreme events and the importance of network interactions for disaster response management, edited by S. Albeverio, V. Jentsch, H. Kantz, Extreme Events in Nature and Society (Springer, Berlin, 2005), p. 319

  17. B. Hu, A. Leopold, S. Pickl, H.-R. Vetter, Is Flexibility in a Professional Career Being Rewarded? An Agent-Based Simulation. Proceedings of the 4th Symposium on Multiagent Systems, Robotics and Cybernetics: Theory and Practice (2011)

  18. B. Hu, M. Reimer, H.-R. Vetter, Mastering Complexity of Social Work, edited by B. Hu, K. Morasch, S. Pickl, M. Siegle, Operations Research Proceedings 2010 – Selected Papers of the Annual International Conference of the German Operations Research Society, ISSN 0721-5924 (Springer, 2011), p. 603

  19. B. Hu, A. Leopold, Web-based Participatory System Dynamics Modeling – Concept and Prototype Development. The 2011 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Proceedings, Washington DC (2011)

  20. M. Kaegi, R. Mock, W. Kröger, Analyzing maintenance strategies by agent-based simulations: A feasibility study. Reliability Engineering & System Safety 94, Issue 9, ISSN 0951-8320 (2009), p. 1416

    Google Scholar 

  21. W. Kröger, E. Zio, Vulnerable Systems, 1st edition (Springer, London, 2001) ISBN 085729654X

  22. W. Kröger, Komplexe technische Systeme: Stand des Wissens und der Analysierbarkeit. Presentation on Symposium Deutsches Museum München, 18, Nov. (2010) http://www.cvl-a.de/download/risiko/Kroeger.pdf (10.10.2011)

  23. Ted G. Lewis, Bak’s Sand Pile (Agile Press, 2011)

  24. Ted G. Lewis, Network Science: Theory and Applications (John Wiley & Sons, 2009), p. 500

  25. Ted G. Lewis, Critical Infrastructure Protection in Homeland Security: Defending a Networked Nation (John Wiley & Sons, 2006), p. 470

  26. Ted G. Lewis, Cause-and-Effect or Fooled by Randomness? Homeland Security Affairs VI(1) (2010)

  27. A.A. Moreira, J.S. Andrade Jr., H.J. Herrmann, J.O. Indekeu, How to make a fragile network robust and vice versa. Phys. Rev. Lett. 102, 018701 (2009)

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  28. P. Ormerod, R. Colbaugh, Cascades of Failure and Extinction in Evolving Complex Systems. JASSS (2006) http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/9/4/9.html (06.11.2011)

  29. K. Peters, L. Buzna, D. Helbing, Int. J. Critical Infrastruct. 4, 46 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. S. Pickl, E. Kropat, H. Hahn, Climatic Change 103, 327 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. S Pickl, A. Leopold, B. Hu, Why Do We Hesitate to Take Action Toward Implementation of Sustainable Technology? 10th International Conference CASYS’11 on Computing Anticipatory Systems, Liège, Belgium (2011)

  32. J.C. Ramo, The Age of the Unthinkable Little (Brown & Company, New York, 2009), p. 280

  33. M. Schläpfer, T. Kessler, Wolfgang Kröger, Rekuability analysis of electric power systems using an object-oriented hybrid modeling approach. Proceedings of the 16th power systems computation conference, Glasgow (2008)

  34. C.M. Schneider, A.A. Moreira, J.S. Andrade Jr., S. Havlin, H.J. Herrmann, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. 108, 3838 (2011)

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  35. C.M. Schneider, N.A.M. Araújo, S. Havlin, H.J. Herrmann, Towards designing robust coupled networks preprint [arXiv:1106.3234] (2011)

  36. I. Simonsen, L. Buzna, K. Peters, S. Bornholdt, D. Helbing, Phys. Rev. Lett. 100, 218701 (2008)

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  37. D. Stauffacher, W. Drake, P. Currion, J. Steinberger, Information and Communication Technology for Peace: The Role of Ict in Preventing, Responding to And Recovering from Conflict. ICT Task Force Series 11 (2005)

  38. N.N. Taleb, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Penguin, 2007)

  39. G.F. White, National hazards: local, national and global (Oxford University Press, New York, 1974)

  40. Critical foundations: protecting America’s infrastructure. President’s Commission on Critical Infrastructure Protection, Washington, DC (1997)

  41. Uniting and strengthening America by providing appropriate tools required to intercept and obstruct terrorism (USA Patriot Act), Act of 2001 (2001)

  42. Critical infrastructure protection in the fight against terrorism, COM 702 final, European Commission (2004)

  43. Terminology: basic terms of disaster risk reduction: glossary. UN/ISDR, New York (2004)

  44. ICT for peace. United Nations ICT Task Force (2005) http://old.ict4peace.org/articles/ict4peace_ebook1.pdf (06.11.2011)

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Global Security and Crisis Management Unit, Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy

    D. Al-Khudhairy

  2. ETH Zürich, Institut für Verkehrsplanung/Transportsysteme, Zürich, Switzerland

    K. Axhausen

  3. Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, UK

    S. Bishop

  4. Institut für Baustoffe, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland

    H. Herrmann

  5. Fakultät für Betriebswirtschaft, Universität der Bundeswehr München, München, Germany

    B. Hu

  6. Risk Center, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland

    W. Kröger

  7. Department of Computer Science, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, USA

    T. Lewis

  8. Institute for Security & Resilience Studies, University College London, London, UK

    J. MacIntosh

  9. Department of Psychology, Florida Atlantic University, Florida, FL, USA

    A. Nowak

  10. Fakultät für Informatik, Institut für Theoretische Informatik, Mathematik und Operations Research, Universität der Bundeswehr München, München, Germany

    S. Pickl

  11. ICT4Peace Foundation, Genève, Switzerland

    D. Stauffacher

  12. National Security Coordination Centre, RAHS Solutions Centre, RPO, Singapore, Singapore

    E. Tan

Authors
  1. D. Al-Khudhairy
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. K. Axhausen
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. S. Bishop
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. H. Herrmann
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. B. Hu
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  6. W. Kröger
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  7. T. Lewis
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  8. J. MacIntosh
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  9. A. Nowak
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  10. S. Pickl
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  11. D. Stauffacher
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  12. E. Tan
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to S. Pickl.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Al-Khudhairy, D., Axhausen, K., Bishop, S. et al. Towards integrative risk management and more resilient societies. Eur. Phys. J. Spec. Top. 214, 571–595 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2012-01706-0

Download citation

  • Revised:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2012-01706-0

Keywords

Search

Navigation