Jerôme, B., Jerôme-Speziari, V., Nadeau, R. et al. Fr Polit (2015) 13: 103. doi:10.1057/fp.2014.24
Election forecasting has become a standard part of the tool kit for political scientists around the world. However, that focus is almost exclusively on forecasting national electoral contests. Here we offer another, unique, focus – the changing political color of the core nations of the European Union, the Fifteen. First, we offer a model that forecasts the fortune of classic right-wing rule for this region, labeled Euroland. Then, we examine those forecasts, as compared with France in particular. France holds special interest because, according to our forecasts for 2015, it could well swing right, while the rest of Euroland goes left. One suggestion, of course, is that the tradition of French exceptionalism will continue.
election forecasting French national elections the classical right-wing economic voting