Original Article

Journal of Public Health Policy

, Volume 35, Issue 3, pp 327-336

First online:

Prenatal exposure to airborne polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and IQ: Estimated benefit of pollution reduction

  • Frederica PereraAffiliated withDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia UniversityMailman School of Public Health, Columbia Center for Children’s Environmental Health, Columbia University Email author 
  • , Katherine WeilandAffiliated withGordon and Betty Moore FoundationDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University
  • , Matthew NeidellAffiliated withDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University
  • , Shuang WangAffiliated withMailman School of Public Health, Columbia Center for Children’s Environmental Health, Columbia UniversityDepartment of Biostatistics, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University

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Abstract

Outdoor air pollution, largely from fossil fuel burning, is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States, costing billions of dollars every year in health care and loss of productivity. The developing fetus and young child are especially vulnerable to neurotoxicants, such as polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) released to ambient air by combustion of fossil fuel and other organic material. Low-income populations are disproportionately exposed to air pollution. On the basis of the results of a prospective cohort study in a low-income population in New York City (NYC) that found a significant inverse association between child IQ and prenatal exposure to airborne PAH, we estimated the increase in IQ and related lifetime earnings in a low-income urban population as a result of a hypothesized modest reduction of ambient PAH concentrations in NYC of 0.25 ng/m3. For reference, the current estimated annual mean PAH concentration is ~1 ng/m3. Restricting to NYC Medicaid births and using a 5 per cent discount rate, we estimated the gain in lifetime earnings due to IQ increase for a single year cohort to be US$215 million (best estimate). Using much more conservative assumptions, the estimate was $43 million. This analysis suggests that a modest reduction in ambient concentrations of PAH is associated with substantial economic benefits to children.

Keywords

PAH IQ cost-benefit analysis neurodevelopment prenatal children