Climatic Change

, Volume 39, Issue 2, pp 199–213

Potential Changes in Tropical Storms, Hurricanes, and Extreme Rainfall Events as a Result of Climate Change

Authors

  • K. Walsh
    • CSIRO Division of Atmospheric Research, PMB 1
  • A.B. Pittock
    • CSIRO Division of Atmospheric Research, PMB 1
Article

DOI: 10.1023/A:1005387120972

Cite this article as:
Walsh, K. & Pittock, A. Climatic Change (1998) 39: 199. doi:10.1023/A:1005387120972

Abstract

Our current understanding of the ability of climate models to provide insight into the possible impacts of the enhanced greenhouse effect on the climatology of tropical cyclones and extreme rainfall events is reviewed. At present, because of the insufficient resolution of climate models and their generally crude representation of sub-gridscale and convective processes, little confidence can be placed in any definite predictions of such effects, although a tendency for more heavy rainfall events seems likely, and a modest increase in tropical cyclone intensities is possible. In the view of the authors, it would be unwise to exclude substantial local changes in the climatologies of these phenomena, especially at a regional (sub-continental) scale.

Copyright information

© Kluwer Academic Publishers 1998