Skip to main content
Log in

Rainfall in the Garden of the United States Great Plains, 1870–1889

  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The recent accumulation of all published precipitation records from 1870–1889 in the central and northern Great Plains of the United States provides a renewed potential in analyzing climatic reality during early settlement, corresponding to a time when some written histories documented that the ‘Rain followed the Plow’. Growing season precipitation in the central and northern Great Plains from 1870–1889 were examined relative to modern climatic normals (1961–1990). Growing season totals mostly exhibit little changes in precipitation in the region as compared to today. Some wetter springs and summers occurred in the Dakotas during the late 1870s and early 1880s, subsequent to the drier early-mid 1870s and corresponding to the Great Dakota Boom. Wetter summers occurred over the central Plains in the mid-1880s, corresponding to increased migration in Nebraska and Kansas. Drier summers occurred during the early 1870s and inactive settlement in the early 1880s. Although increased rainfall may have been conducive for early settlement, in general the ‘Rain did not follow the Plow’, with extreme seasonal and monthly heavy precipitation events at the subregional scale perhaps playing important roles on settlers' climatic perceptions. The results of this study provide a framework in order to conduct historical climate impact analyses as well as information that can be applied towards understanding spatial climatic variations further back into time.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Allen, J. L.: 1985, 'The Garden-Desert Continuum: Competing Views of the Great Plains in the Nineteenth Century', Great Plains Quart. 5, 207–220.

    Google Scholar 

  • Aughey, S.: 1880, Agriculture Beyond the 100th Meridian. A Review of the U.S. Public Land Commission, Nebraska State Agricultural Society, Lincoln, NE.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bamforth, D. B.: 1988, Ecology and Human Organization on the Great Plains, Plenum Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baltensperger, B. H.: 1979, 'Agricultural Adjustments to Great Plains Drought in the Republican Valley, 1870–1900', in Blouet, B. W. and Luebke, F. C. (eds.), The Great Plains, Environment, and Culture, University of Nebraska Press, Lincoln, pp. 43–59.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baltensperger, B. H.: 1992, 'Plains Boomers and the Creation of the Great American Desert Myth', J. Hist. Geog. 18, 59–73.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baron, W. R.: 1989, 'Retrieving American Climate History: A Bibliographic Essay', Agric. Hist. 63, 7–35.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baron, W. R.: 1992, 'Historical Climate Records from the Northeastern United States, 1640 to 1900', in Bradley, R. S. and Jones, P. D. (eds.), Climate Since A.D. 1500, Routledge, London, pp. 74–91.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bates, C. C. and Fuller, J. F.: 1986, America's Weather Warriors, 1814 & #x2013;1985, Texas A & M University Press, College Station, TX.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bigelow, F. H.: 1932 & #x2013;1936, Summary of the Climatological Data for the United States, by Sections, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Weather Bureau Bulletin W, Washington, D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Borchert, J. R.: 1950, 'The Climate of the Central North American Grassland', Ann. Assoc. Amer. Geograph. 40, 1 & #x2013;39.

    Google Scholar 

  • Borchert, J. R.: 1971, 'The Dust Bowl in the 1970s', Ann. Assoc. Amer. Geograph. 61, 1 & #x2013;22.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bowman, I.: 1935, 'Our Expanding and Contracting Desert', Geog. Rev. 25, 43 & #x2013;61.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bradley, R. S.: 1976, Precipitation History of the Rocky Mountain States, Westview Press, Boulder, CO.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bryson, R. A.: 1966, 'Air Masses, Streamlines, and the Boreal Forest', Geogr. Bull. (Canada) 8, 228 & #x2013;269.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bunkers, M. J., Miller, J. R., and De Gaetano, A. T.: 1996, 'An Examination of El Ni & #x00F1;o-La Ni & #x00F1;a-Related Precipitation and Temperature Anomalies Across the Northern Plains', J. Climate 9, 147 & #x2013;160.

    Google Scholar 

  • Craddock, J. M.: 1976, 'Annual Rainfall in England since 1725', Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 102, 823 & #x2013;840.

    Google Scholar 

  • Darter, L. J.: 1942, List of Climatological Records in the National Archives, National Archives, Washington, D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Diaz, H. F.: 1983, 'Some Aspects of Major Dry and Wet Periods in the Contiguous United States, 1895 & #x2013;1981', J. Clim. Appl. Meteor. 22, 3 & #x2013;16.

    Google Scholar 

  • Diaz, H. F., Bradley, R. S., and Eischeid, J. K.: 1989, 'Precipitation Fluctuations over Global Land Areas since the Late 1880s', J. Geophys. Res. 94, 1195 & #x2013;1240.

    Google Scholar 

  • Emmons, D.: 1972, Garden in the Grasslands, University of Nebraska Press, Lincoln.

    Google Scholar 

  • Finley, J. P.: 1893, Certain Climatic Features of the Two Dakotas, Senate Executive Document No. 157, 52nd Congress, 1st Session, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fite, G. C.: 1966, The Farmers' Frontier, 1865 & #x2013;1900, Holt, Rinehart and Winston, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fleming, J. R.: 1990: Meteorology in America 1800 & #x2013;1870, The Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore.

    Google Scholar 

  • Greely, A. W.: 1891, Report of the Climatology of the Arid Regions of the U.S. with Reference to Irrigation, House Executive Document No. 287, 51st Congress, 2nd Session, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Groisman, P. Y. and Legates, D. R.: 1995, 'Documenting and Detecting Long-Term Precipitation Trends: Where We Are and What Should Be Done', Clim. Change 31, 601 & #x2013;622.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harman, J. R.: 1991, Synoptic Climatology of the Westerlies: Process and Patterns, Association of American Geographers, Washington, D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Helfand, H. M. and Schubert, S. D.: 1995, 'Climatology of the Simulated Great Plains Low-Level Jet and Its Contribution to the Continental Moisture Budget of the United States', J. Climate 8, 784 & #x2013;806.

    Google Scholar 

  • Higgins, R. W., Mo, K. C., and Yao, Y.: 1998, 'Interannual Variability of the U.S. Summer Precipitation Regime with Emphasis on the Southwestern Monsoon', J. Climate 11, 2582 & #x2013;2606.

    Google Scholar 

  • Higgins, R. W., Yao, Y., and Wang, X. L.: 1997, 'Influence of the North American Monsoon System on the U.S. Summer Precipitation Regime', J. Climate 10, 2600 & #x2013;2622.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hirschboeck, K. K.: 1991, 'Climate and Floods', in National Water Summary 1988 & #x2013;89-Floods and Droughts: Hydrologic Perspectives on Water Issues, U.S. Geological SurveyWater Supply Paper 2375, pp. 67 & #x2013;88.

  • Houghton, J. T., Filho, L. G., Callander, B. A., Harris, N., Kattenburg, A., and Maskell, K. (eds.): 1996, Climate Change 1995-The Science of Climate Change Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kay, P. A. and Kutiel, H.: 1994, 'Some Remarks on Climatic Maps of Precipitation' Clim. Res. 4, 233 & #x2013;241.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keables, M. J.: 1989, 'A Synoptic Climatology of the Bimodal Precipitation Distribution in the Upper Midwest', J. Climate 2, 1289 & #x2013;1294.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kluck, D. R.: 1991, Relationships between 500 mb, 700 mb, and 850 mb Circulation Variations and Precipitation over the United States Great Plains, M.A. Thesis, Department of Geography, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kollmorgen, W. and Kollmorgen, J.: 1973, 'Landscape Meteorology in the Plains Area', Ann. Assoc. Amer. Geograph. 63, 424 & #x2013;441.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kraenzel, C. F.: 1955, The Great Plains in Transition, University of Oklahoma Press, Norman.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kunkel, K. E., Changnon, S. A., and Angel, J. R.: 1994, 'Climatic Aspects of the 1993 Upper Mississippi River Basin Flood', Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 75, 811 & #x2013;822.

  • Lamb, H. H.: 1977, Climate History and the Future, Princeton University Press, Princeton.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lamb, H. H. and Johnson, A.: 1959, 'Climatic Variation and Observed Changes in General Circulation', Geografiska Annaler 91, 94 & #x2013;134.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lawson, M. P.: 1974, The Climate of the Great American Desert, University of Nebraska Press, Lincoln.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lawson, M. P. and Stockton, C. W.: 1981, 'Desert Myth and Climatic Reality', Ann. Assoc. Amer. Geograph. 71, 527 & #x2013;535.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lawson, M. P., Dewey, K. F., Neild, R. E., and Magill, J. D.: 1977, Climatic Atlas of Nebraska, University of Nebraska Press, Lincoln.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lawson, M. P., Heim, R., Mangimeli, J. A., and Moles, G.: 1980, 'Dendroclimatic Analysis of Bur Oak in Eastern Nebraska', Tree-Ring Bull. 40, 1 & #x2013;11.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lawson, M. P., Reiss, A., Phillips, R., and Livingston, K.: 1971, Nebraska Droughts. A Study of their Chronological and Spatial Extent with Implications for the Future, Occasional Papers No. 1, Department of Geography, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lawson, T.: 1855, Meteorological Register for Twelve Years, from 1843 to 1854, Inc. Compiled from Observations Made by the Officers of the Medical Department of the Army at the Military Posts of the United States, War Department, Washington, D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mather, J. R.: 1984, Water Resources Distribution, Use, and Management, John Wiley and Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Meko, D. M.: 1992, 'Dendroclimatic Evidence from the Great Plains of the United States', in Bradley, R. S. and Jones, P. D. (eds.), Climate since A.D. 1500, Routledge, London, pp. 312 & #x2013;330.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mock, C. J.: 1991, 'Drought and Precipitation Fluctuations during the Late Nineteenth Century', Great Plains Res. 1, 26 & #x2013;57.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mock, C. J.: 1996, 'Climatic Controls and Spatial Variations of Precipitation in the Western United States', J. Climate 9, 1111 & #x2013;1125.

    Google Scholar 

  • Opie, J.: 1993, Ogallala: Water for a Dry Land, University of Nebraska Press, Lincoln.

  • Quinn, W. H.: 1992, 'A Study of Southern Oscillation-Related Climatic Activity for A.D. 622 & #x2013;1990 Incorporating Nile River Flood Data', in Diaz, H. F. and Markgraf, V. (eds.), El Ni & #x00F1;o, Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 119 & #x2013;149.

    Google Scholar 

  • Richmond, A. and Baron, W. R.: 1989, 'Precipitation, Range Carrying Capacity, and Navajo Livestock Raising, 1870 & #x2013;1975', Agric. Hist. 63, 217 & #x2013;230.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rosenberg, N. J.: 1986, 'Climate of the Great Plains Region of the United States', Great Plains Quart. 7, 22 & #x2013;32.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sevruk, B.: 1987, 'Point Precipitation Measurements: Why Are They Not Corrected?', Int. Assoc. Hydrol. Sci. Publ. 164, 477 & #x2013;486.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, H. N.: 1947, 'Rain Follows the Plow: The Notion of Increased Rainfall for the Great Plains', Huntington Library Quart. 10, 169 & #x2013;194.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, H. N.: 1970, Virgin Land. The American West as Symbol and Myth, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tang, M. and Reiter, E. R.: 1984, 'Plateau Monsoons of the Northern Hemisphere: A Comparison Between North America and Tibet', Mon. Wea. Rev. 112, 617 & #x2013;637.

    Google Scholar 

  • TenHarkel, J. H.: 1980, A Raininess Index for the Arizona Monsoon, NOAA Tech. Memoirs, NWS WR-155, U.S. Department of Commerce, NOAA/NWS.

  • Thompson, K. F.: 1981, 'The Question of Climatic Stability in America before 1900', Clim. Change 3, 227 & #x2013;241.

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Army Signal Corps.: 1890, Climate of Nebraska, Particularly in Reference to the Temperature and Rainfall, Senate Executive Document No. 115, 51st Congress, 1st Session, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. War Department: 1873 & #x2013;1889, Annual Reports of the Chief Signal Officers to the Secretary of War, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wahl, E. W. and Lawson, T. L.: 1970, 'The Climate of the Mid Nineteenth Century United States Compared to the Current Normals', Mon. Wea. Rev. 98, 259 & #x2013;265.

    Google Scholar 

  • Winkler, J. A.: 1992, 'Regional Patterns of the Diurnal Properties of Heavy Hourly Precipitation', Professional Geographer 44, 127 & #x2013;146.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wishart, D. J.: 1987, 'Settling the Great Plains, 1850 & #x2013;1930: Prospects and Problems,' in Mitchell, R. D. and Groves, P. A. (eds.), North America, the Historical Geography of a Changing Continent, Rowman & Littlefield, Totowa, NJ, pp. 255 & #x2013;278.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Mock, C.J. Rainfall in the Garden of the United States Great Plains, 1870–1889. Climatic Change 44, 173–195 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005570827123

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005570827123

Keywords

Navigation