Abstract
Several fallacies of conditionalization are illustrated, using the two-envelope problem as a case in point
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Wagner, C.G. Misadventures In Conditional Expectation: The Two-Envelope Problem. Erkenntnis 51, 233–241 (1999). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005488325727
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005488325727