Environmental Modeling & Assessment

, Volume 6, Issue 2, pp 123–132

Modeling Land-Use Change in a Decision-Support System for Coastal-Zone Management

  • Jean-Luc de Kok
  • Guy Engelen
  • Roger White
  • Herman G. Wind
Article

DOI: 10.1023/A:1011587222253

Cite this article as:
de Kok, JL., Engelen, G., White, R. et al. Environmental Modeling & Assessment (2001) 6: 123. doi:10.1023/A:1011587222253

Abstract

RaMCo is a prototype version of a decision-support system for coastal-zone management. The model is based on the findings of a multidisiciplinary research program, conducted in Southwest Sulawesi, Indonesia. Different management strategies can be compared on the basis of the short- and long-term consequences. Land-use change has been included in RaMCo in view of the impacts of land-based human activities on the marine environment. The key aspect of the model is a combination of the temporal dynamics of land-use change on the regional (macro-level) scale and spatial dynamics on the local (micro-level) scale. Constrained cellular automata are used to integrate both scale levels. The state changes of the cells depend on the consistency with the macro-scale model, local geographical conditions, and interaction with neighboring cells. In this paper, we discuss the underlying theoretical assumptions of the macro-scale and micro-scale models, some characteristic results for land-use change in the study area, and the validation problem.

cellular automatacoastal-zone managementdecision-support systemland-use changerapid assessmentSouthwest Sulawesi

Copyright information

© Kluwer Academic Publishers 2001

Authors and Affiliations

  • Jean-Luc de Kok
    • 1
  • Guy Engelen
    • 2
  • Roger White
    • 3
  • Herman G. Wind
    • 1
  1. 1.Civil Engineering and ManagementUniversity of TwenteEnschedeThe Netherlands
  2. 2.Research Institute for Knowledge Systems bvMaastrichtThe Netherlands
  3. 3.Department of GeographyMemorial University of NewfoundlandSt. John'sCanada