Journal of Economic Growth

, Volume 4, Issue 4, pp 385–412

Where Did All the Growth Go? External Shocks, Social Conflict, and Growth Collapses

  • Dani Rodrik

DOI: 10.1023/A:1009863208706

Cite this article as:
Rodrik, D. Journal of Economic Growth (1999) 4: 385. doi:10.1023/A:1009863208706


This article argues that domestic social conflicts are a key to understanding why growth rates lack persistence and why so many countries have experienced a growth collapse since the mid-1970s. It emphasizes, in particular, the manner in which social conflicts interact with external shock on the one hand, and the domestic institutions of conflict-management on the other. Econometric evidence provides support for this hypothesis. Countries that experienced the sharpest drops in growth after 1975 were those with divided societies (as measured by indicators of inequality, ethnic fragmentation, and the like) and with weak institutions of conflict management (proxied by indicators of the quality of governmental institutions, rule of law, democratic rights, and social safety nets).

economic growthsocial conflictpolitical economy

Copyright information

© Kluwer Academic Publishers 1999

Authors and Affiliations

  • Dani Rodrik
    • 1
  1. 1.John F. Kennedy School of GovernmentHarvard UniversityCambridge