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Prediction models for the abundance of overwintered adult brown-winged green bugs, Plautia stali (Heteroptera: Pentatomidae), using male flower production of sugi, Cryptomeria japonica (Pinales: Cupressaceae), and aggregation-pheromone-trap captures

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Abstract

The abundance of the adult brown-winged green bug, Plautia stali Scott, varies annually. During outbreaks, P. stali causes severe damage to various fruit crops. Therefore, predicting its abundance beforehand is important. In this study, we constructed multiple regression models to predict the abundance of overwintered adult P. stali in Chiba Prefecture, Japan, by using the accumulated aggregation-pheromone-trap captures of P. stali and the male flower production of sugi Cryptomeria japonica (Thunb. ex L.f.) D. Don, which relates to cone production, from 1998 to 2016. The abundance of overwintered adults in the present year can be predicted by male C. japonica flower production and the abundance of P. stali adults in the previous year. The models are highly precise and can calculate estimates in August for the abundance in the next year, which is far enough in advance for the application of control measures. These models also indicate intraspecific competition for food resources in P. stali.

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Acknowledgements

We thank Dr. Masatoshi Toyama, Institute of Fruit Tree and Tea Science, NARO, who provided useful advice. This work was supported in part by a Grant-in-Aid for Research Project for Utilizing Advanced Technologies in Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (1648) from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, Japan. This work was also partly supported by the Council for Science, Technology and Innovation (CSTI), the Cross-ministerial Strategic Innovation Promotion Program (SIP),Technologies for Creating Next-generation Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (funding agency: Bio-oriented Technology Research Advancement Institution, NARO).

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Author notes

  1. Toru Ohtani

    Present address: Agricultural Extension Division, Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Department, Chiba Prefectural Government Offices, 1-1 Ichiba, Chuo, Chiba, 260-8667, Japan

  2. Tosaku Mihira

    Present address: Chiba Prefectural Agriculture and Forestry Research Center, 808 Daizenno, Midori, Chiba, 266-0006, Japan

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Warm Region Horticulture Institute, Chiba Prefectural Agriculture and Forestry Research Center, 1762 Yamamoto, Tateyama, Chiba, 294-0014, Japan

    Toru Ohtani, Tosaku Mihira, Toshiyuki Kawana & Ken Shimizu

  2. Forestry Research Institute, Chiba Prefectural Agriculture and Forestry Research Center, 1887-1 Haniya, Sammu, Chiba, 289-1223, Japan

    Shigeki Fukushima

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  1. Toru Ohtani
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  4. Shigeki Fukushima
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  5. Ken Shimizu
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Correspondence to Ken Shimizu.

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Ohtani, T., Mihira, T., Kawana, T. et al. Prediction models for the abundance of overwintered adult brown-winged green bugs, Plautia stali (Heteroptera: Pentatomidae), using male flower production of sugi, Cryptomeria japonica (Pinales: Cupressaceae), and aggregation-pheromone-trap captures. Appl Entomol Zool 52, 369–377 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13355-017-0488-x

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