Abstract
Wind imposes costs on power systems due to uncertainty and variability of real-time resource availability. Stochastic programming and demand response are offered as two possible solutions to mitigate these so-called wind-uncertainty costs. We examine the benefits of these two solutions, and show that although both will reduce wind-uncertainty costs, demand response is significantly more effective. We also examine the impacts of using demand response and stochastic optimization together. We show that most of the value of demand response in reducing wind-uncertainty costs remain if a stochastic optimization is used and that there are subadditive benefits from using the two together.
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Notes
These data are publicly available at http://wind.nrel.gov/Web_nrel/.
We caveat the word ‘actual’ with the word ‘modeled’ to stress that we use modeled data in our analysis. Thus these values may differ from actual weather conditions in 2005.
Details of the wind forecast error model are given in appendix C of the California ISO’s report.
Section 2.4 of Appendix B of the California ISO’s report discusses empirical findings regarding the autocorrelation of wind forecast errors.
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Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank S. Sen, A. Sorooshian, the editor, and two anonymous reviewers for helpful suggestions and discussions. T. Grasso, P. Denholm, M. Milligan, D. Lew, and D. Hurlbut provided invaluable assistance in gathering ERCOT market and wind generation data.
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Madaeni, S.H., Sioshansi, R. The impacts of stochastic programming and demand response on wind integration. Energy Syst 4, 109–124 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12667-012-0068-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12667-012-0068-7