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Assessment of groundwater potential zones in an arid region based on catastrophe theory

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Abstract

Evaluation of groundwater potential is a multi-criteria and multi-level comprehensive assessment system that needs judgment of decision makers in making decision. To avoid subjectivity or the preference of decision makers in the assessment, catastrophe theory based evaluation method is proposed in this study which calculates the importance of one criterion over other by its inner mechanism and thus, avoid subjectivity. The proposed method is applied for the assessment of groundwater potential zones in the arid region of lower Balochistan province of Pakistan. The groundwater is considered as a system with five sub-systems namely, geology, soil, drainage density, slope and rainfall. Seventeen sub-system indicators of groundwater potential are selected for modeling groundwater potential zone. The catastrophe theory is applied to derive the relative weights of indicators in predicting groundwater potential. Thematic maps of sub-systems are integrated within a geographical information system and the groundwater potential zones of the integrated layer are calculated by using the weights of indicators. The results are verified by existing number of tube wells operating in the study area. It has been found that the number of tube wells is more in the area where the groundwater potential is high. The study reveals that catastrophe theory is suitable for assessing groundwater potential.

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Acknowledgments

We are grateful to the Ministry of Education Malaysia and Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM) for providing financial support for this research through ERGS grant number R.J130000.7822.4 L084

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Hydraulics & Hydrology Faculty of Civil Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM), 81310, Johor, Malaysia

    Kamal Ahmed, Shamsuddin Shahid, Sobri bin Harun, Tarmizi Ismail & Nadeem Nawaz

  2. Department of Civil engineering Razak School of Engineering & Advanced Technology, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM) International Campus, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

    Supiah Shamsudin

Authors
  1. Kamal Ahmed
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  2. Shamsuddin Shahid
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  3. Sobri bin Harun
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  4. Tarmizi Ismail
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  5. Nadeem Nawaz
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  6. Supiah Shamsudin
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Correspondence to Shamsuddin Shahid.

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Communicated by: H. A. Babaie

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Ahmed, K., Shahid, S., bin Harun, S. et al. Assessment of groundwater potential zones in an arid region based on catastrophe theory. Earth Sci Inform 8, 539–549 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-014-0173-3

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