Article

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics

, Volume 48, Issue 2, pp 323-341

Why the Housing Sector Leads the Whole Economy: The Importance of Collateral Constraints and News Shocks

  • Yu RenAffiliated withWISE, MOE Key Laboratory of Econometrics, Fujian Key Laboratory of Statistical Sciences, Xiamen University
  • , Yufei YuanAffiliated withWISE, MOE Key Laboratory of Econometrics, Fujian Key Laboratory of Statistical Sciences, Xiamen University Email author 

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Abstract

This paper establishes a dynamic stochastic partial equilibrium model for explaining residential investment dynamics in the United States, focusing on the distinctive cyclical features of residential investment in that it leads the whole economy. This paper is different from the existing literature by adding three new features to the model: news shocks, collateral constraints and agent heterogeneity. The partial equilibrium analysis where interest rates are exogenously fixed shows that these assumptions are essential to generating the dynamic pattern in which residential investment leads consumption and GDP.

Keywords

News shocks Heterogeneous agents Housing sector Collateral constraints Aggregate uncertainty