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Uncertainty, polarization, and proposal incentives under quadratic voting

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Abstract

We consider the quadratic voting mechanism (Lalley and Weyl in Quadratic voting. Working paper, University of Chicago, 2015; Weyl in The robustness of quadratic voting. Working paper, University of Chicago, 2015) and focus on the incentives it provides individuals deciding what proposals or candidates to put up for a vote. The incentive compatibility of quadratic voting rests upon the assumption that individuals value the money used to buy votes, while the budget balance/efficiency of the mechanism requires that the money spent by one voter by redistributed among the other voters. From these assumptions, we show that it follows that strategic proposers will have an incentive to offer proposals with greater uncertainty about individual values. Similarly, we show that, in an electoral setting, quadratic voting provides an incentive to propose candidates with polarized, non-convergent platforms.

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Notes

  1. Schattschneider (1960, p. 68), emphasis in the original.

  2. Also, we consider it reasonable from a behavioral standpoint that individual choices within a setting QV would be well approximated by a linear voting rule consistent with Eq. (1).

  3. A small sampling of this literature, spanning various settings and notions of an “agenda,” include Kingdon (1984), Riker (1993), Rasch (2000), Cox and McCubbins (2005), and Perry (2009).

  4. The case of \(u_{i}<0\) is symmetric.

  5. The situation is symmetric if one allows for \(\mu \in [-{\,^1\!/_2},0)\), and \(|\mu |>{\,^1\!/_2}\) implies that neither voter 1 nor voter 2 will bid in equilibrium, meaning that voter 3 would receive zero rebate in such situations.

  6. Note that \(u_{i}\approx -(\mu +{\,^1\!/_2})\) occurs with probability zero for \(\mu \ne 0\).

  7. This presumes that, when \(\sum v_{i}=0\), the project is approved. Otherwise, a pure strategy equilibrium will not exist in the QV for \(\mu \ge {\,^1\!/_2}\).

  8. For example, suppose that, after majority rule or QV is selected as the collective choice mechanism, voter 3 chooses to whether to pay a cost \(c>0\) in order to choose \(\mu\) and, if not, then (say) \(\mu\) is set to some exogenous value, \({\hat{\mu }}>0\). If c is small enough relative to \({\hat{\mu }}\) and QV is chosen as the collective choice mechanism, then voter 3 would pay the cost c and set \(\mu =0\).

  9. This finding is in line with the experimental findings of Goeree and Zhang (2016). In an 11-person private values setting, Goeree and Zhang find that “moderate” voters—those whose values were closer to 0—benefitted from the redistributive aspect of quadratic voting.

  10. Formally, voter 2 will receive half of each of their payments. This matters only when we allow for more than 3 voters. The case of three voters maximizes the strength of voter 2’s incentive to manipulate x in pursuit of a larger rebate from the ensuing QV election.

  11. What is potentially very important—but remains very important when the group must choose between three or more mutually exclusive options—is the nature of individuals’ information about their own preferences. We do not touch upon this issue in any depth in this article, but allowing for correlation between voters’ true preferences in the presence of asymmetric and incomplete information (at the voter level) about these preferences would seem to present a difficult challenge for someone interested in achieving (perhaps even approximate) ex post efficiency.

  12. For more on applying such models to political economy questions, see Nti (1999), Fang (2002), Epstein and Nitzan (2006), and Siegel (2009).

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Correspondence to John W. Patty.

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We thank Sean Ingham and Glen Weyl for their helpful comments.

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Patty, J.W., Penn, E.M. Uncertainty, polarization, and proposal incentives under quadratic voting. Public Choice 172, 109–124 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-017-0406-3

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