Philosophical Studies

, Volume 159, Issue 2, pp 219–239

Changing minds in a changing world

Article

DOI: 10.1007/s11098-011-9699-0

Cite this article as:
Schwarz, W. Philos Stud (2012) 159: 219. doi:10.1007/s11098-011-9699-0

Abstract

I defend a general rule for updating beliefs that takes into account both the impact of new evidence and changes in the subject’s location. The rule combines standard conditioning with a “shifting” operation that moves the center of each doxastic possibility forward to the next point where information arrives. I show that well-known arguments for conditioning lead to this combination when centered information is taken into account. I also discuss how my proposal relates to other recent proposals, what results it delivers for puzzles like the Sleeping Beauty problem, and whether there are diachronic constraints on rational belief at all.

Keywords

Belief revisionUpdateConditionalisationSelf-locationCentered worlds

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.RSSS School of PhilosophyAustralian National UniversityCanberraAustralia