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Contagion of Evacuation Decision Making on Real Map

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Abstract

In this paper, we deal with evacuation decision making of people in the disaster area. By threshold model, we discuss whether all agents decide to evacuate or not. It is reported that not all people in the affected area evacuated during the Great East Japan Earthquake. But, many evacuation simulations treat that all people evacuate. In the previous work, on the assumption that all people decide to evacuate, we dealt with the needed time to make all people evacuate if psychological conditions exist at the time of disaster. In this paper, we deal with the condition that not all people decide to evacuate and focus on contagion of evacuation decision making on real map. We found that for contagion of evacuation decision making, local neighborhood and connection of sub network is necessary.

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Author notes

  1. Saori Iwanaga

    Present address: , 5-1 Kure, Hiroshima, 737-8512, Japan

  2. Akira Namatame

    Present address: , 1-10-20 Hashirimizu, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, 239-8686, Japan

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Maritime Safety Technology, Japan Coast Guard Academy, Hiroshima, Japan

    Saori Iwanaga

  2. Department of Computer Science, National Defense Academy, Yokosuka, Japan

    Akira Namatame

Authors
  1. Saori Iwanaga
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  2. Akira Namatame
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Correspondence to Saori Iwanaga.

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Iwanaga, S., Namatame, A. Contagion of Evacuation Decision Making on Real Map. Mobile Netw Appl 21, 206–214 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11036-016-0704-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11036-016-0704-x

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