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Self-control, Victimization, and their Influence on Risky Lifestyles: A Longitudinal Analysis Using Panel Data

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Abstract

This research expands past investigations into the influence of low self-control as a risk factor for criminal victimization. Specifically, we consider two questions: (1) whether low self-control at one point in time can predict future victimization, and (2) whether victims alter lifestyle choices (like their own delinquency and contact with delinquent peers) in response to their earlier victimization. We answered these questions using three waves of adolescent panel data from the evaluation of the Gang Resistance Education and Training program. Our results support the predictions of self-control theory, showing that low self-control measured at an earlier time is associated with later victimization, even after controlling for past victimization, delinquency, social bonds, and delinquent peer contact. Likewise, self-control appears to influence the relationship between earlier victimization and later lifestyles.

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Notes

  1. There is some evidence suggesting that, at least for homeless and runaway youth, that drinking activity is associated with less victimization rather than more. Baron et al. (2001) speculated that this was because street people tend to be more judicious in locating a relatively inaccessible place to pass out after drinking.

  2. We used the multiple imputations by chained equations “ICE” available in Stata 9 to impute missing values (Royston 2005a, b). This involved a three-step procedure in which we used the ICE function to generate 10 imputed data sets. We then estimated regression models separately for each of the 10 imputed data sets. Finally, we computed the pooled parameter estimates of the 10 regressions to account for the possible underestimation of standard errors that may be observed in single imputation procedures to obtain more precise parameter estimates (Acock 2005; Rubin 1987; Schafer 1997). Furthermore, to assess if our results were influenced by the number of data sets imputed, we estimated as many as 20 data sets with no improvement in precision above what 10 data sets generated (also see von Hippel 2005).

  3. We capped the upper bound to three victimization incidents because very few adolescents reported more than three victimizations.

  4. The GREAT data contained eight items adapted from the Grasmick et al. (1993) scale. In the current study, we used these eight items to form our low self-control construct.

  5. During our initial data analysis runs, we incorporated items measuring such themes as “exposure to gangs at school” and “unattended lifestyles.” Net of the other variables included in the analysis, their influence on victimization was negligible. We declined to include these measures in the results presented here because having an excessively large number of items in a latent variable structural equation model, relative to the sample size, would have resulted in insufficient degrees of freedom, thus preventing the model from converging.

  6. Only one of the control variables (sex) emerged significant. Boys were more likely to be victimized than girls. However, the pattern of results for boys and girls were virtually the same.

  7. To assess whether our results were victimization specific, we disaggregated victimization into the three specific types used in our analyses. The results did not change and maintained the pattern presented in the models.

  8. In every case, the means for the low self-control group were significantly higher than the means for the high self-control group. For example, the low self-control group reported higher levels of victimization, associations with delinquent peers, and delinquency. All t-values were significant at 0.01.

  9. These path coefficients are significantly different. We used the equality of coefficients test which allows us to directly compare coefficient differences across models using the following equation: \(t=b_1-b_2 /\sqrt {(\hbox{SE}\,b_1)^{2}+(\hbox{SE}\,b_2)^2} \) (Paternoster et al. 1998). While victimization is stable across both high and low self-control groups, a closer look at the coefficients revealed that victimization risk has a stronger positive effect for the low self-control group (0.56 vs. 0.38; t = 2.76; P  <  0.05). We also followed the same procedures for victimization to delinquent peer associations. Again the effect of victimization to delinquent peers is stronger for the low self-control group (0.38 vs. 0.22; t = 2.41; P  <  0.05). It should be noted that we used unstandardized parameters for model comparisons.

  10. Other research appears to support this conclusion that experience with “negative” earlier events apparently does not lead to changes in behavior. Piquero and Pogarsky (2002), for instance, found that the receipt of punishment had a positive relationship with later offending behavior. Moreover, the perceptions of the offenders about their risk of punishment appeared unaffected by their earlier misfortune.

  11. We also believe that evidence that criminological themes like the stability of crime apply to victimization makes a still stronger case for extending other theories of crime to victimization. We are indebted to an anonymous referee for pointing out the possibility that Agnew’s (1992) general strain theory and social learning theory (Akers 1985) may have relevance. For example, it is plausible that persons cope with victimization by lashing out, which further increases the chances for re-victimization. Individuals may also become withdrawn and depressed (i.e., retreat) in response to victimization, thereby marginalizing themselves and increasing their vulnerability (see, also, Felson 1992). Individuals may also, as a consequence of certain types of victimization, develop behavior patterns that endorse the use of crime/violence in interpersonal interaction, which again increase future victimization risk. Although the victimization literature on these theories is virtually nonexistent, it is our view that knowledge about victimization could only benefit from testing ideas originally intended for explaining crime, leading to more complex and informative analyses than those offered to date.

  12. We found support for our hypothesized models. However, one anonymous referee pointed out that the effect sizes for our theoretical variables range from medium ( < 0.30) to small ( < 0.10) using Cohen’s (1988) recommendations (also see Kline, 2005). Thus, our conclusions should be interpreted with these effect sizes in mind.

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Acknowledgments

The data for this study were originally collected by Finn Esbensen and made available through the Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research. Neither Esbensen nor ICPSR bear any responsibility for the analyses and results presented here. The authors gratefully acknowledge Alex Piquero, Donna Bishop, Pamela Wilcox, and the anonymous referees for their constructive comments.

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Correspondence to Christopher J. Schreck.

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Schreck, C.J., Stewart, E.A. & Fisher, B.S. Self-control, Victimization, and their Influence on Risky Lifestyles: A Longitudinal Analysis Using Panel Data. J Quant Criminol 22, 319–340 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-006-9014-y

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