Abstract
The aim of this paper is to analyze the relationship among economic growth, carbon dioxide emissions, and energy use for 19 APEC countries over the 1960–2013 years. Using a panel VAR technique, a three-variable VAR is estimated. Empirical findings illustrate that no causal relationship emerges between real GDP and energy use. Thus, our empirical evidence is in line with the “neutrality hypothesis.” Moreover, panel cointegration tests show that a long-run equilibrium relationship is questionable for the APEC countries. Granger causality analyses confirm our previous results, since in nine countries any causal relationship between GDP and energy is found.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
See, for more details: http://www.econstats.com/wdi/wdic_MNA.htm.
References
Aalto P (2014) Energy market integration and regional institutions in East Asia. Energy Policy 74:91–100
Abrigo MRM, Zicchino L (2016) Estimation of panel vector autoregression in stata. The Stata J 16(3):778–804
Apergis N, Ozturk N (2015) Testing environmental kuznets hypothesis in Asian countries. Ecol Ind 52:16–22
Arellano M, Bover O (1995) Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error component models. J Econom 68:29–51
Asia Pacific Energy Research Center (APERC) (2002) Energy efficiency indicators and potential energy savings in APEC economies. APERC, Tokyo
Blundell R, Bond S (1997) Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. J Econom 87:115–143
Bo S (2011) A Literature Survey on Environmental Kuznets Curve. Energy Procedia 5:1322–1325
Carrion-i-Silvestre JLl, del Barrio T, López-Bazo E (2005) Breaking the panels: an application to GDP per capita. Economet J 8:159–175
Crompton P, Wu Y (2005) Energy consumption in China: past trends and future directions. Energy Econ 27:195–208
Eberhardt M, Teal F (2010) Productivity analysis in global manufacturing production. Department of Economics, University of Oxford Discussion Paper, 515
Holtz Eakin D, Newey W, Rosen H (1988) Estimating vector autoregression with panel data. Econometrica 56:1371–1395
Hsiao C (2003) Analysis of panel data. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Hu JL, Kao CH (2007) Efficient energy-saving targets for APEC economies. Energy Policy 35:373–382
Jin J, Zhou D, Zhou P (2014) Measuring environmental performance with stochastic environmental DEA: the case of APEC economies. Econ Model 38:80–86
Kapetanios G, Pesaran MH, Yamagata T (2011) Panels with Nonstationary Multifactor Error Structures. J Econom 160(2):326–348
Karaman Orsal DD (2007) Comparison of panel cointegration tests. SFB 649 Discussion Paper. 649, 2007–029
Kraft J, Kraft A (1978) On the relationship between energy and GNP. J Energy Dev 3:401–403
Kuznets S (1955) Economic growth and income inequality. Am Econ Rev 45(1):1–28
Lean HH, Smyth R (2010) CO2 emissions, energy consumption and output in ASEAN. Business and Economics, Development Research Unit Discussion Paper. DEVDP 09-13
Lee CC, Chang CP (2008) Energy consumption and economic growth in Asian economies: a more comprehensive analysis using panel data. Resour Energy Econ 30:50–65
Lee K, Oh W (2006) Analysis of CO2 emissions in APEC countries: a time-series and a cross-sectional decomposition using the log mean Divisia method. Energy Policy 34:2779–2787
Li Z (2003) An econometric study on China’s economy, energy and environment to the year 2030. Energy Policy 31:1137–1150
Liu Y, Yan B, Zhou Y (2016) Urbanization, economic growth, and carbon dioxide emissions in China: a panel cointegration and causality analysis. J Geog Sci 26(2):131–152
Love I, Zicchino L (2006) Financial development and dynamic investment behavior: evidence from panel VAR. Q Rev Econ Financ 46:190–210
Magazzino C (2012) On the relationship between disaggregated energy production and GDP in Italy. Energy Environ 23(8):1191–1207
Magazzino C (2014a) Electricity demand, GDP and employment: evidence from Italy. Front Energy 8(1):31–40
Magazzino C (2014b) Energy consumption and GDP in Italy. Environ Dev Sustain 16(2):137–153
Magazzino C (2014c) A panel VAR Approach of the Relationship among economic growth, CO2 emissions, and energy use in the ASEAN-6 countries. Int J Energy Econ Policy 4(4):546–553
Mahadevan R, Asafu-Adjaye J (2007) Energy consumption, economic growth and prices: a reassessment using panel VECM for developed and developing countries. Energy Policy 35:2481–2490
Masih AMM, Masih R (1996) Electricity consumption, real income and temporal causality: results from a multicountry study based on cointegration and error correction modeling techniques. Energy Econ 18:165–183
Narayan PK (2008) Is Asian per capita GDP panel stationary? Empir Econ 34(3):439–449
Neumayer E (2013) Weak versus strong sustainability: exploring the limits of two opposing paradigms. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham
Nickell S (1981) Biases in dynamic models with fixed effects. Econometrica 49:1417–1426
Niu S, Ding Y, Niu Y, Li Y, Luo G (2011) Economic growth, energy conservation and emissions reduction: a comparative analysis based on panel data for 8 Asian-Pacific countries. Energy Policy 39:2121–2131
Ozturk I (2010) A literature survey on energy-growth nexus. Energy Policy 38:340–349
Ozturk I, Acaravci A (2010) The causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP in Albania, Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania: evidence from ARDL bound testing approach. Appl Energy 87:1938–1943
Ozturk I, Acaravci A (2011) Electricity consumption and real GDP causality nexus: evidence from ARDL bounds testing approach for 11 MENA countries. Appl Energy 88:2885–2892
Pedroni P (1999) Critical values for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 61:653–678
Pedroni P (2004) Panel cointegration: asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis: new results. Econom Theory 20:597–627
Pesaran MH (2006) Estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a multifactor error structure. Econometrica 74(4):967–1012
Pesaran MH, Smith RP (1995) Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels. J Econom 68(1):79–113
Pesaran MH, Shin Y, Smith RP (1999) Pooled Mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. J Am Stat Assoc 94(446):621–634
Ramstetter ED (2000) Recent trends in foreign direct investment in Asia: the aftermath of the crisis to late 1999. Working Paper Series, 2000–2002, February
Samuelson RD (2014) The unexpected challenges of using energy intensity as a policy objective: examining the debate over the APEC energy intensity goal. Energy Policy 64:373–381
Sheng P, Guo X (2016) The long-run and short-run impacts of urbanization on carbon dioxide emissions. Econ Model 53:208–215
Sims CA (1980) Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica 48:1–48
Skeer J, Wang Y (2007) China on move: oil price explosion. Energy Policy 35:678–691
Solow RM (1974) Intergenerational equity and exhaustible resources. Review of Economic Studies. Symposium, 29–46
Soytas U, Sari R (2003) Energy consumption and GDP: causality relationship in G-7 countries and emerging markets. Energy Econ 25:33–37
Stern DI, Enflo K (2013) Causality between energy and output in the long-run. Lund Papers in Economic History. 126
Stiglitz JE (1979) A neoclassical analysis of the economics of natural resources. In: Smith VK (ed) Scarcity and growth reconsidered. Johns Hopkins Press, Baltimore, pp 36–66
Stock JH, Watson MW (2011) Introduction to econometrics. Pearson Education, Cambridge
Warr BS, Ayres RU (2010) Evidence of causality between the quantity and quality of energy consumption and economic growth. Energy 35:1688–1693
Wu PI, Chen CT, Cheng PC, Liou JL (2014) Climate game analyses for CO2 emission trading among various world organizations. Econ Model 36:441–446
Zhu H, Duan L, Guo Y, Yu K (2016) The effects of FDI, economic growth and energy consumption on carbon emissions in ASEAN-5: evidence from panel quantile regression. Econ Model 58:237–248
Acknowledgements
Comments from Mauro Costantini (Brunel University) and Gian Cesare Romagnoli (Roma Tre University), as well as the anonymous referees and editor are gratefully acknowledged. However, the usual disclaimer applies.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Magazzino, C. The relationship among economic growth, CO2 emissions, and energy use in the APEC countries: a panel VAR approach. Environ Syst Decis 37, 353–366 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-017-9626-9
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-017-9626-9