Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Examining Relationships Between Socioeconomic Factors and Landscape Metrics in the Southern Basin of the Caspian Sea

  • Published:
Environmental Modeling & Assessment Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Socioeconomic forces are not only among the main drivers of landscape dynamics; they are also influenced by landscape patterns. Landscape structure and functions are closely related to natural and social factors. The objective of this study was to investigate the relationships among some human-related factors and landscape ecological metrics as landscape pattern indicators and to identify suitable metrics for modeling these relationships. To this goal, landscape ecological metrics were calculated for each of the 32 counties of Mazandaran and Guilan provinces located in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea using land use/cover maps in class level. Stream network metrics were calculated using a digital elevation model, road density metrics were calculated using map of main roads separately, and significant metrics were selected according to results of correlation tests and factor analysis. The correlations between these metrics and socioeconomic factors were tested, and their relationships were modeled with multiple linear regressions. Significant relationships were found among socioeconomic factors and landscape ecological metrics, and land use/cover data are applicable for modeling socioeconomic factors, especially demographic and employment structure factors. Among the landscape metrics applied in this study, road density, mean patch size, mean nearest neighbor distance, and percentage of a land use/cover class in landscape were important metrics for predicting socioeconomic factors. Our findings indicated that road density metric and percentages of urban class are useful for predicting urban socioeconomic factors and percentage of agriculture and forest classes in the landscape are suitable metrics for predicting rural socioeconomic factors.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. Copyright©1999–2010 ESRI, Inc.

  2. © 2010 Minitab, Inc.

  3. Copyright 1993–2007 Polar Engineering and Consulting

References

  1. Abdullah, S. A., & Nakagoshi, N. (2006). Changes in landscape spatial pattern in the highly developing state of Selangor, peninsular Malaysia. Landscape and Urban Planning, 77, 263–275.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Afshin, Y. (1994). Rivers of Iran. JAMAB engineering cooperation: Ministry of Energy (In Persian).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Ahmadi, H., Rouh Bakhsh Sigaroudi, H., FallahGhavibazouLayalestani, S. M., GolzadNanehKaran, N., Hasan Beigi, Y., Azarhoush Fatideh, A., & Darvishi, S. (2012). Guilan Province (3rd ed.). Iran: Textbook publishing companies (In Persian).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Aljoufie, M., Zuidgeest, M., Brussel, M., & Van Maarseveen, M. (2013). Spatio-temporal analysis of urban growth and transportation in Jeddah city, Saudi Arabia. Cities, 31, 57–68.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Amiri, B. J., & Nakane, K. (2008). Modeling the linkage between river water quality and landscape metrics in the Chugoku district of Japan. Water Resource Management, 23, 931–956.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Blanchet, F. G., Legendre, P., & Borcard, D. (2008). Forward selection of explanatory variables. Journal of Ecology, 89(9), 2623–2632.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Cradille, J. A., & Turner, M. G. (2002). Understanding landscape metrics I. In S. E. Gergel & M. G. Turner (Eds.), Learning landscape ecology (pp. 85–101). New York: Springer-Verlag.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  8. Cumming, S., & Vernier, P. (2002). Statistical models of landscape pattern metrics with applications to regional scale dynamic forest simulations. Landscape Ecology, 17, 433–444.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Digital elevation data (ASTER GDEM). A product of METI and NASA, http://gdex.cr.usgs.gov/gdex/.

  10. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). (1998). Biodiversity for food and agriculture, an extract from “Human Nature: agricultural biodiversity and farm based food security”. http://www.fao.org/sd/epdirect/epre0040.htm. Accessed 10 July 2014.

  11. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). (2012). State of the World’s Forests, http://www.fao.org/docrep/016/i3010e/i3010e00.htm. Accessed 10 July 2014.

  12. Fields, G. (1999). Urbanization and the transition from agrarian to industrial society. Berkeley Planning, 13(1), 102–128.

    Google Scholar 

  13. Gergel, S. E., & Turner, M. G. (Eds.). (2002). Learning landscape ecology, a practical guide to concepts and techniques. New York: Springer-Verlag.

    Google Scholar 

  14. Glover, D. R., & Simon, J. L. (1975). The effect of population density on infrastructure: the case of road building. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 23(3), 453–468.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Haan, A.D. (2000). Urban livelihoods and labor markets. A 2020 vision for food, agriculture and the environment. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Focus 3, Brief 4 of 10, http://www.ifpri.org/sites/default/files/publications/focus03_04.pdf. Accessed 12 July 2014.

  16. Herzog, F., Lausch, A., Muller, E., Thulke, H.-H., Steinhardt, U., & Lehmann, S. (2001). Landscape metrics for assessment of landscape destruction and rehabilitation. Environmental Management, 27(1), 91–107.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  17. Hietel, E., Waldhardt, R., & Otte, A. (2005). Linking socioeconomic factors, environment and land cover in the German Highlands, 1945–1999. Journal of Environmental Management, 75, 133–143.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Hietel, E., Waldhardt, R., & Otte, A. (2007). Statistical modeling of land cover changes based on key socioeconomic indicators. Ecological Economics, 62, 496–507.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Hong, S.-K., Wu, J., Kim, J.-E., & Nakagoshi, N. (2011). Landscape ecology in Asian cultures. Tokyo Dordrecht Heidelberg London New York: Springer.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  20. Hu, Z., & Lo, C. P. (2007). Modeling urban growth in Atlanta using logistic regression. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 31, 667–688.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Kim, J.-E., & Hong, S.-K. (2011). Pattern and process in MAEUL, a traditional Korean rural landscape. Journal of Ecology and Field Biology, 34(2), 237–249.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Lausch, A., & Herzog, F. (2002). Applicability of landscape metrics for the monitoring of landscape change: issues of scale, resolution and interpretability. Ecological Indicators, 2, 3–15.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Leitao, A. B., & Ahern, J. (2002). Applying landscape ecological concepts and metrics in sustainable landscape planning. Landscape and Urban Planning, 59, 65–93.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Li, X., He, H. S., Bu, R., Wen, Q., Chang, Y., Hu, Y., & Li, Y. (2005). The adequacy of different landscape metrics for various landscape patterns. Pattern Recognition, 38, 2626–2638.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Luo, J., & Wei, Y. H. D. (2009). Modeling spatial variations of urban growth patterns in Chinese cities: the case of Nanjing. Landscape and Urban Planning, 91, 51–64.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Martinez, J. M. A., Suarez-Seoane, S., & Calabuig, E. D. L. (2011). Modelling the risk of land cover change from environmental and socioeconomic drivers in heterogeneous and changing landscapes: the role of uncertainty. Landscape and Urban Planning, 101, 108–119.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. McGarigal, K., & Marks, B. J. (1994). FRAGSTATS: spatial pattern analysis program for quantifying landscape structure. Available at: www.umass.edu.

    Google Scholar 

  28. Mesgari, A., Pazoki, A., Rouhi, N., Yasari, N., Vaseghi, L., Ahmadi, J. (2007). Statistical yearbook of Mazandaran Province. Management and planning organization of Mazandaran Province Press (In Persian).

  29. Minitab support. Available at: http://support.minitab.com/en-us/minitab/17/topic-library/modeling-statistics/regression-and-correlation/goodness-of-fit-statistics/what-is-prediction-sum-of-squares/

  30. Narumalani, S., Mishra, D. R., & Rothwell, R. G. (2004). Change detection and landscape for inferring anthropogenic processes in the greater EFMO area. Remote Sensing of Environment, 91, 478–489.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Rempel, R. S., Kaukinen, D., & Carr, A. P. (2012). Patch analyst and patch grid. Ontario: Ontario ministry of natural resources. Center for northern forest ecosystem research. Thunder Bay. available at http://cnfer.on.ca/SEP/patchanalyst/.

    Google Scholar 

  32. Southworth, J., Nagendra, H., & Tucker, C. (2002). Fragmentation of a landscape: incorporating landscape metrics into satellite analyses of land-cover change. Landscape Research, 27(3), 253–269.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Tarzaban, S., Hadian, S. A. A., Shohadayi, S. H., JanbazGhobadi, G., Pezeshki, M., KazemiKavardi, M. M., Soleimanibashali, M., & Dabuyi, R. (2012). Mazandaran Province (3rd ed.). Iran: Textbook publishing companies (In Persian).

    Google Scholar 

  34. Tian, Y., Yue, T., Zhu, L., & Clinton, N. (2005). Modeling population density using land cover data. Ecological Modeling, 189, 72–88.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Uuemaa, E., Roosaare, J., & Mander, U. (2005). Scale dependence of landscape metrics and their indicatory value for nutrient and organic matter losses from catchments. Ecological Indicators, 5, 350–369.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Zonneveld, I. S. (1995). Land ecology: an introduction to landscape ecology as a base for land evaluation, land management and conservation. Amsterdam: SPB academic publishing.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Bahman Jabbarian Amiri.

Appendix

Appendix

Table 4

Table 3 Results of multiple linear regression analysis based on forward selection method

Table 5

Table 4 Results of factor analysis (principal component analysis and varimax rotation)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Ghafouri, B., Amiri, B.J., Shabani, A.A. et al. Examining Relationships Between Socioeconomic Factors and Landscape Metrics in the Southern Basin of the Caspian Sea. Environ Model Assess 21, 669–680 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10666-016-9503-9

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10666-016-9503-9

Keywords

Navigation