Abstract
We investigate the impact of a political regime shift affecting consumers, business interests and lobby contributions when countries engage in tax competition in capital and a polluting resource. When consumers have more influence than resource owners, the resource tax rate and public spending rise while environmental damages, lobbying contribution, and the capital tax rate fall. This response can spillover to other countries leading to lower welfare. Capital tax harmonization improves welfare of consumers and resource owners. Resource tax harmonization and governance harmonization both reduce the influence of lobbying and improve consumer welfare but resource owners are worse off.
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Notes
See Oates (1972), Wilson (1986, 1987), Zodrow and Mieszkowski (1986), and Wildasin (1988, 1989) for the early research on tax competition. Under horizontal tax competition two governments at the same level, e.g., federal, compete to tax the same mobile good, e.g., capital, which creates a policy externality. For a recent survey of the literature, see Genschel and Schwarz (2011), who summarize the extensive evidence on the existence of the tax competition problem across countries. For a survey of empirical work on tax competition within countries see Brueckner (2003).
The weights in the government’s objective function capturing the influence of different groups are typically assumed to be exogenous in the literature on political support models. It is important to study the impact of a change in those weights to see if there are unintended consequences of such a reform. Exogenous reforms are also studied in the tax competition literature. However, investigating the underlying factors affecting such a change is left for future work.
For example, using hydraulic fracturing to extract natural gas has been connected to groundwater contamination and earthquakes in areas where the extraction process occurs.
Under tax competition, governments keep the tax rate on mobile capital low. If they can all agree to raise their tax on such capital, welfare may improve under such a tax treaty. Analyzing the effect of such a treaty can reveal the various welfare effects. See Zodrow and Mieszkowski (1986) for an example.
We omit country specific superscripts for brevity.
Subscripts denote derivatives, \(\frac{dF}{dx}=F_x \) and \(\frac{d^{2}F}{dx^{2}}=F_{xx} \).
Our primary input is extracted resource. Capital can also be added as an input in production. Capital can either be mobile or immobile (Marceau and Smart 2003). If we allow for an immobile capital input, as opposed to the mobile capital input in the consumption good industry, the results will not change as long as the two types of capital are not substitutable.
We assume that public spending does not significantly affect production in either industry. This could be thought of as spending on public parks or national defense that directly affect consumer welfare but not production.
For this type of interpretation in a more abstract setting see Dixit et al. (1997). The local truthfulness condition links the choice of the payment function at the margin to the first order conditions of the government’s subsequent decision problem in equilibrium.
It is quite common to rule out the Laffer phenomenon in the optimal policy design literature. See the classic textbook statement on optimal tax design in chapters 12–14 by Atkinson and Stiglitz (1980), for example.
For example, see equation (7) in Zodrow and Mieszkowski (1986).
If the social marginal cost of funds is larger because the capital base is more elastic, then the marginal willingness to pay for public spending is larger which reduces public spending since the willingness to pay for public spending is decreasing in public spending.
Under assumptions (i)–(iii), the policy rule governing the representative government’s optimal resource tax policy specializes to the following: \(U_g =\left[ {\frac{1}{1-{\Theta }}} \right] \left[ {\frac{\left( {\beta +\phi } \right) }{\alpha }-\frac{\delta }{d}} \right] ,\) and taxes must satisfy, \(1-{\Theta }=\left( {1-{\mathrm{T}\varepsilon }} \right) \frac{1}{U_c }\left( {\frac{\beta +\phi }{\alpha }-\frac{\delta }{d}} \right) \) (see “Appendix 1.1”). These specific functional forms make it easier to see the tradeoff between the lobby’s influence and environmental damage.
If we consider a dynamic general equilibrium model with a dynamic resource stock, a change in the government’s weight for consumer’s welfare will also raise the interest rate faced by the resource owners as the capital tax rate is lowered. If the direct effect of the change in the government welfare weight on net output prices outweighs the indirect effect through the net interest rate, all our results still hold in the presence of a dynamic resource stock.
“Appendix 1.3.2” proves this result. Note that the effect of the resource tax rate on the return on capital is ambiguous. When capital and extracted resource are complements (substitutes), return on capital decreases (increases) with the resource tax rate in the reform country.
Note that the spending and tax rates satisfy the policy rules studied in the last section and hence are chosen optimally throughout. Therefore, when there is an exogenous change in a parameter, e.g., \(\alpha \) in one country, the response of both governments is optimal.
The simulation tables for these two cases are available from the authors upon request.
We are ignoring a term in \(K_{rr}\), namely \(\tau K_{rr}U_{g}\). If \(f_{kkk}\ge 0\) , then it is straightforward to show that \(\tau K_{rrr}U_{g}\le 0\) and \(\Lambda _{\tau \tau }<0\).
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We are grateful to Hayley Chouinard who provided comments on an earlier version of this manuscript and two reviewers who helped clarify some implications from our model.
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Appendix 1: Proof of Propositions
Appendix 1: Proof of Propositions
1.1 Proposition 1: Optimal Policy Rules
1.1.1 Policy Rules
Lemma
If (a) \(1-\frac{\theta M_q }{m}>0\) and (b) \(1+\tau \frac{K_r}{k}>0\), at an interior solution to the government’s decision problem, then an increase in either tax rate raises more revenue, given factor prices.
Proof
Differentiate the government’s budget constraint to obtain, \(\frac{\partial g}{\partial \theta }=m-\theta M_q =m\left( {1-\frac{\theta M_q }{m}} \right) \) and \(\frac{\partial g}{\partial \tau }=k+\tau K_r =k\left( {1+\frac{\tau K_r }{k}} \right) \).
To derive the optimal policy rules we solve the model backward. For the resource owner, \(M\left( {q-\theta } \right) =\left( {q-\theta } \right) /d\) solves their decision problem, with \(M_q =\frac{dm}{dq}=1/d\). For the representative consumption good firm, we have the demand for capital per worker and demand for the resource per worker, respectively, \(K\left( {r+\tau ,q} \right) \) and \(N\left( {r+\tau ,q} \right) \), which solve their decision problem. The government chooses its policy to maximize its objective function Eq. (1), taking into account that the responses of the firms and the response of the payment function, \(b\left( \theta \right) \). The first order conditions are
\(\square \)
Equation (12) yields Eq. (8) of Proposition 1. To obtain Eq. (9) we need to consider the lobby’s choice for \(db/d\theta \).
The lobby chooses the resource tax rate to maximize aggregate industry profit net of the political payment, \({\Pi }-b\), subject to the participation constraint, Eq. (3). The first order condition with respect to the resource tax rate is \(-m-\frac{\partial b}{\partial \theta }+\eta {\Lambda }_\theta =0\), where \(\eta \) is a Lagrange multiplier for the participation constraint. When the government optimizes on the resource tax rate, \({\Lambda }_\theta =0\). These two conditions imply that \(\frac{\partial b}{\partial \theta }=-m\). Use Eq. (13) and the truthfulness condition to obtain Eq. (9). Combining (8) and (9) implies (10).
If we assume \(u_D =-1,D=\delta m^{2}/2,\) and \(C=dm^{2}/2,\) then we obtain the special case of Eq. (9) given by,
which is Eq. (11), where \(\frac{\left( {q-\theta } \right) M_q }{m}=1,\) hence \(1-\frac{\theta M_q }{m}=1-\frac{\theta }{q-\theta }>0\). This is positive if the lemma holds.
Combine (12) and (13), and simplify,
which simplifies to the special case of Corollary 1 given by Eq. (13),
since \(\frac{\left( {q-\theta } \right) M_q }{m}=1\), and where \(\varepsilon =-\frac{\left( {r+\tau } \right) K_r }{k}>0\) is the own price elasticity for the demand for capital.
1.2 Transboundary Pollution
Suppose there are pollution spillovers and to simplify assume that all pollution created by resource extraction spills over everywhere. Damage at each location is then given by \(D=\delta \left( {\sum m^{j}} \right) ^{2}/2.\) The government in country i chooses the resource tax rate according to,
The equation for the lobby’s choice is almost the same as well. When combined,
Using this in (14), we have instead,
The resource lobby’s payment to the local government is still determined in the same manner. The only impact of the pollution spillovers on the policy rules occurs in the term \(\frac{\sum m^{j}}{m^{i}}>1\), which magnifies the impact of \(\frac{\delta }{d}.\) So the inclusion of the transboundary externality is similar to an increase in the damage parameter \(\delta \); an increase in this term due to \(\frac{\sum m^{j}}{m^{i}}>1\) leads to an increase in public spending, an increase in the resource tax rate, and a decrease in the capital tax rate, relative to not including the transboundary externality.
1.3 Proposition 2: Policy Responses
1.3.1 Policy Responses to a Shift Toward Consumer Welfare
We also require the second order conditions hold, \({\Lambda }_{\theta \theta } \le 0,{\Lambda }_{\tau \tau } \le 0,\)and \(\Lambda ={\Lambda }_{\theta \theta } {\Lambda }_{\tau \tau } -{\Lambda }_{\theta \tau } {\Lambda }_{\tau \theta } >0\) is the determinant of the Hessian, where these second derivatives are given by,
for an interior solution, where \({\Lambda }_{\tau \theta } <0\) if the lemma holds, and where we have used the policy rules to simplify.Footnote 19
To obtain the response of the representative government to an increase in the parameter \(\alpha \) when factor prices are fixed totally differentiate Eqs. (12) and (13),
and solve,
under the lemma, where \({\Lambda }_{\theta \alpha } =\frac{m}{\alpha }>0\). The response of government spending is,
where \(\xi =\frac{\left( {q-\theta } \right) M_q }{m}=1\) is the own price elasticity of demand for the resource. Since \({\Delta }\ge 0\) and \(k^{2}U_{cc} +\left( {1+\frac{\tau }{r+\tau }\varepsilon } \right) U_g K_r <0\), government spending is increasing in the parameter \(\alpha \) when the resource tax rate satisfies (b) of the lemma.
Following the same procedure, the resource tax rate is decreasing in \(\beta \) and \(\phi \), the capital tax rate is increasing in \(\beta \) and \(\phi \), and government spending is decreasing in \(\beta \) and \(\phi \), if part a of the Lemma holds. Finally, the impact of \(\delta \) on the equilibrium policy is the same as that of \(\alpha \), given prices; an increase in the damage parameter causes the resource tax rate and public spending to increase, and the capital tax rate to fall.
1.3.2 Response of Prices to an Increase in the Resource Tax Rate in One Country
Suppose the resource tax rate increases in country i in response to an increase in \(\alpha \) in that country, for example. And suppose that the tax rates in non-reform countries are fixed, but government spending responds to changes in the tax base in those countries. Differentiate the equilibrium conditions and solve to obtain,
where \(H=\mathop \sum \nolimits _j \left( {M_q^j -N_q^j } \right) \mathop \sum \nolimits _j K_r^j -\mathop \sum \nolimits _j N_r^j \mathop \sum \nolimits _j K_q^j <0.\) This is essentially the response of prices to \(\alpha \) in country i. An increase in \(\alpha \) in country i that raises the resource tax rate in that country will cause the resource price to increase and this will spillover to other countries. If \(f_{kn} >\left( < \right) 0,\) and hence \(K_q^j <\left( > \right) 0,\) then the return on capital decreases (increases) with the resource tax rate in the reform country.
1.4 Policy Reform Analysis
Differentiate the indirect utility function of the representative consumer,
where \(\frac{dR}{dq}=\theta M_q +tK_q \) is the response of tax revenue to q, \(\frac{dW}{dq}=-n\), and so on. Use the rules for the tax rates in the lobby equilibrium to simplify,
Next, differentiate the profit equation,
Next, to obtain the response of society’s welfare to a parameter, calculate \(\alpha dV+\beta d{\Pi }+Vd\alpha +{\Pi }d\beta \) to get,
where \(A_1 =\left( {\frac{dR}{dq}} \right) U_g +\frac{dw}{dq}U_c +U_D D_M M_q \) and \(A_2 =\left( {s-k} \right) U_c +U_g \frac{dR}{dr}\).
Equation (17) governs the welfare effects for consumers of any change in parameters, (18) governs the response of profit, and (19) governs society’s welfare, a combination of (17) and (18). Unfortunately, each equation is ambiguous. For example, the second and third expressions are ambiguous. The first expression in (17) captures the impact of the resource tax rate as it affects public spending and environmental damage. The second and third expressions capture the impact of relative prices on welfare, which are both ambiguous. From Eq. (18), resource profit is increasing in the net resource price.
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Batina, R.G., Galinato, G.I. The Spillover Effects of Good Governance in a Tax Competition Framework with a Negative Environmental Externality. Environ Resource Econ 67, 701–724 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-015-9995-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-015-9995-9