Abstract
In Southeast Asia, economic and population growth are expected in the near future. Rapid change is anticipated especially in the Lao PDR. Concern has been expressed that population growth will lead to an increased demand for food and economic growth to changes in the use of land. For food production to keep pace with the growth of population, it is very important to understand decision-making in rice paddy cultivation in urbanizing areas; for this reason, this study with the SEM model was conducted. The original data were collected by a questionnaire survey in some Lao villages; the survey included questions on various conditions, such as the availability of water in the dry season (irrigation), the access to a city, and job opportunities other than farming. The findings of the study demonstrate that the planting of a second rice crop was related to such factors as the productivity of rain-fed rice and cash crops and, most importantly, job opportunities other than farming.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Alexandratos N, Bruinsma J (2012) World agriculture towards 2030/2050: the 2012 revision, ESA Working paper 12(3)
Ellis (2000) Rural livelihoods and diversity in developing countries, Oxford University Press Chap 2, pp 28–51
Hoa LD, Elton L, Ian N, Johan B (2014) Understanding farmers’ adaptation intention to climate change: a structural equation modeling study in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam. Environ Sci Policy 41:11–22
Hooper D, Coughlan J, Mullen MR (2008) Structural equation modelling: guidelines for determining model fit. Electron J Bus Res Methods 6(1):53–60
IMF (2013) World economic outlook database April 2013. http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2013/01/weodata/index.aspx. Accessed 21 Aug 2013
Jodie B, Ullman (2006) Structural equation modeling: reviewing the basics and moving forward. J Personal Assess 87(1):35–30
Jöreskog (1971) Simultaneous factor analysis in several populations. Pychometrika 36(4):409–426
Luiza T, Erik M (2007) Environmental risk perception, environmental concern and propensity to participate in organic farming programmes. J Environ Manag 83(2):145–157
Miyaoka K, Maki M, Susaki J, Homma K, Noda K, Oki K (2013) Rice-planted area mapping using small sets of multi-temporal SAR data. Geosci Remote Sens Lett IEEE 10(6):1507–1511
Phimmahasay K, Davading S, Boyreau G (2012) Tightening demand to maintain macroeconomic balances: Lao PDR economic monitor. Washington DC: World Bank. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/11/17092149/tightening-demand-maintain-macroeconomic-balances-lao-pdr-economic-monitor. Accessed 27 Aug 2013
Rajan KS, Shibasaki R (2001) A GIS based integrated land use/cover change model to study agricultural and urban land use changes. In: The 22nd Asian conference on remote sensing, Singapore
Suzuki K, Goto A, Mizutani M, Sriboonlue V (2003) Simulation model of rain fed rice production on sloping land in northeast Thailand. Paddy Water Environ 1:91–97
UN (2011) World Urbanization Prospects: the 2011 Revision. http://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/index.html. Updated 26 Apr 2012. Accessed 27 Aug 2013
UN (2012) World Population Prospects: The 2012 revision. Medium fertility estimation. http://esa.un.org/wpp/. Updated 13 Jun 2013. Accessed 21 Aug 2013
von Thunen H (1826) Der Isolierte Staat in Beziehung auf Land Wirtschaft und National Ekonomie. Hamburg; in English translation by C. M. Wartenburg (1966). The isolated state, Oxford University Press, Oxford
Wongtragoon U, Kubo N, Tanji H (2010) Performance diagnosis of Mae Lao irrigation Scheme in Thailand (I) development of unsteady irrigation water distribution and consumption model. Paddy Water Environ 8:1–13
Wongtragoon U, Kubo N, Tanji H (2012) Performance diagnosis of Mae Lao irrigation scheme in Thailand (II) application of the UIWDC model for water distribution system analysis. Paddy Water Environ 10:321–332
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (1E − 1104: Development and Practice of Advanced Basin Model in Asia).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Noda, K., Maki, M., Miyaoka, K. et al. A decision-making model for rice paddy cropping in an urbanizing area of the Lao PDR. Paddy Water Environ 13, 487–493 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10333-014-0466-7
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10333-014-0466-7