Population Ecology

, Volume 54, Issue 1, pp 19–30

Spatial synchrony of recruitment in mountain-dwelling woodland caribou

Authors

    • Institute of Arctic BiologyUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks
    • Fish and Wildlife BranchEnvironment Yukon
  • David Verbyla
    • Department of Forest SciencesUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks
  • Falk Huettmann
    • Institute of Arctic BiologyUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks
  • Perry S. Barboza
    • Institute of Arctic BiologyUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks
Original Article

DOI: 10.1007/s10144-011-0275-4

Cite this article as:
Hegel, T.M., Verbyla, D., Huettmann, F. et al. Popul Ecol (2012) 54: 19. doi:10.1007/s10144-011-0275-4

Abstract

Spatial synchrony in population dynamics is a ubiquitous feature across a range of taxa. Understanding factors influencing this synchrony may shed light on important drivers of population dynamics. Three mechanisms influence the degree of spatial synchrony between populations: dispersal, shared predators, and spatial environmental covariance (the Moran effect). We assessed demographic spatial synchrony in recruitment (calf:cow ratio) of 10 northern mountain caribou herds in the Yukon Territory, Canada (1982–2008). Shared predators and dispersal were ruled out as causal mechanisms of spatial recruitment synchrony in these herds and therefore any spatial synchrony should be due to the Moran effect. We also assessed the degree of spatial synchrony in April snow depth to represent environmental variability. The regional average spatial synchrony in detrended residuals of April snow depth was 0.46 (95% CI 0.37 to 0.55). Spatial synchrony in caribou recruitment was weak at 0.13 (95% CI −0.06 to 0.32). The spatial scale of synchrony in April snow depth and caribou recruitment was 330.2 km (95% CI 236.3 to 370.0 km) and 170.0 km (95% CI 69.5 to 282.8 km), respectively. We also investigated how the similarity in terrain features between herds influenced the degree of spatial synchrony using exponential decay models. Only the difference in elevation variability between herds during calving was supported by the data. Herds with more similar elevation variability may track snowmelt ablation patterns in a more similar fashion, which would subsequently result in more synchronized predation rates on calves and/or nutritional effects impacting juvenile survival. Interspecific interactions with predators and alternate prey may also influence spatial synchrony of recruitment in these herds.

Keywords

Moran effectRangifer tarandus caribouSnow depthTerrainYukon Territory

Supplementary material

10144_2011_275_MOESM1_ESM.pdf (93 kb)
Supplementary material 1 (PDF 93 kb)

Copyright information

© The Society of Population Ecology and Springer 2011