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Relationship-specific investment as a barrier to entry

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Abstract

This study constructs a model of a relationship-specific investment in a dynamic framework. Although such investment decreases operating costs and increases the current joint profits of firms in vertical relationships, its specificity reduces the ex-post flexibility to change a trading partner in the future. We demonstrate that whether the investment contract deters entry even in the absence of exclusionary terms depends on not only the specificity but also the efficiency of the investment. We also show that an increase in the investment efficiency does not necessarily improve the equilibrium social welfare.

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Notes

  1. For example, Ticketmaster, the leading ticket sales and distribution company in the United States, develops an original system for concert venues and trains a venue’s personnel in the use of its system. See (Whinston 2006, Ch.4). See also Holden and O’Toole (2014) study, which explores the role of communication in determining the governance of manufacturer–retailer relationships.

  2. Postrel and Rumelt (1992) refer to the difficulty experienced by several companies such as Wedgwood and Nucor in changing employees’ old habits, which are called “habitual routines.” Further, in the psychological literature, Shiffrin and Schneider (1977) provide experimental evidence on this issue.

  3. From a competition policy perspective, switching costs are likely to be of considerable importance especially in formerly regulated industries such as electricity, natural gas, and telecommunications (OECD 2011b, Sect. 4). For an example of an antitrust case involving switching costs, see Sapporo Gas Co., Ltd. v. Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd., No. 558 (wa) (Sapporo Dist. Ct., Jul. 29, 2004) in the Japanese gas market.

  4. A similar trade-off is pointed out in (OECD 2011a, Ch.4). It mentions that legislative provisions allowing some switching costs to be charged to consumers can reduce transaction costs and improve consumer welfare and argues that “in the case of switching costs imposed in an attempt to reduce transactions costs, consideration should be given to whether the reduction in transactions costs that may result from introducing the switching cost justifies its likely anti-competitive impact in reducing the actual incidence of switching” (p.59).

  5. In the Structural Impediments Initiative (SII) between Japan and the United States during 1989–1990, particular attention was paid to the role of keiretsu. The U.S. government argued that keiretsu linkages made it difficult for foreign firms to enter the Japanese market. At the end of the SII talks, the Japanese government agreed to strengthen monitoring by its Fair Trade Commission of transactions among keiretsu firms and to take the necessary steps toward eliminating any restraints on competition that might arise from their business practices (Lawrence 1993b).

  6. Entry deterrence is analyzed in a number of studies wherein it arises owing to excess capacity (Spence 1977; Dixit 1980), quality uncertainty (Schmalensee 1982), and cost uncertainty (Milgrom and Roberts 1982).

  7. See also Wright (2008), Argenton (2010), Doganoglu and Wright (2010), Kitamura (2010), Kitamura (2011), Johnson (2012), and Kitamura et al. (2014).

  8. Many studies explore the investment promotion effect of exclusive dealing in isolation from its market foreclosure effect (Marvel 1982; Segal and Whinston 2000b; de Meza and Selvaggi 2007; Milliou 2008; de Fontenay et al. 2010). These studies show that exclusive dealing may solve the hold-up problem and increase the level of non-contractible investment in a specific market environment.

  9. Aghion and Bolton (1987) explore another exclusive contract that specifies stipulated damages to be paid by a breaching buyer. In their study, exclusive contracts are aimed at extracting rents from efficient entrants rather than foreclosing them from the markets. Therefore, in contrast to our study, their exclusion result requires uncertainty about the entrant’s production cost.

  10. Although the damages in the studies on exclusive contracts and the switching costs in our study seem to play a similar role, there is a crucial difference. While the damages are monetary transfers endogenously determined to compensate the incumbent for its lost profit, the switching costs in our study are not transfers between firms but exogenous costs.

  11. In the literature on anticompetitive exclusive dealing, in the absence of multiple downstream buyers, an upstream incumbent cannot deter efficient entry. Therefore, our modeling strategy of assuming a downstream monopoly clarifies the role of investment as an entry barrier.

  12. As stated earlier, if downstream firms in an industry are small companies, they usually have limited internal reserves and assets because they cannot obtain finance easily. Thus, upstream firms are more likely to incur investment costs and offer a specific investment to downstream firms.

  13. Introducing a positive investment cost does not alter our main results qualitatively.

  14. If we assume that the downstream firm rejects the investment when indifferent, some arguments in this study must be modified slightly. However, the essence of our results is still valid.

  15. If the incumbent could commit to a two-period wholesale contract \((w_{I|t=1},F_{I|t=1}, w_{I|t=2},F_{I|t=2})\) at Period 1, it could always deter the efficient entrant even without offering the investment contract that this study considers.

  16. We do not consider the investment between the entrant and the downstream firm. If the entrant could offer the investment contract at Period 2, the downstream firm that decides to deal with the entrant always accepts the offer and this reduces the downstream firm’s operating costs to less than \(c_{E}+c_{D}\). This does not alter our main results qualitatively.

  17. For more details, see “When the downstream firm rejects the investment at Period 1.1” in Appendix.

  18. In this study, we assume that there is no switching cost when the downstream firm rejects the investment contract at Period 1. Of course, there can be a positive switching cost to change the trading partner even when the investment is not made. However, in the context of “habitual routines,” the ex-post change of trading partner can be more costly when employees have established specific routines with the old partner than when they have not. Therefore, our setting can be interpreted as one in which the general switching cost that does not depend on whether the investment is made is normalized to zero; we only focus on the switching cost owing to the investment specificity.

  19. In addition, our timing structure at Period 1 is in line with the literature on exclusive dealing, which is closely related to our study. In this literature, it is known that anticompetitive exclusive dealings are enhanced if the incumbent can commit to wholesale prices at the time of offering exclusive contracts (e.g., Fumagalli and Motta 2006). To rule out this additional effect, most such studies assume that exclusive contracts do not include any commitment on wholesale prices. Similarly, our timing structure helps us to show that our results do not depend on any additional effects that could arise from such price commitment by the incumbent.

  20. Introducing discounting between Periods 1 and 2 does not alter our results qualitatively.

  21. For the detailed derivation of the equilibrium offer and profit of each firm, see Appendix 1.

  22. In addition, for (in)equalities (3)–(5) below, we have \(\lambda =in\) (out) if \(K<\hat{K}(d)\) (\(K\ge \hat{K}(d)\)).

  23. When inequality (5) is satisfied, the equilibrium amount of compensation that the incumbent offers at Period 1.1 is given by Eq. (4).

  24. In this subsection, we explore the investment’s social desirability under the assumption that trading partner choices of the downstream firm at Period 2 are determined by the firms’ private incentives (i.e., whether \(K\ge \hat{K}(d)\) holds). Instead, if we assume that a social planner or the government could force the downstream firm to deal with the entrant at Period 2, the evaluation of the investment’s social desirability could be different from that in this subsection. Details are available upon request.

  25. Letting CS denote consumer surplus aggregated for two periods, we have \(CS^{{ INE}}=(1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2/8+(1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2/8\) and \(CS^{{ NIE}}=(1-(c_I+c_D))^2/8+(1-(c_E+c_D))^2/8\). For consumer surplus, the investment leading to entry deterrence has both a current benefit and a future loss: while the investment reduces the downstream firm’s marginal cost and thereby the final price at Period 1, the resulting entry deterrence raises the final price at Period 2. Actually, we can show that \(CS^{{ INE}}\gtreqless CS^{{ NIE}}\) if and only if \(d\gtreqless \overline{d}\); that is, the investment leading to entry deterrence has an impact on consumer surplus similar to that on social welfare.

  26. As for consumer surplus, we have \(CS^{{ IE}}=(1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2/8+(1-(c_E+c_D))^2/8\), where we note that the investment does not generate a future loss for consumers at Period 2. Therefore, we have \(CS^{{ IE}} \ge CS^{{ NIE}}\), with equality if \(d=0\); that is, the investment accommodating the efficient entrant never harms consumers.

  27. From Eq. (9), it is easy to see that \(W^{{ NIE}}\) is independent of investment efficiency d.

  28. If we assume that the downstream firm rejects an investment contract when it is indifferent, the investment is accepted only for \(d>0\) also under \(K<\hat{K}(0)\). Therefore, the equilibrium social welfare under \(K<\hat{K}(0)\) discontinuously changes not only around \(d=\hat{d}(K)\) but also around \(d=0\). In the latter case, as the investment efficiency slightly increases from zero to positive, the equilibrium social welfare under \(K<\hat{K}(0)\) changes from \(W^{{ NIE}}\) to \(W^{{ IE}}\). Proposition 3 implies that this discontinuous change reduces the equilibrium social welfare.

  29. Since entry deterrence triggered by the investment efficiency leads to an increase in final price at Period 2, a result similar to that for Proposition 4 also holds for consumer surplus; that is, a slight improvement in investment efficiency d around \(\hat{d}(K)\) reduces the equilibrium consumer surplus.

  30. To be precise, (OECD 2011a, Ch.4) focuses on the situation where an incumbent supplier must incur some switching costs in the event a buyer switches the supplier and discusses the regulation that limits the incumbent’s ability to pass these switching costs on to the buyer. Our setting in the absence of regulation can be interpreted as the situation where it is the incumbent that incurs the switching costs when the downstream firm switches the supplier after investing but the incumbent passes all of these costs on to the downstream firm.

  31. In our setting, we can indeed show that this type of regulation has these effects on social welfare under some additional assumptions. Details are available upon request.

  32. In the case of linear wholesale pricing, if the investment has been rejected at Period 1, the incumbent’s offer at Period 2 takes the form of \((w_{I|t=2},x_2)\). This is essentially equivalent to a two-part tariff contract and thus inconsistent with the assumption of linear wholesale pricing. However, since the incumbent sets \(x_2=0\) in the equilibrium through the competition with the entrant, this feature of the incumbent’s offer is innocuous for our analysis. Nevertheless, one possible way to avoid this inconsistency is to make an additional assumption that the investment contract at Period 2 does not include fixed compensation. Details on the case of linear wholesale pricing are available upon request.

  33. The incumbent can do this by offering \(w_{I\mid t=2}=c_{I}\) and choosing the fixed fee that makes the downstream firm indifferent between its offer and that of the entrant: \(F_{I\mid t=2}=(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}/4-\left[ (1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}/4-K\right] \).

  34. We can make different assumptions about what happens when the downstream firm decides to deal with the incumbent but rejects the investment. Although we assume here that the incumbent makes the investment and wholesale offers in a take-it-or-leave-it manner, we can alternatively assume that if the downstream firm chooses the incumbent but rejects the investment, the incumbent deals with the downstream firm at the wholesale price \((w_{I|t=2},F_{I|t=2})\), which the incumbent initially offered along with \(x_2\). In addition, under this assumption, the incumbent’s best offer is the one that induces the downstream firm to accept the investment and provides it \(\pi _{D|t=2}^{r(in)}+x_2=(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}/4\).

  35. If the incumbent is able to offer a wholesale contract once again after these initial offers are rejected, the equilibrium outcomes when the investment and wholesale offers are rejected coincide with those in the original model, and thus, the exclusion result remains unchanged.

  36. By substituting \(w_{I|t=1}=c_I\) into Eq. (4), we see that the incumbent’s optimal investment and wholesale offer at Period 1 is given by any triple \((w_{I|t=1},F_{I|t=1},x_1)\), such that \(w_{I|t=1}=c_I\) and \(-F_{I|t=1}+x_1=\varepsilon \).

  37. In the equilibrium under \(K<\hat{K}(d)\), the investment contract is accepted but entry occurs for all \(d \ge 0\)—that is, Lemma 2 continues to hold. As for the welfare effects of the investment, Propositions 2, 3, 4 also still hold, because the equilibrium consumer surplus and firms’ profits remain unchanged.

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Acknowledgments

We would like to thank Katsuya Takii, Yuki Amemiya, Reiko Aoki, Koki Arai, Hiroaki Ino, Akira Ishii, Hideshi Itoh, Masayuki Kanezaki, Keisuke Hattori, Noriaki Matsushima, Keizo Mizuno, Jun Nakabayashi, Hiroyuki Odagiri, Jun Oshiro, Daniel Rubinfeld, Daisuke Shimizu, Tetsuya Shinkai, Mitsuru Sunada, Noriyuki Yanagawa, Takenobu Yuki, conference participants at the Japanese Association for Applied Economics, Japanese Economic Association, and Institutions and Economics International Conference, and seminar participants at Hitotsubashi University, Japan Fair Trade Commission, Kwansei Gakuin University, Osaka University, Osaka Prefecture University, and Sapporo Gakuin University for the helpful discussions and comments. We also thank the editor, Giacomo G. Corneo, and three anonymous referees for their constructive comments and suggestions. We gratefully acknowledge financial support from JSPS KAKENHI Grant Numbers 22243022, 22830075, 24730220, 12J01593, 15H03349, and 15K17060 and from the Global COE program, “Human Behavior and Socioeconomic Dynamics,” of Osaka University. The second author is a JSPS Research Fellow. The usual disclaimer applies.

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Correspondence to Hiroshi Kitamura.

Appendices

Appendix 1: Equilibria in the subgame following Period 1.1

In this Appendix, we analyze the equilibrium in each of the possible subgames after Period 1.1. In particular, we explore the wholesale contracts offered by upstream firms, realized profit of each firm, and entry behavior of the entrant in the equilibrium of each subgame.

1.1 When the downstream firm accepts the investment at Period 1.1

First, suppose that the downstream firm accepts the relationship-specific investment at Period 1.1. At Period 1.2, to solve the double marginalization problem, the incumbent sets its per-unit wholesale price to equal its marginal cost and extracts all of the downstream firm’s profit through the fixed fee; that is, the incumbent offers the following wholesale contract:

$$\begin{aligned} (w_{I\mid t=1},F_{I\mid t=1})=\left( c_{I},\frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}}{4}\right) . \end{aligned}$$

Therefore, the incumbent and the downstream firm respectively yield the following operating profits (gross of fixed compensation \(x_1\)) at Period 1.3:

$$\begin{aligned} \Pi _{I\mid t=1}^{a} =\frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}}{4}; \quad \pi _{D\mid t=1}^{a} =0. \end{aligned}$$

At Period 2.1, the entrant decides whether to enter the upstream market. If such entry does not occur, the incumbent monopolizes the market and offers the same wholesale contract as at Period 1. Therefore, the equilibrium operating profits for the incumbent, the entrant, and the downstream firm respectively become

$$\begin{aligned} \Pi _{I\mid t=2}^{a(out)} =\frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}}{4}; \quad \Pi _{E\mid t=2}^{a(out)} =0; \quad \pi _{D\mid t=2}^{a(out)} =0. \end{aligned}$$
(16)

By contrast, when the entrant enters the upstream market, the incumbent and the entrant compete for the downstream firm at Period 2.2. While the incumbent’s best offer \((w_{I\mid t=2},F_{I\mid t=2})=(c_{I},0)\) leaves the downstream firm with \((1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}/4\), the entrant’s best offer \((w_{E\mid t=2},F_{E\mid t=2})=(c_{E},0)\) leaves the downstream firm with \((1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}/4-K\). Therefore, which upstream firm profitably captures the downstream firm depends on the investment specificity and efficiency. First, if \((1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}/4\ge (1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}/4-K\), which is equivalent to \(K\ge \hat{K}(d)\), the downstream firm’s switching costs are so high that the incumbent can profitably attract the downstream firm.Footnote 33 Anticipating that the post-entry profit is zero, the entrant does not enter the market in the equilibrium (owing to negligible entry costs). Therefore, in this case, the equilibrium profit of each firm at Period 2 is given by Eq. (16).

Second, if \((1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}/4<(1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}/4-K\), which is equivalent to \(K<\hat{K}(d)\), the level of switching costs is low enough for the entrant to profitably attract the downstream firm. In this case, the incumbent and the entrant offer the following wholesale contracts:

$$\begin{aligned} \begin{array}{ll} (w_{I\mid t=2},F_{I\mid t=2}) &{} =(c_{I},0),\\ (w_{E\mid t=2},F_{E\mid t=2}) &{} =\left( c_{E},\frac{(1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}}{4}-\left[ \frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}}{4}+K+\varepsilon \right] \right) , \end{array} \end{aligned}$$

where \(\varepsilon \) is some infinitesimally small number. At Period 2.3, the downstream firm decides to deal with the entrant. Then, at Period 2.4, each firm yields the following operating profits:

$$\begin{aligned} \Pi _{I\mid t=2}^{a(in)}= & {} 0,\\ \Pi _{E\mid t=2}^{a(in)}= & {} \frac{(1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}}{4}-\left[ \frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}}{4}+K+\varepsilon \right] ,\\ \pi _{D\mid t=2}^{a(in)}= & {} \frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}}{4}+\varepsilon . \end{aligned}$$

Therefore, anticipating that the post-entry profit is strictly positive, the entrant enters the market at Period 2.1 in the equilibrium.

1.2 When the downstream firm rejects the investment at Period 1.1

Next, suppose that the downstream firm rejects the relationship-specific investment at Period 1.1. At Period 1.2, the incumbent offers the following wholesale contract:

$$\begin{aligned} (w_{I\mid t=1},F_{I\mid t=1})=\left( c_{I},\frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}))^{2}}{4}\right) . \end{aligned}$$

Therefore, at Period 1.3, the incumbent and the downstream firm respectively yield

$$\begin{aligned} \Pi _{I\mid t=1}^{r} =\frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}))^{2}}{4}; \quad \pi _{D\mid t=1}^{r} =0. \end{aligned}$$

At Period 2.1, the entrant decides whether to enter the market. If such entry occurs, the incumbent and the entrant compete for the downstream firm at Period 2.2. In this subgame, the incumbent makes an investment offer again along with a wholesale contract. We assume here that the simultaneity of investment and wholesale offers allows the incumbent to make those offers in a take-it-or-leave-it manner; that is, it can commit to not dealing with the downstream firm unless the downstream firm accepts both the investment and wholesale offers. This implies that if the downstream firm chooses the incumbent but rejects the investment, its profit becomes zero.

Under this assumption, the incumbent’s best offer is given by any triple \((w_{I|t=2},F_{I|t=2},x_2)\) such that \(w_{I|t=2}=c_I\) and \(-F_{I|t=2}+x_2=0\). Given this offer, if the downstream firm deals with the incumbent, it accepts the investment offer because it then obtains \(\pi _{D|t=2}^{r(in)}+x_2=(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}/4>0\).Footnote 34 On the other hand, the entrant’s best offer is given by \((w_{E\mid t=2},F_{E\mid t=2})=(c_{E},0)\), which leaves the downstream firm with \(\pi _{D|t=2}^{r(in)}=(1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}/4\). As a result, the entrant can profitably capture the downstream firm. Therefore, in the equilibrium, the incumbent and the entrant respectively offer the following wholesale (and investment) contracts:

$$\begin{aligned} (w_{I|t=2},F_{I|t=2},x_2)= & {} (c_I,F,x) \ \ \text {where} \ \ -F+x=0, \\ (w_{E\mid t=2},F_{E\mid t=2})= & {} \left( c_{E},\frac{(1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}}{4}-\left[ \frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}}{4}+\varepsilon \right] \right) . \end{aligned}$$

Then, the downstream firm decides to deal with the entrant and each firm yields the following operating profits:

$$\begin{aligned} \Pi _{I\mid t=2}^{r(in)}= & {} 0,\\ \Pi _{E\mid t=2}^{r(in)}= & {} \frac{(1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}}{4}-\left[ \frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}}{4}+\varepsilon \right] ,\\ \pi _{D\mid t=2}^{r(in)}= & {} \frac{(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}-d))^{2}}{4}+\varepsilon . \end{aligned}$$

Therefore, anticipating the positive post-entry profit, the entrant enters the market at Period 2.1 in the equilibrium.

Appendix 2: Proofs

1.1 Proof of Lemma 1

Note that since we assume negligibly small entry costs, the entrant does not enter the market if and only if its post-entry profit is less than or equal to zero. If the entrant enters the market, the incumbent and the entrant compete for the downstream firm at Period 2.2. While the incumbent’s best offer leaves the downstream firm with \((1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2/4\), the entrant’s best offer leaves the downstream firm with \((1-(c_E+c_D))^2/4-K\). Therefore, if

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{(1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2}{4} \ge \frac{(1-(c_E+c_D))^2}{4}-K \end{aligned}$$

holds, the incumbent profitably attracts the downstream firm and the entrant’s post-entry profit becomes zero. By solving this inequality with respect to K, we have \(K\ge \hat{K}(d)\). \(\square \)

1.2 Proof of Proposition 1

Recall that the relationship-specific investment deters the entrant if and only if both of inequalities \(K\ge \hat{K}(d)\) and (5) hold. Substituting equilibrium profits (see Table 2 or Appendix 1) into inequality (5), it can be rewritten as follows:

$$\begin{aligned} 2\left[ \frac{(1-(c_I + c_D - d))^2}{4}\right] \!\ge \! \frac{(1-(c_I \!+\! c_D))^2}{4}\!+\!\frac{(1-(c_I \!+\! c_D - d))^2}{4}\!+\!\varepsilon . \end{aligned}$$
(17)

It is easy to see that this inequality holds if and only if \(d > 0\). Therefore, when \(d=0\), inequality (17) does not hold and the incumbent cannot profitably induce the downstream firm to accept the investment contract, even if \(K\ge \hat{K}(0)\) is satisfied. On the other hand, when \(d>0\), inequality (17) always holds and the incumbent can deter the efficient entrant if and only if \(K\ge \hat{K}(d)\) is satisfied. \(\square \)

1.3 Proof of Proposition 2

From Eqs. (8) and (9), we have

$$\begin{aligned} W^{{ INE}} \gtreqless W^{{ NIE}}\iff & {} \frac{3(1-(c_I + c_D - d))^2}{4} \gtreqless \frac{3(1-(c_I + c_D))^2}{8}\\&+\frac{3(1-(c_E + c_D))^2}{8}\\\iff & {} d \gtreqless \sqrt{\frac{(1-(c_I + c_D))^2+(1-(c_E + c_D))^2}{2}}\\&-(1-(c_I + c_D)). \end{aligned}$$

Letting \(\overline{d}\) denote the right-hand side of the last inequality, we obtain the proposition. \(\square \)

1.4 Proof of Proposition 3

From Eqs. (9) and (12), we have

$$\begin{aligned} W^{{ NIE}} \gtreqless W^{{ IE}}&\iff \frac{3(1-(c_I + c_D))^2}{8} \gtreqless \frac{3(1-(c_I + c_D - d))^2}{8}-K \\&\iff K \gtreqless \frac{3d[(1-(c_I+c_D-d))+(1-(c_I+c_D))]}{8}. \end{aligned}$$

Let \(\tilde{K}(d)\) denote the right-hand side of the last inequality. It is easy to see that \(\partial \tilde{K}(d)/\partial d>0\) and \(\tilde{K}(0)=0\). Recall that we now consider the case of \(K<\hat{K}(d)\). From the properties of \(\hat{K}(d)\) and \(\tilde{K}(d)\), there exists \(\underline{d} \in (0,c_I-c_E)\) such that \(\hat{K}(\underline{d})=\tilde{K}(\underline{d})\). Then, \(\underline{d}\) can be obtained as Eq. (13) and it is easy to see that \(\underline{d}<\overline{d}\). When \(d>\underline{d}\), we have \(K<\hat{K}({d})<\tilde{K}({d})\). Therefore, \(W^{{ NIE}}<W^{{ IE}}\) always holds. On the other hand, when \(d \le \underline{d}\), we have \(\hat{K}({d}) \ge \tilde{K}({d})\). Therefore, we have \(W^{{ NIE}} \gtreqless W^{{ IE}}\) if and only if \(K \gtreqless \tilde{K}(d)\). \(\square \)

1.5 Proof of Proposition 4

We show that a slight improvement in investment efficiency d around \(\hat{d}(K)\) discontinuously reduces the equilibrium social welfare. Since the reasons behind this result differ depending on \(K\ge \hat{K}(0)\) and \(K<\hat{K}(0)\), we explore these two cases separately. To indicate the dependence on investment efficiency d, we denote welfare levels when the investment is made at Period 1 as \(W^{{ INE}}(d)\) and \(W^{{ IE}}(d)\).

First, we show that the equilibrium social welfare under \(K\ge \hat{K}(0)\) discontinuously decreases at \(d=\hat{d}(K)=0\). Note that the equilibrium social welfare in this case is equal to \(W^{{ NIE}}\) for \(d=0\) and \(W^{{ INE}}(d)\) for \(d \in (0, c_I-c_E)\). Since Proposition 2 shows \(W^{{ NIE}}>W^{{ INE}}(d)\) for a sufficiently small \(d>0\), it can be seen that a slight improvement in investment efficiency from \(d=0\) reduces social welfare in the equilibrium.

Next, we show that the equilibrium social welfare under \(K < \hat{K}(0)\) discontinuously decreases at \(d=\hat{d}(K)=\sqrt{(1-(c_{E}+c_{D}))^{2}-4K}-(1-(c_{I}+c_{D}))\). Note that the equilibrium social welfare in this case is equal to \(W^{{ IE}}(d)\) for \(d \in [0, \hat{d}(K))\) and \(W^{{ INE}}(d)\) for \(d \in [\hat{d}(K), c_I-c_E)\). From Eqs. (8) and (12), we have

$$\begin{aligned}&\lim _{d \rightarrow \hat{d}(K)-0} W^{{ IE}}(d) = \frac{3(1-(c_E+c_D))^2}{4}-\frac{5}{2}K; \\&\qquad W^{{ INE}}(\hat{d}(K)) = \frac{3(1-(c_E+c_D))^2}{4}-3K, \end{aligned}$$

and it is easy to see that \(\lim _{d \rightarrow \hat{d}(K)-0} W^{{ IE}}(d) > W^{{ INE}}(\hat{d}(K))\). Therefore, the equilibrium social welfare discontinuously decreases when d exceeds or even equals \(\hat{d}(K)\). \(\square \)

Appendix 3: When the incumbent offers investment and wholesale contracts at the same time at both periods

In this Appendix, we consider the case where the incumbent offers an investment contract at the same time it offers its wholesale contract at Period 1, as well as at Period 2. Note that in this setting, Lemma 1 and the Period 2 profits in Table 2 remain unchanged. Therefore, in what follows, we assume that \(K \ge \hat{K}(d)\) holds and derive the condition under which the investment contract leading to entry deterrence is offered and accepted at Period 1.

As in the analysis of Period 2 (see “When the downstream firm rejects the investment at Period 1.1” in Appendix), we assume that the simultaneity of investment and wholesale offers at Period 1.1 allows the incumbent to make those offers in a take-it-or-leave-it manner; that is, it can commit to not dealing with the downstream firm at Period 1.2 unless the downstream firm accepts both the investment and wholesale offers.Footnote 35

We first derive the condition under which the incumbent makes both the investment and wholesale offers at Period 1. If the incumbent can offer investment and wholesale contracts concurrently, it has two options: offer both investment and wholesale contracts, \((w_{I|t=1},F_{I|t=1},x_1)\), or offer only a wholesale contract, \((w_{I|t=1},F_{I|t=1})\). When the incumbent makes only a wholesale offer, \((w_{I|t=1},F_{I|t=1})\), at Period 1, entry always occurs at Period 2. This implies that whether the downstream firm accepts or rejects the wholesale contract at Period 1 affects neither the incumbent’s nor the downstream firm’s profits at Period 2. Hence, the downstream firm accepts the wholesale offer if and only if \((1-(w_{I|t=1}+c_D))^2/4-F_{I|t=1} \ge 0\). From this inequality, by setting \((w_{I|t=1},F_{I|t=1})=(c_I,(1-(c_I+c_D))^2/4)\), the incumbent makes the following two-period profit when it makes only a wholesale offer:

$$\begin{aligned} \Pi ^{NI}_{I|t=1}+\Pi ^{NI}_{I|t=2} = \frac{(1-(c_I+c_D))^2}{4} + 0. \end{aligned}$$
(18)

The incumbent offers the investment along with its wholesale contract, \((w_{I|t=1},F_{I|t=1},x_1)\), if and only if such an offer is the best option;

$$\begin{aligned} \Pi ^a_{I|t=1} - x_1 + \Pi ^{a(out)}_{I|t=2} \ge \max \left\{ \Pi ^{r}_{I|t=1}+\Pi ^{r(in)}_{I|t=2},\Pi ^{NI}_{I|t=1}+\Pi ^{NI}_{I|t=2}\right\} . \end{aligned}$$
(19)

Note that the right-hand side of this inequality differs from that of inequality (2) with \(\lambda =out\). In the original setting, the incumbent’s profit when the incumbent makes the investment offer but it is rejected coincides with that when it does not make the investment offer. However, in the current setting, these two profits do not coincide. The incumbent earns the positive profit of Eq. (18) when it does not make the investment offer. In contrast, since we assume that the incumbent commits to not dealing with the downstream firm at Period 1.2 if the investment offer is rejected, the incumbent’s two-period profit becomes zero when the incumbent makes the investment offer but it is rejected—namely, \(\Pi ^{r}_{I|t=1}+\Pi ^{r(in)}_{I|t=2}=0\). Therefore, the right-hand side of inequality (19) is given by \(\Pi ^{NI}_{I|t=1}+\Pi ^{NI}_{I|t=2}\). Then, by using Eq. (18) and \(\Pi ^{a(out)}_{I|t=2}=(1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2/4\) in Table 2, inequality (19) can be rewritten as follows:

$$\begin{aligned}&\left[ \frac{(w_{I|t=1}-c_I)(1-(w_{I|t=1}+c_D-d))}{2} + F_{I|t=1}\right] \nonumber \\&\quad -x_1 + \frac{(1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2}{4} \ge \frac{(1-(c_I+c_D))^2}{4} + 0. \end{aligned}$$
(20)

Next, we examine the condition under which the downstream firm accepts both the investment and wholesale offers at Period 1. Like inequality (3) with \(\lambda =out\), the downstream firm accepts the offers if and only if \(\pi ^a_{D|t=1} + x_1 + \pi ^{a(out)}_{D|t=2} \ge \pi ^r_{D|t=1}+\pi ^{r(in)}_{D|t=2}\). By using \(\pi ^{a(out)}_{D|t=2}=0\) and \(\pi ^{r(in)}_{D|t=2}=(1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2/4+\varepsilon \) in Table 2, this inequality becomes

$$\begin{aligned}&\left[ \frac{(1-(w_{I|t=1}+c_D-d))^2}{4}-F_{I|t=1}\right] + x_1 + 0 \ge 0\nonumber \\&\quad + \left[ \frac{(1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2}{4}+\varepsilon \right] . \end{aligned}$$
(21)

Note that the first term on the right-hand side is zero; that is, \(\pi ^r_{D|t=1}=0\). Although this is the same result as in the original setting (see “When the downstream firm rejects the investment at Period 1.1” in Appendix), the reason is different. Here, this is because the incumbent commits to not dealing with the downstream firm at Period 1.2 if the investment offer is rejected.

Finally, we examine the condition under which the incumbent offers the investment along with its wholesale contract and the downstream firm accepts the offer. To do this, we explore the existence of \(x_1\) that satisfies inequalities (20) and (21) simultaneously. Since the incumbent sets \(x_1\) such that inequality (21) holds with equality, we have

$$\begin{aligned} x_1\!=\!\left[ \frac{(1-(c_I\!+\!c_D-d))^2}{4}\!+\!\varepsilon \right] -\left[ \frac{(1-(w_{I|t=1}\!+\!c_D-d))^2}{4}-F_{I|t=1}\right] . \end{aligned}$$
(22)

By substituting Eq. (22) into inequality (20) and rearranging it, we obtain

$$\begin{aligned}&\frac{(w_{I|t=1}-c_I)(1-(w_{I|t=1}+c_D-d))}{2} + \frac{(1-(w_{I|t=1}+c_D-d))^2}{4} -\varepsilon \nonumber \\&\quad \ge \frac{(1-(c_I+c_D))^2}{4}. \end{aligned}$$
(23)

Note that the left-hand side of this inequality is maximized when \(w_{I|t=1}=c_I\).Footnote 36 Therefore, by substituting \(w_{I|t=1}=c_I\) into inequality (23) and rearranging it, we derive

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{(1-(c_I+c_D-d))^2}{4} - \varepsilon \ge \frac{(1-(c_I+c_D))^2}{4} \iff d>0. \end{aligned}$$

Therefore, we obtain a result identical to Proposition 1; that is, the incumbent can deter the efficient entrant through the investment contract, if and only if \(K \ge \hat{K}(d)\) and \(d > 0\).Footnote 37

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Kitamura, H., Miyaoka, A. & Sato, M. Relationship-specific investment as a barrier to entry. J Econ 119, 17–45 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00712-016-0482-8

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