Introduction

The connection between the strength of tectonic faults and earthquake rupture is central to studies of the physics of earthquakes. Earthquake stress drop is one of the source parameters of the earthquake rupture process that can be obtained from observed waveforms. The resultant stress drop reflects the state of stress and the strength of the rocks in which the faulting occurs. Previous studies have shown spatial and temporal variations in stress drop (e.g., McGarr and Fletcher 2002; Allmann and Shearer 2007, 2009; Baltay et al. 2011; Chen and Shearer 2011). Allmann and Shearer (2007) have systematically examined the spatial distribution of earthquake stress drop along the creeping section of the San Andreas fault, California, and found that high-stress-drop earthquakes occurred near the hypocenter of the 2004 magnitude (M) 6.0 Parkfield earthquake.

Another important aspect of the earthquake stress drop is its spatial heterogeneity within rupture areas. Dreger et al. (2007) revealed that micro-earthquakes (M ~ 2) in the transitionally creeping Parkfield segment of the San Andrea fault have complex slip distributions leading to locally high-peak stress drops (70–90 MPa), while the stress drop averaged over the entire rupture patch is only about 10 MPa. The averaged stress drop obtained is in good agreement with the estimated stress drop inferred from corner frequency measurements (Imanishi and Ellsworth 2006), and the peak value is in good agreement with estimates from Nadeau and Johnson (1998) inferred from recurrence intervals and geodetic loading information after accounting for differences in the rigidity used in that study. This would indicate that estimates of stress drop using corner frequency measurements are sensitive to the stress drop averaged over the rupture area, while the finite-source modeling resolves the detailed spatial distribution of stress drop within the rupture interior. Robust estimates of both average stress drop and stress change heterogeneity during earthquake rupture are important for a better understanding of both rupture dynamics and faulting mechanics.

It should be also noted that only a few studies have examined the spatial distributions of fault slip (and stress) for smaller earthquakes (M ≤ 4) (e.g., Mori 1993; Yamada et al. 2005; Dreger et al. 2007; Uchide and Ide 2010). This is because high-quality seismograms from local networks, especially borehole seismometers are needed to capture high-frequency waves (>1 Hz) for exploring the rupture process of such small earthquakes. Here, we document the high-resolution imaging of the kinematic finite-source rupture models for four recent M 3+ Hayward fault (HF) earthquakes (hereafter called the target earthquakes) listed in Table 1. We make use of the low-noise recordings from a dense array of 8–12 borehole stations that provide a unique opportunity for investigating the rupture process of the HF micro-earthquakes. Using an empirical Green’s function approach, we extract moment rate functions for the target HF earthquakes and examine their spatial slip distributions.

Table 1 Hayward-fault target and empirical Green’s function (eGf) earthquakes

Data and analysis

Hayward fault network

The HF in the San Francisco Bay Area of California is one of the major strands of the San Andreas fault system, extending in length for about 70 km. Crustal deformation along the HF is characterized by a wide variety of fault slip behaviors from aseismic creep (Schmidt et al. 2005) to stick–slip earthquakes including the 1868 HF earthquake that had an inferred seismic moment magnitude (M w) of 6.8 (e.g., Lienkaemper et al. 2012). To explore the rupture processes for the four target earthquakes (Table 1), we make use of borehole seismograms from the Hayward fault network (HFN). This network is composed of an array of borehole instrumentation deployed along the HF to complement the regional surface broadband and short-period seismic networks for improving monitoring capabilities of the spatial and temporal evolution of micro-seismicity in the area (Uhrhammer and McEvilly 1997). It also contributes operational data to the Northern California Seismic System (NCSS) for real-time seismic monitoring and long-term hazards mitigation and enables a significantly lower detection threshold for micro-earthquakes.

In 1995–1997, the HFN was initially deployed through a cooperative effort between the U.C. Berkeley campus, the U.C. Berkeley Seismological Laboratory (BSL), U.S. Geological Survey, California Department of Transportation (Caltrans), and Lawrence Berkeley and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories. Both free-field and non-free-field (i.e., located at the regions major bridges) borehole stations were installed. Coverage and density of the HFN stations have grown through time. During 2001–2006, five borehole seismometers were installed along the San Andreas fault system in the San Francisco Bay Area through the integrated instrumentation program for broadband observations of plate boundary deformation called the mini-Plate Boundary Observatory (mini-PBO) project (Murray et al. 2002). These 5 sites and 2 additional sites from the NSF PBO project were folded into the HFN in 2006–2007 and 2010, respectively. During 2005–2009, three additional HFN sites were installed with support from Caltrans. As of January 2015, 19 borehole stations are operational, which provides an unprecedented high-resolution coverage suitable for earthquake source studies of HF earthquakes (Fig. 1). Of the 14 M 3+ events that have occurred during 2008–2014 at a central part of the HFN where the station coverage is excellent (the dashed rectangle in Fig. 1a), we were only able to find nearby smaller earthquakes suitable for empirical Green’s function analysis for the four target earthquakes studied here.

Fig. 1
figure 1

a Map view of the background seismicity (1990–2013) around the San Francisco Bay Area of central California. Gray dots are earthquake locations relocated by Waldhauser and Schaff (2008). Open circles are M ≥ 3.0 earthquakes that occurred during this time interval. Blue triangles are the locations of the borehole sites of the Hayward fault network. Red lines are the surface traces of the faults (U.S. Geological Survey and California Geological Survey, Quaternary fault and fold database for the USA, 2010, http://earthquake.usgs.gov/hazards/qfaults/). The map insert shows our target area (solid rectangle). b Enlarged view of the seismicity within the dashed rectangle shown in a. Green stars are the M ≥ 3.0 Hayward fault earthquakes analyzed (BK11, the October 20, 2011, M w 4.0 Berkeley; EC12, the March 5, 2012, M w 4.0 El Cerrito earthquake; OR13-1, the October 7, 2013, M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake; and OR13-2, the October 15, 2013, M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake)

The HFN stations are typically equipped with three-component short-period geophones (the natural frequency is either 2.0 or 4.5 Hz) and accelerometers at a depth of 30–200 m. The seismic data are sampled at up to 500 Hz, although the majority of data used are sampled at 100 Hz. The HFN borehole sensors serve to notably reduce the environmental noise (e.g., car traffic, ocean surf) in the frequency range of interest (i.e., 0.1–30 Hz). A few sites are installed near Bay Area bridges for monitoring input ground motions affecting those structures (e.g., stations PETB and VALB). At these sites, the background noise levels are comparable to or larger than those from most surface stations. Seismic data collected by the HFN stations are archived at the Northern California Earthquake Data Center (NCEDC), and all waveform data used in this study were extracted from the NCEDC (2014). More detailed information about the HFN is available at http://seismo.berkeley.edu/bdsn/hfn.overview.html and http://seismo.berkeley.edu/docs/2014anrep_pt2.pdf.

Moment rate function

We employ an empirical Green’s function (eGf) deconvolution approach (Mori and Hartzell 1990) to extract the moment rate function (MRF) for the target M 3+ HF earthquakes. In this approach, the MRF of a larger target earthquake is obtained by deconvolving the waveform of a nearby small earthquake (used as an eGf) with a similar focal mechanism from the waveform of the larger target earthquake. Note that the resulting MRF is then normalized for finite-source modeling by setting the area of the MRF to the scalar moment of the target event, where the scalar moment is independently obtained. This deconvolution approach is reasonable if the difference in magnitude between the target and eGf events is more than one unit of magnitude, in which it can be assumed that the moment rate of the eGf event is a Dirac delta function.

We first search for smaller earthquakes for individual target M 3+ earthquakes from the high-resolution double-difference earthquake catalog from Waldhauser and Schaff (2008). We also examine a set of deconvolved waveforms from different eGf events because identifying appropriate small earthquakes as eGf events is one of the key aspects for the finite-source rupture inversion. We test waveforms from smaller earthquakes that occurred within 500 m of the target hypocenter horizontally and with no depth restriction, having magnitudes at least 1.0 unit smaller than the target earthquake. We examine 2–3 eGf events for each target M 3+ earthquake to identify an optimal eGf event that provides the highest signal-to-noise ratio on the deconvolved MRFs, as well as to ascertain the stability of the obtained MRF.

We use a water-level deconvolution approach to extract MRFs of the target earthquake (Clayton and Wiggins 1976). A 1 % water level is used to stabilize the frequency-domain deconvolution. The time window used for the deconvolution mainly includes direct S waves (Fig. 2a) and starts at least 0.5 s after the direct P-wave arrival. The length of the time window ranges from 5 to 8 s depending on the distances between earthquakes and the stations. We separately obtain MRFs for individual components and stack all the available MRFs at each station to enhance the signal-to-noise ratio (Fig. 2b).

Fig. 2
figure 2

a Horizontal component waveforms from station MHDL for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda (target earthquake) and a M 1.7 eGf earthquakes are compared. Solid and dashed red lines indicate the arrival times of P and S phases, respectively. Waveforms in the time window shown by gray area (8 s) were used to determine the moment rate function (MRF). The distance between the target and eGf earthquakes is about 130 m. b Black traces are deconvolved MRFs obtained for individual components. Also shown is the stacked MRF (red trace) for all available MRFs at this station

We find that the resulting MRFs of the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake display two clear peaks that suggest radiation complexity in the rupture process. By using waveforms from different eGf events, we confirm that these two peaks on MRFs are not due to the choice of eGf events (Fig. 3). For the remaining three target earthquakes, the MRFs are dominated by a single peak with durations ranging from 0.05 to 0.3 s. To further explore the complexity of the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake, we plot the MRFs with the directivity parameter Γ (e.g., Schwartz and Ruff 1985; Ammon et al. 2005) defined as

$$\varGamma_{i} = \cos \left( {\phi_{i} - \phi_{r} } \right)/c$$
(1)

where ϕ i and ϕ r are the azimuth of the ith station from the epicenter and the rupture azimuth, respectively, and c is the phase velocity (3.4 km/s for our application). As shown in Fig. 4, the second pulse appears to shift systematically to later times with an increase in the azimuth (i.e., negative Γ) relative to the direction 331°N (parallel to the strike of HF) with c = 3.40 km/s. The linear move out of the second pulse suggests two distinct subevents involved in the rupture process that are spatially separated, rather than being due to two episodes of slip at the same location on the fault. The move out also indicates that the two subevents are aligned along an azimuth of 331°N.

Fig. 3
figure 3

Stacked moment rate functions for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda (target earthquake) obtained from waveforms collected at station MHDL with a M 1.7 eGf and b M 1.65 eGf earthquakes. The two pulses are recovered from both eGf earthquakes. The locations of these two eGf earthquake are ~200 m apart from each other. The distances from the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake are about 130 and 350 m for the M 1.7 and M 1.65 eGf earthquakes, respectively

Fig. 4
figure 4

a Moment rate functions for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake plotted as a function of directivity parameter Γ, assuming a rupture azimuth of 331°N with a phase velocity of 3.4 km/s. Moment rate functions are aligned by the onset of the first pulse. A positive value of Γ indicates station azimuth along the rupture direction. Black dots indicate the peak of the second pulse. b Two selected moment rate functions from stations with positive and negative Γ to illustrate the decrease in differential time between the two pulses with an increase in Γ

Finite-source rupture inversion

The MRFs can be backprojected onto the fault plane to determine the fault slip (Mori and Hartzell 1990; Mori 1993). The finite-source rupture inversion used in this paper is the same as those used in Dreger (1994) and Dreger (1997) where a complete description of the methodology can be found. We here briefly summarize the inversion method with the data set for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake as an example, in order to illustrate the steps involved in our finite-source modeling. Following Dreger (1994), we invert the MRFs to obtain the spatial distribution of fault slip. We assume that the source nucleates at a single point on the fault surface and that slip is propagates over the fault plane with a constant rupture velocity. At individual points on the fault, the slip occurs over a finite dislocation rise time with a slip velocity function. A boxcar function is assumed as the slip velocity function.

For the inversion, we define the fault surface as a single 1 km × 1 km plane and divide it into 961 32 × 32 m subfaults. The MRFs were interpolated to 1 kHz to enable a fine-scale kinematic rupture process in the model. The interpolation does not change the shape of the moment rate functions. We employ a nonnegative least-squares algorithm of Lawson and Hanson (1974) to ensure slip positivity, and apply a spatial smoothing with a constant smoothing factor. For each target HF earthquake, we test the two fault planes corresponding to the two nodal planes inferred from the moment tensor analysis that was obtained from inversion of long-period (50–10 s) complete waveforms. To ascertain the best nodal plane, the variance reduction (VR) defined as (Dreger et al. 2007) is used;

$${\text{VR}} = \left[ {1 - \frac{{\int {\left\{ {d\left( t \right) - s\left( t \right)} \right\}}^{2} {\text{d}}t}}{{\int {\left\{ {d\left( t \right)} \right\}}^{2} {\text{d}}t}}} \right] \times 100$$
(2)

where d and s are the time series of the observed and synthetic MRFs, respectively. The preferred fault plane for each target HF earthquake is determined by maximizing VR (Fig. 5).

Fig. 5
figure 5

Sensitivity test of fault planes for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake. Spatial distributions of fault slip with the rupture azimuth of a 331°N (along the Hayward fault) and b 240°N (across the Hayward fault) are compared, where the star is the hypocenter of the M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake. For these slip distribution estimates, a rupture velocity of 2.55 km/s, a rise time of 0.02 s, and a smoothing factor of 200 were used. c The variance reduction as a function of rupture velocity is shown. Circles and squares are the resultant variance reductions for the slip models with rupture azimuths of 331°N and 240°N, respectively

A grid-search approach is used to identify an optimal combination of rupture velocity, dislocation rise time, and smoothing factor. We test rupture velocity and dislocation rise time ranging from 1.55 to 3.40 km/s and 0.005 to 0.2 s, respectively (Fig. 6a). An optimal smoothing factor is determined from a trade-off curve between the data misfit and model roughness (inverse of smoothing factor) shown in Fig. 6b. After we obtain an optimal combination of model parameters that provides a maximum VR, we then address the uncertainty in fault slip at each subfault with a Jackknife approach similar to Hartzell et al. (2007). The finite-source rupture inversion is repeated with different subsets of stations obtained by deleting about one-third of the total stations for each subset. The median and standard deviation at each subfault are estimated based on the distributions of fault slip determined from the repeated inversions. The coefficient of variation (COV) is then determined by estimating the ratio of standard deviation to the median slip (Fig. 7). A low COV implies less uncertainty of fault slip obtained for the subfaults.

Fig. 6
figure 6

Sensitivity analysis of rupture velocity, rise time, and smoothing factor for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake. a Estimated variance reductions for all possible combinations of rupture velocity and rise time. Note that the figure only shows the rise time up to 0.1 s, although we search for rise time ranging from 0.005 to 0.2 s. Values of variance reduction are represented by the color code shown in the bottom of this figure. A smoothing factor of 200 was used. The solid circle indicates the optimal combination of rupture velocity and rise time in which the variance reduction reaches its maximum. b Sum of squared residual between synthetic and observed moment rate functions as a function of inverse of smoothing factor with the optimal combination of rupture velocity and rise time (the solid circle shown in a). The smoothing factor of 200 (or 0.005 for the inverse of smoothing factor) shown as solid circle is selected from this trade-off curve

Fig. 7
figure 7

Spatial distributions of a fault slip and b coefficient of variation (COV) for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake in which the star is the hypocenter. The white circles are the aftershocks that occurred in the first 2 weeks after the M w 3.2 Orinda mainshock. The rupture sizes are estimated by a circular crack model (Eshelby 1957) with a 10 MPa stress drop. c Observed (black traces) and synthetic (red traces) moment rate functions used to determine the slip distribution. Also shown are the azimuths (Az) in degrees from north from the hypocenter for individual stations

Results

Our finite-source rupture inversion yields high VRs (94–99 %) for all target HF earthquakes analyzed in this study (Table 2). The rupture velocities obtained range from 2.15 to 3.15 km/s correspond to 63–93 % of the S-wave velocity (3.4 km/s) near the hypocenters. For the four target HF earthquakes, we tested the two nodal planes and found that larger VRs are obtained for southwest dipping nodal planes that are parallel to the strike of the HF. We additionally tested a larger fault plane with 2 km × 2 km for the finite-source rupture inversion and confirm that the resultant slip distributions do not alter significantly. Through the trade-off analysis, we find that a range of smoothing factors between 100 and 300 is appropriate for all target HF earthquakes (Fig. 6 and Supplementary Figs. S1, S2 and S3). We have tested the sensitivity of the slip models to the smoothing factor in this range and have confirmed that the resultant rupture extent as well as peak and average slips do not change significantly. A smoothing factor of 200 is used to document the rupture process for all target earthquakes.

Table 2 Rupture models of Hayward-fault target earthquakes

We first summarize the slip distributions for the two M ~ 3 Orinda earthquakes. The first Orinda earthquake with M w of 3.0 occurred on October 7, 2013, at a depth of about 6.5 km. Subsequently, the M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake occurred 380 m southeast of the first M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake. The M w 3.2 Orinda event appears to have a more complex rupture process as indicated by the MRFs (Fig. 4), where the slip distribution shows two distinct subevents (Fig. 7). A total of 12 stations were used to estimate the finite-source kinematic model and provides excellent station azimuth coverage. Using a grid-search approach, we found that a combination of rise time of 0.02 s and rupture velocity of 2.55 km/s provides the maximum variance reduction (94 %) for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake. The rise time is approximately 10 % of the total source duration as defined by the MRF, which is consistent with the propagating slip-pulse model that Heaton (1990) found for larger magnitude earthquakes. In fact, the rise time scaling, inferred slip velocities of 0.1–4.0 m/s, and the rupture velocity of this earthquake are all consistent with what has been found for larger magnitude earthquakes (e.g., Heaton 1990; Mai and Beroza 2000) and in dynamic models of earthquake rupture (e.g., Day et al. 1998; Peyrat et al. 2001).

The first subevent (subevent A) located near the hypocenter of this earthquake (depth of 6.5 km), and the other subevent (subevent B) located about 100 m northwest from the hypocenter at a depth of 6.2 km. The peak slips of the subevents A and B are 3.4 and 1.8 cm, respectively. We define the areas of the subevents in which the slip exceeds 10 % of its peak slip and estimate the seismic moments assuming that rigidity of 31 GPa derived from the one-dimensional GIL7 velocity model (Dreger and Romanowicz 1994) at the focal depth. The estimated seismic moments for the subevents A and B are 2.6 × 1013 and 1.2 × 1013 N m, respectively, which are equivalent to 43 and 18 % of the total seismic moment (6.7 × 1013 N m) obtained through the finite-source modeling. In contrast, the slip distribution of the M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake is characterized by failure of a single 0.05 km2 asperity with a maximum slip of 5 cm (Fig. 8) inferred from 11 MRFs. The high slip area is located immediately down-dip from the hypocenter. We identify an optimal combination of rise time = 0.015 s and rupture velocity = 3.05 km/s for the 2013 M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake (Supplementary Fig. S1).

Fig. 8
figure 8

Same as Fig. 7, except for the 2013 M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake

Our inversion suggests strong directivity of rupture propagation for the remaining two HF earthquakes, the October 20, 2011, M w 4.0 Berkeley and the March 5, 2012, M w 4.0 El Cerrito earthquakes. The southeast and northwest directivity are identified for the 2011 Berkeley and 2012 El Cerrito earthquakes, respectively (Figs. 9, 10). Additionally, both earthquakes have notable up-dip rupture propagation. Nine and eight MRFs were used to determine the slip distributions of the Berkeley and El Cerrito earthquakes, respectively. Boatwright (2007) and Seekins and Boatwright (2010) also reported on rupture directivity using the peak ground velocity/acceleration measurements. The rupture directivities for the Berkeley and El Cerrito earthquakes inferred from the finite-source modeling are consistent with those reported by U.S. Geological Survey from the peak ground velocity observations (e.g., http://earthquake.usgs.gov/regional/nca/rupture/?id=20111020-1441 and http://earthquake.usgs.gov/regional/nca/rupture/?id=20120305-0533).

Fig. 9
figure 9

Same as Fig. 7, except for the 2011 M w 4.0 Berkeley earthquake

Fig. 10
figure 10

Same as Fig. 7, except for the 2012 M w 4.0 El Cerrito earthquake

The 2011 Berkeley earthquake has two high slip areas: One is located near the hypocenter at a depth of 8.2 km and the other is located 100 m shallow from the hypocenter. The amplitudes of both high slip areas are about 31 and 41 cm, respectively. A rise time of 0.020 s and rupture velocity of 2.15 km were obtained through a grid-search approach (Supplementary Fig. S2). The 2012 El Cerrito earthquake is also characterized by high fault slip of 45 cm that is located near the hypocenter at a depth of 8.3 km. In addition to the up-dip rupture, our analysis also suggests a fault slip of 30 cm immediately below the hypocenter down to 8.6 km. We obtain a rise time of 0.055 s and a rupture velocity of 3.15 km/s for the El Cerrito earthquake (Supplementary Fig. S3).

Discussion

As shown in Fig. 7, there is a complex rupture for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake that involves two subevents. Through the Jackknife approach, we confirm that the uncertainties in fault slip on those two subevent areas are low (COV < 0.3) (Fig. 7b). Our inversion suggests that subevent B occurred when the rupture front arrives at the nucleation point for subevent B with a rupture velocity of 2.55 km/s, based on the delay time between the two pulses observed on the MRFs. Another possible hypothesis is that dynamic triggering from seismic waves radiated by subevent A triggered subevent B. This hypothesis is, however, ruled out because the sensitivity analysis indicates that the rupture velocity should range from 2.4 to 2.8 km/s (about 70–80 % of the S-wave velocity) to fit the two pulses of MRFs (Fig. 6a), which is in the range of typical rupture velocities that have been found from kinematic source models reported in the literature (Somerville et al. 1999; Mai and Beroza 2000).

With the kinematic fault slip model obtained through the finite-source rupture inversion, we determine the spatial distributions of static stress drop for the HF target earthquakes, by using a method of Ripperger and Mai (2004). As shown in Fig. 11a, a spatially variable stress drop is obtained for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake rupture area. The peak static stress drops for subevents A and B are comparable and are determined to be 18 and 8 MPa, respectively.

Fig. 11
figure 11

Spatial distributions of stress drop for a the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake, b the 2013 M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake, c the 2011 M w 4.0 Berkeley earthquake, and d the 2012 M w 4.0 El Cerrito earthquake. The open stars are the locations of the target earthquakes. The red star shown in b is the hypocenter of the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake

A total of 17 aftershocks were detected within 2 weeks following the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake by the NCSS. Interestingly, the largest M 2.5 aftershock occurred ~1 h after the mainshock seems to have filled in the spatial gap between the two subevents (Fig. 7a). We also visually examined continuous borehole records and were able to identify several aftershocks that are not listed in the NCSS earthquake catalog, suggesting the potential for obtaining even detail and understanding of the earthquake process using the borehole data.

The 2013 M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake has a quasi-circular rupture near the hypocenter. The resultant stress drop distribution has a maximum stress drop of 22 MPa. We define the effective rupture area by calculating the total area of the subfaults where fault slip exceeds 10 % of the peak slip. The mean static stress drop of 10 MPa is obtained over the effective rupture area for the 2013 M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake (Fig. 11b). We also explore possible triggering of the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake by the M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake that occurred 1 week earlier, by computing the static stress change (Δσ) (Aki and Richards 1980):

$$\Delta \sigma = \left( {\frac{1}{6\pi }} \right)\frac{{\Delta \overline{\sigma }_{\text{s}} }}{{\left( {r/L} \right)^{3} }} ,$$
(3)

where \(\Delta \overline{\sigma }_{\text{s}}\) is the mean stress drop; r and L is the distance away from the M w 3.0 Orinda rupture and the length of the coseismic rupture, respectively. With the mean static stress drop of 10 MPa inferred from our inversion, we find the static stress change in an order of 1 MPa at the hypocenter of the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake, suggesting that the M w 3.2 could have been triggered by the earlier event. This level of static stress change is more than 10 times larger than the minimum threshold for triggering of earthquakes (e.g., Stein 1999).

Both Orinda earthquakes occurred ~5 km northeast of the surface trace of the HF (Fig. 1) in a region where there is notable off-HF seismicity, although the activity is lower than that along the adjacent segment of the HF. In 1977, an earthquake swarm occurred around the locations of the Orinda earthquakes (Bolt et al. 1977). This seismicity would be an indication of off-fault deformation that may be caused by the HF system. By comparing the geodetically imaged fault slip rate and seismicity, Shirzaei and Bürgmann (2013) suggest that off-fault micro-earthquake activity represents an indirect indicator of the degree of creeping and locking of faults. For example, the seismicity will be highly localized near the fault interface along creeping segments. Inversion of geodetic and repeating earthquake data along the portion of the HF adjacent to the Orinda seismicity shows the HF to be creeping at shallow depths (<~5 km) with about 7 mm/year and have both portions of creeping and locked fault at greater depths (Schmidt et al. 2005).

Our study reveals a spatial heterogeneity of the earthquake stress drop off the main fault trace, and the peak stress drops that were obtained indicate a higher applied shear stress. Our preferred interpretation is that either the higher frictional strength of the crust or greater geometrical complexity is responsible for the high level of the applied shear stress that we obtained. However, it should be noted that Hardebeck and Aron (2009) pointed out that the spatial correlation between the strength of the wall rock and earthquake stress drops is not evident for events in the HF zone. Another interpretation is that the high-applied shear stress results from the cumulative aseismic slip difference between the locked and creeping portions of the HF.

The 2011 M w 4.0 Berkeley and 2012 M w 4.0 El Cerrito earthquakes are characterized by high stress drop (Fig. 11c, d). The peak and mean stress drops for those two earthquakes are about 100–130 and 40 MPa, respectively. Using a spectral method, Hardebeck and Aron (2009) also identified high-stress-drop earthquakes (>100 MPa) near the rupture zones of the Berkeley and El Cerrito earthquakes. As similar to the M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake, the finite-source inversion yields spatial heterogeneous distributions of stress drop for both the Berkeley and El Cerrito earthquakes, suggesting the spatial variability of the strength of fault. The high slips that were obtained represent more than 30 years of loading of the HF, assuming with the long-term slip rate of 3–5 mm/year (Schmidt et al. 2005).

For these two high-stress-drop earthquakes, we calculate the radiated seismic energy and radiation efficiency. Following Vassiliou and Kanamori (1982) and Kikuchi and Fukao (1988), the radiated seismic energy (E s) is estimated through an integration of the square of the seismic moment acceleration function. We obtain the seismic moment acceleration function for the 2011 Berkeley and 2012 El Cerrito earthquakes by a two-step approach: (1) estimating a median MRF by stacking all available MRFs and (2) scaling the median MRF by the scalar seismic moment of the eGf event. Our calculation yields an E s of about 2.1–2.4 × 1010 J for both earthquakes and a scaled energy \(\widetilde{e} = E_{\text{s}} /M_{0}\) of ~1.6–1.9 × 10−5. The resultant scaled energy is in good agreement with those obtained for M w ~4 earthquakes (Kanamori et al. 1993; Ide and Beroza 2001; Mori et al. 2003).

For the radiation efficiency (η R ), we first calculate the elastic energy (E T0) by using the equation \(E_{T0} = \frac{1}{2}\int {\Delta \sigma_{\text{s}} DA}\) (Kanamori and Rivera 2006) where Δσ s and D are the stress drop and the fault slip at individual subfaults, respectively; A is the area of the subfault. We obtain values for E T0 that are 7.6 × 1011 and 8.7 × 1011 J for the 2011 Berkeley and 2012 El Cerrito earthquakes, respectively. The radiation efficiency η R  = E s/E T0 is then estimated to be about 0.03 which suggests a very low radiation efficiency for those two earthquakes, compared with those obtained in Venkataraman and Kanamori (2004) where the resultant radiation efficiency for most earthquakes analyzed was found to be larger than 0.25. Our result suggests that the majority of energy is dissipated during the earthquake rupture process.

The radiation efficiency is also proportional to the rupture velocity (e.g., Kanamori and Rivera 2006). A lower radiation efficiency yields lower rupture velocity. Our finite-source modeling finds 63 and 93 % of the S-wave velocity for the 2011 Berkeley and 2012 El Cerrito earthquakes, respectively, which seems inconsistent with the low radiation efficiency inferred from the seismic radiated energy and elastic energy. It should be noted, however, that our inversion does not constrain the rupture velocity (and rise time) for those two earthquakes very well (Supplementary Figs S2 and S3). Lower rupture velocity (~1.5–1.8 km/s) still provides high variance reduction. Also possible is a scenario in which there is a spatial variability of rupture velocity, whereas our finite-source modeling assumes a constant rupture velocity throughout the growth of earthquake rupture. Hence, the inconsistency of radiation efficiency estimate may indicate that the rupture velocity varies during rupture process.

As shown in Fig. 11c, d, there are strong fault patches, with possible dimensions of a few tens of meters along the HF that appear to sustain shear stress up to ~100 MPa. Near the 2011 Berkeley and 2012 El Cerrito earthquakes rupture zones, the spatial heterogeneity of the fault strength is also suggested by the distribution and relatively high activity of characteristically repeating micro-earthquakes (Bürgmann et al. 2000; Waldhauser and Ellsworth 2002; Schmidt et al. 2005; Shirzaei et al. 2013) that are thought to reflect strong small asperities surrounded by weak partially aseismically slipping fault (Johnson and Nadeau 2002). As discussed above, our finite-source modeling suggests that the failure of the strong patches for the 2011 Berkeley and 2012 El Cerrito earthquakes appears to be accompanied with notable non-radiated energy.

Conclusions

We examined the rupture process for recent HF micro-earthquakes using an empirical Greens’ function finite-source modeling approach. With the availability of seismic recordings from an array of borehole stations, we are able to resolve a variety of rupture behaviors including subevents, directivity, and high stress drop. Our kinematic finite-source models reveal a complex slip distribution for the 2013 M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake that is characterized by a patch of slip with a maximum slip of 3.4 cm concentrated near the hypocenter at about 6.5 km depth, with a large secondary patch of slip (peak slip of 1.8 cm) centered up-dip and northwest from the hypocenter at a distance of about 400 m away. The resultant complex distribution of fault slip suggests strong heterogeneity of stress drop within the rupture interior.

We also obtained a slip model of the 2013 M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake that occurred about 1 week before the M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake. We find a static stress drop of an order of 1 MPa imparted by the M w 3.0 Orinda earthquake at the hypocenter of the M w 3.2 Orinda earthquake, which may indicate that it was triggered by the earlier earthquake.

High-peak (100–130 MPa) and mean (~40 MPa) stress drops are obtained for the 2011 M w 4.0 Berkeley and 2012 M w 4.0 El Cerrito earthquakes. The high-stress-drop earthquakes suggest that strong fault patches exist on the HF. The spatial variability of the stress drop obtained indicates the heterogeneity of fault strength within the earthquake rupture zones. The estimates of seismically radiated energy and elastic energy suggest very low radiation efficiency (~0.03) for the 2011 Berkeley and 2012 El Cerrito earthquakes, indicating that most energy in the earthquakes is dissipated during the growth of earthquake rupture.