Skip to main content
Log in

A statistical approach to crowdsourced smartphone-based earthquake early warning systems

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The Earthquake Network research project implements a crowdsourced earthquake early warning system based on smartphones. Smartphones, which are made available by the global population, exploit the Internet connection to report a signal to a central server every time a vibration is detected by the on-board accelerometer sensor. This paper introduces a statistical approach for the detection of earthquakes from the data coming from the network of smartphones. The approach allows to handle a dynamic network in which the number of active nodes constantly changes and where nodes are heterogeneous in terms of sensor sensibility and transmission delay. Additionally, the approach allows to keep the probability of false alarm under control. The statistical approach is applied to the data collected by three subnetworks related to the cities of Santiago (Chile), Iquique (Chile) and Kathmandu (Nepal). The detection capabilities of the approach are discussed in terms of earthquake magnitude and detection delay. A simulation study is carried out in order to link the probability of detection and the detection delay to the behaviour of the network under an earthquake event.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Basseville M, Nikiforov IV et al (1993) Detection of abrupt changes: theory and application, vol 104. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs

    Google Scholar 

  • Borror CM, Champ CW, Rigdon SE (1998) Poisson EWMA control charts. J Qual Technol 30(4):352–361

    Google Scholar 

  • Brenning A, Dubois G (2007) Towards generic real-time mapping algorithms for environmental monitoring and emergency detection. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 22(5):601–611

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Capizzi G, Masarotto G (2008) Practical design of generalized likelihood ratio control charts for autocorrelated data. Technometrics 50(3):357–370

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chetouani Y (2007) A neural network approach for the real-time detection of faults. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 22(3):339–349

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clayton RW, Heaton T, Chandy M, Krause A, Kohler M, Bunn J, Guy R, Olson M, Faulkner M, Cheng M et al (2012) Community seismic network. Ann Geophys 54(6):738–747

    Google Scholar 

  • Cochran ES, Lawrence JF, Christensen C, Jakka RS (2009) The quake-catcher network: citizen science expanding seismic horizons. Seismol Res Lett 80(1):26–30

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cochran ES, Lawrence JF, Kaiser A, Fry B, Chung A, Christensen C (2012) Comparison between low-cost and traditional MEMS accelerometers: a case study from the M7.1 Darfield, New Zealand, aftershock deployment. Ann Geophys 54(6):728–737

  • Cua G, Fischer M, Heaton T, Wiemer S (2009) Real-time performance of the virtual seismologist earthquake early warning algorithm in southern California. Seismol Res Lett 80(5):740–747

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • D’Alessandro A, D’Anna G (2013) Suitability of low-cost three-axis MEMS accelerometers in strong-motion seismology: tests on the LIS331DLH (iPhone) accelerometer. Bull Seismol Soc Am 103(5):2906–2913

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gasparini P, Manfredi G, Zschau J (2007) Earthquake early warning systems. Springer, New York

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Given DD, Cochran ES, Heaton T, Hauksson E, Allen R, Hellweg P, Vidale J, Bodin P (2014) Technical implementation plan for the ShakeAlert production system: an earthquake early warning system for the west coast of the united states. Technical report, US Geological Survey

  • He B, Xie M, Goh T, Tsui K (2006) On control charts based on the generalized Poisson model. Qual Technol Quant Manag 3(4):383–400

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lancieri M, Zollo A (2008) A bayesian approach to the real-time estimation of magnitude from the early P and S wave displacement peaks. J Geophys Res 113(B12):B12302

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lane ND, Miluzzo E, Lu H, Peebles D, Choudhury T, Campbell AT (2010) A survey of mobile phone sensing. Commun Mag, IEEE 48(9):140–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mei Y, Han SW, Tsui KL (2011) Early detection of a change in Poisson rate after accounting for population size effects. Stat Sin 21(2):597

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Minson SE, Brooks BA, Glennie CL, Murray JR, Langbein JO, Owen SE, Heaton TH, Iannucci RA, Hauser DL (2015) Crowdsourced earthquake early warning. Sci Adv 1(3):e1500036. doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500036

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Overeem A, R Robinson JC, Leijnse H, Steeneveld GJ, P Horn B, Uijlenhoet R (2013) Crowdsourcing urban air temperatures from smartphone battery temperatures. Geophys Res Lett 40(15):4081–4085

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Satriano C, Wu YM, Zollo A, Kanamori H (2011) Earthquake early warning: concepts, methods and physical grounds. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 31(2):106–118

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Snik F, Rietjens JH, Apituley A, Volten H, Mijling B, Di Noia A, Heikamp S, Heinsbroek RC, Hasekamp OP, Smit JM et al (2014) Mapping atmospheric aerosols with a citizen science network of smartphone spectropolarimeters. Geophys Res Lett 41(20):7351–7358

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Snyder DL, Miller MI (2012) Random point processes in time and space. Springer Science & Business Media, New York

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Francesco Finazzi.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Finazzi, F., Fassò, A. A statistical approach to crowdsourced smartphone-based earthquake early warning systems. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 31, 1649–1658 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1240-8

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1240-8

Keywords

Navigation