Abstract
Bibliometrics does not allow prediction of the duration of research fronts. Utilizing an analogy with the concept of adaptive radiation, this heuristic article suggests a technique which may permit a measure of predictability to bibliometrics.
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De Stefano, D.A. Citation analysis and adaptive radiation. Scientometrics 11, 43–51 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02016628
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02016628