pure and applied geophysics

, Volume 135, Issue 1, pp 125–133

What do climate models tell us about global warming?

  • Christopher Essex

DOI: 10.1007/BF00877013

Cite this article as:
Essex, C. PAGEOPH (1991) 135: 125. doi:10.1007/BF00877013


It has become widely accepted that an increase in the infrared optical depth of the atmosphere must lead to an increase in the global surface temperature. It is demonstrated here that this need not be so, implying a limited predictive capability for modern climate models.

Key words

Global warminggreenhouse effectheat radiationclimate modelsphysical invariancead hoc invarianceconvectionalbedo

Copyright information

© Birkhäuser Verlag 1991

Authors and Affiliations

  • Christopher Essex
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Applied MathematicsUniversity of Western OntarioLondonCanada