Article

Science in China Series E: Technological Sciences

, Volume 51, Issue 7, pp 1038-1048

First online:

Typhoon disaster zoning and prevention criteria—A double layer nested multi-objective probability model and its application

  • DeFu LiuAffiliated withDisaster Prevention Research Institute, Ocean University of China Email author 
  • , Liang PangAffiliated withCollege of Engineering, Ocean University of China
  • , BoTao XieAffiliated withCollege of Engineering, Ocean University of China
  • , YuanKang WuAffiliated withHydrographic Bureau of Zhejiang Province

Rent the article at a discount

Rent now

* Final gross prices may vary according to local VAT.

Get Access

Abstract

For prevention and mitigation of typhoon disasters in China, in this paper a double layer nested multi-objective probability model of typhoon disaster zoning and prevention criteria is proposed. The multivariate compound extreme value distribution (MCEVD) is used to predict the joint probability of seven typhoon characteristics and corresponding typhoon induced disasters. Predicted results can be used for both typhoon disaster zoning and corresponding prevention criteria along China coast.

Keywords

typhoon disaster zoning prevention criteria multivariate compound extreme value distribution stochastic simulation joint probability prediction