Science in China Series E: Technological Sciences

, Volume 51, Issue 7, pp 1038–1048

Typhoon disaster zoning and prevention criteria—A double layer nested multi-objective probability model and its application

Authors

    • Disaster Prevention Research InstituteOcean University of China
  • Liang Pang
    • College of EngineeringOcean University of China
  • BoTao Xie
    • College of EngineeringOcean University of China
  • YuanKang Wu
    • Hydrographic Bureau of Zhejiang Province
Article

DOI: 10.1007/s11431-008-0053-5

Cite this article as:
Liu, D., Pang, L., Xie, B. et al. Sci. China Ser. E-Technol. Sci. (2008) 51: 1038. doi:10.1007/s11431-008-0053-5

Abstract

For prevention and mitigation of typhoon disasters in China, in this paper a double layer nested multi-objective probability model of typhoon disaster zoning and prevention criteria is proposed. The multivariate compound extreme value distribution (MCEVD) is used to predict the joint probability of seven typhoon characteristics and corresponding typhoon induced disasters. Predicted results can be used for both typhoon disaster zoning and corresponding prevention criteria along China coast.

Keywords

typhoon disaster zoningprevention criteriamultivariate compound extreme value distributionstochastic simulationjoint probability prediction

Copyright information

© Science in China Press and Springer-Verlag GmbH 2008