Brown on Mackie: Echoes of the Lottery Paradox
- David Faraci
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In “The possibility of morality,” Phil Brown considers whether moral error theory is best understood as a necessary or contingent thesis. Among other things, Brown contends that the argument from relativity, offered by John Mackie—error theory’s progenitor—supports a stronger modal reading of error theory. His argument is as follows: Mackie’s is an abductive argument that error theory is the best explanation for divergence in moral practices. Since error theory will likewise be the best explanation for similar divergences in possible worlds similar to our own, we may conclude that error theory is true at all such worlds, just as it is in the actual world. I contend that Brown’s argument must fail, as abductive arguments cannot support the modal conclusions he suggests. I then consider why this is the case, concluding that Brown has stumbled upon new and interesting evidence that agglomerating one’s beliefs can be epistemically problematic—an issue associated most famously with Henry Kyburg’s lottery paradox.
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- Kyburg, H. (1961). Probability and the logic of rational belief. Middletown: Wesleyan University Press.
- Mackie, J. L. (1977). Ethics: Inventing right and wrong. Harmondsworth: Penguin.
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- Brown on Mackie: Echoes of the Lottery Paradox
Volume 41, Issue 3 , pp 751-755
- Cover Date
- Print ISSN
- Online ISSN
- Springer Netherlands
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- Error theory
- Lottery paradox
- John Mackie
- David Faraci (1)
- Author Affiliations
- 1. Philosophy Department, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA