, Volume 30, Issue 1, pp 39-45
Date: 01 Mar 2011

Conditionals and Supposition-Based Reasoning

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Abstract

Case-based reasoning is a familiar method of evaluating sentences. But when applied to conditionals, it seems to lead to implausible conclusions. In this paper I argue that the problem arises from equating the probability of a conditional sentence on the evidential supposition of some condition with the conditional probability of the former, given the latter.