, Volume 30, Issue 1, pp 39-45

First online:

Conditionals and Supposition-Based Reasoning

  • Richard BradleyAffiliated withDepartment of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method, London School of Economics Email author 

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Case-based reasoning is a familiar method of evaluating sentences. But when applied to conditionals, it seems to lead to implausible conclusions. In this paper I argue that the problem arises from equating the probability of a conditional sentence on the evidential supposition of some condition with the conditional probability of the former, given the latter.


Conditionals Supposition Case-based reasoning Probability