Open Economies Review

, Volume 23, Issue 5, pp 823–846

Third-person Effect and Financial Contagion in the Context of a Global Game

Authors

    • Department of Quantitative FinanceNational Tsing Hua University
  • Ming-yen Wu
    • Department of Quantitative FinanceNational Tsing Hua University
Research Article

DOI: 10.1007/s11079-011-9215-3

Cite this article as:
Ho, T. & Wu, M. Open Econ Rev (2012) 23: 823. doi:10.1007/s11079-011-9215-3

Abstract

In this paper we present a psychological channel of financial contagion. We incorporate this new channel of financial contagion in the global game. Our basic assumption is that agents are overestimating the influence of negative messages they ascribe to others, and are thus acting on the basis of this perception. We resort to the psychological studies on the so-called third-person effect to justify this assumption. We show that the third-person effect is rationalizable. Our model has the feature that a crisis in a foreign country can be transmitted to the domestic country, even though there has been no changes in domestic fundamentals. Our model also provides intuitive explanations to the empirical observations that many governments have lost in a confidence game in the past crisis episodes.

Keywords

Global gameFinancial contagionThird-person effect

JEL Classification

C72G15G18

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2011