Climatic Change

, Volume 69, Issue 1, pp 127–150

Climate Change Impacts for the Conterminous USA: An Integrated Assessment

Part 7. Economic Analysis of Field Crops and Land use with Climate Change

DOI: 10.1007/s10584-005-3616-5

Cite this article as:
Sands, R.D. & Edmonds, J.A. Climatic Change (2005) 69: 127. doi:10.1007/s10584-005-3616-5


PNNL’s Agriculture and Land Use is used to demonstrate the impact of potential changes in climate on agricultural production and land use in the United States. AgLU simulates production of four crop types in several world regions, in 15-yr time steps from 1990 to 2095. Changes in yield of major field crops in the United States, for 12 climate scenarios, are obtained from simulations of the EPIC crop growth model. Results from the HUMUS model are used to constrain crop irrigation, and BIOME3 model is used to simulate productivity of unmanaged ecosystems. Assumptions about changes in agricultural productivity outside the United States are treated on a scenario basis, either responding in the same way as in the United States, or not responding to climate.

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, Inc. 2005

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Joint Global Change Research InstituteMarylandU.S.A.