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Areas of high conservation value in Georgia: present and future threats by invasive alien plants

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Abstract

Georgia is known for its extraordinary rich biodiversity of plants, which may now be threatened due to the spread of invasive alien plants (IAP). We aimed to identify (1) the most prominent IAP out of 9 selected potentially invasive and harmful IAP by predicting their distribution under current and future climate conditions in Georgia as well as in its 43 Protected Areas, as a proxy for areas of high conservation value and (2) the Protected Areas most at risk due to these IAP. We used species distribution models based on 6 climate variables and then filtered the obtained distributions based on maps of soil and vegetation types, and on recorded occurrences, resulting into the predicted ecological distribution of the 9 IAP’sat a resolution of 1 km2. Our habitat suitability analysis showed that Ambrosia artemisiifolia, (24 and 40 %) Robinia pseudoacaia (14 and 19 %) and Ailanthus altissima (9 and 11 %) have the largest potential distribution (predicted % area covered), with A. altissima the potentially most increasing one over the next 50 years (from 9 to 13 % and from 11 to 25 %), for Georgia and the Protected Areas, respectively. Furthermore, our results indicate two areas in Georgia that are under specifically high threat, i.e. the area around Tbilisi and an area in the western part of Georgia (Adjara), both at lower altitudes. Our procedure to identify areas of high conservation value most at risk by IAP has been applied for the first time. It will help national authorities in prioritizing their measures to protect Georgia’s outstanding biodiversity from the negative impact of IAP.

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Acknowledgments

We greatly acknowledge Grigol Deisadze and Sandro Kolbai for help with field work, Giorgi Mikeladze for supplying the excellent environmental data for the filters and Dr. Shalva Sikharulidze and Maia Tavartkiladze for hosting us during our research stay at the Tbilisi Botanical Garden. We also thank Info Flora for providing the occurrence data of the nine study species in Switzerland and two anonymous reviewers for the helpful and constructive comments on an earlier version of this manuscript. The study was financially supported by a travel grant for botanical, zoological and earth sciences studies from the Swiss Academy of Science, sc.nat + to DT, and by the NCCR Plant Survival, a research program of the Swiss National Science Foundation, to HMS and OB for travelling to Georgia in 2012.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Biology, Ecology and Evolution, University of Fribourg, Chemin du Musée 10, 1700, Fribourg, Switzerland

    Daniela Julia Klara Thalmann & Heinz Müller-Schärer

  2. Institute of Botany, Ilia State University, Tbilisi, Georgia

    David Kikodze & Manana Khutsishvili

  3. Batumi Botanical Garden, Batumi, Georgia

    David Kharazishvili

  4. University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland

    Antoine Guisan & Olivier Broennimann

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  1. Daniela Julia Klara Thalmann
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  2. David Kikodze
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  3. Manana Khutsishvili
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  4. David Kharazishvili
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  5. Antoine Guisan
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  6. Olivier Broennimann
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  7. Heinz Müller-Schärer
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Correspondence to Daniela Julia Klara Thalmann.

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Olivier Broennimann and Heinz Müller-Schärer are joint senior authors.

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Thalmann, D.J.K., Kikodze, D., Khutsishvili, M. et al. Areas of high conservation value in Georgia: present and future threats by invasive alien plants. Biol Invasions 17, 1041–1054 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-014-0774-2

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