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Assessment of rural community and agricultural development using geomorphological–geological factors and GIS in the Trikala prefecture (Central Greece)

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Abstract

In this study, the potential land use planning for rural communities and agricultural development is examined with a multi-criteria analysis and Geographical Information System. For this purpose, geological, geomorphological and socio-economic data and natural hazard maps were chosen as major factors affecting both land uses. The Analytical Hierarchical Process method was applied to evaluate these factors and the uncertainty of their weight alterations estimated. Three scenarios were developed for each land use to examine the effect of uncertainty to the suitability assessment results, leading to the corresponding potential suitability maps. The areas of very high suitability are distributed mainly at the plain part of the study area. The proposed methodology comprises a case application concerning physical factors in conjunction with natural hazard maps in the land use planning procedure.

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Acknowledgments

We are grateful to Dr. D. Papanastasiou, Research Director at the Institute of Geodynamics, for the availability of macroseismic data and for the helpful discussions with greatly improve the manuscript. This study carried out with the support of Public Services of Trikala Prefecture. The authors should like to thank two anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments.

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Correspondence to George D. Bathrellos.

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Bathrellos, G.D., Gaki-Papanastassiou, K., Skilodimou, H.D. et al. Assessment of rural community and agricultural development using geomorphological–geological factors and GIS in the Trikala prefecture (Central Greece). Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 27, 573–588 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-012-0602-0

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