Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

High-resolution simulations of global climate, part 2: effects of increased greenhouse cases

  • Published:
Climate Dynamics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We report results from the highest-resolution simulations of global warming yet performed with an atmospheric general circulation model. We compare the climatic response to increased greenhouse gases of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) climate model, CCM3, at T42 and T170 resolutions (horizontal grid spacing of 300 and 75 km respectively). All simulations use prescribed sea surface temperatures (SST). Simulations of the climate of 2100 ad use SSTs based on those from NCAR coupled model, Climate System Model (CSM). We find that the global climate sensitivity and large-scale patterns of climate change are similar at T42 and T170. However, there are important regional scale differences that arise due to better representation of topography and other factors at high resolution. Caution should be exercised in interpreting specific features in our results both because we have performed climate simulations using a single atmospheric general circulation model and because we used with prescribed sea surface temperatures rather than interactive ocean and sea-ice models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 4.
Fig. 5.
Fig. 6.
Fig. 7.
Fig. 8.
Fig. 9.
Fig. 10.
Fig. 11.
Fig. 12.
Fig. 13.
Fig. 14.
Fig. 15.
Fig. 16.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bintanja RJ, Fortuin JPF, Kelder H (1997) Simulation of the meridionally and seasonally varying climate response caused by changes in ozone concentrations. J Clim 10: 1288–1311

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boer GJ, Denis B (1997) Numerical convergence of the dynamics of a GCM. Clim Dyn 13: 359–374

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bossuet C, Deue M, Cariolle D (1998) Impact of a simple parametrization of convective gravity wave drag in a stratosphere–troposphere general circulation model and its sensitivity to vertical resolution. Ann Geophysicae 16: 238–249

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boville B (1991) Sensitivity of simulated climate to model resolution. J Clim 4: 469–485

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cess R, Potter GL (1988) A methodology for understanding and inter-comparing atmospheric climate feedback processes in general circulation models. J Geophys Res 93: 8305–8314

    Google Scholar 

  • Cess R, Potter GL, Ghan SJ, Gates WL (1985) The climatic effects of large injections of atmospherics smoke and dust: a study of climate feedback mechanisms with one and three-dimensional models. J Geophys Res 90: 12,937–12,950

    Google Scholar 

  • Cess R, Potter GL and Coauthors (1989) Inter-comparison of cloud-climate feedback as produced by 14 atmospheric general circulation models. Science 24: 513–516

    Google Scholar 

  • Christiansen B (1999) Radiative forcing and climate sensitivity: the ozone experience. Q J R Meteorol Soc 125: 3011–3035

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cox SJ, Wang WC, Schwartz SE (1995) Climate response to radiative forcing by sulfate aerosols and greenhouse gases. Geophys Res Lett 22: 2509–2512

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Cubasch U, Waszkewitz J, Hegerl GC, Perlwitz J (1995) Regional climate change as simulated in time-slice experiments. Clim Change 31: 273–304

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Cubasch U, Von Storch H, Waszkewitz J, Zorita E (1996) Estimates of climate change in Southern Europe using different downscaling techniques. Clim Res 7: 129–149

    Google Scholar 

  • Dai A, Wigley TML, Boville BA, Keihl JT, Buja LE (2001) Climates of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries simulated by the NCAR Climate System Model. J Clim 14: 485–519

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Déqué M, Piedelievre JP (1995) High-resolution climate simulation over Europe. Clim Dyn 11: 321–339

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duffy PB, Govindasamy B, Iorio J, Milovich J, Sperber K, Taylor KE, Wehner M, Lamont A, Thompson S (2003) High resolution simulation of global climate, Part 1: present climate (in press)

  • Fels SB, Mahlman JD, Schwarzkopf MD, Sinclair RW (1980) Stratospheric sensitivity to perturbations in ozone and carbon dioxide: radiative and dynamical response. J Atmos Sci 37: 2265–2297

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Forster PM, Shine K (1997) Radiative forcing and temperature trends from stratospheric ozone changes. J Geophys Res 102: 10,841–10,855

    Google Scholar 

  • Fox-Rabinovitz MS, Stenchikov GL, Suarez MJ, Takacs LL (1997) A finite difference GCM dynamical core with a variable-resolution stretched-grid. Mon Weather Rev 125: 2943–2968

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Govindasamy B, Taylor KE, Duffy PB, Santer BS, Grossman AS, Grant KE (2001) Limitations of the equivalent CO2 approximation in climate change simulations. J Geophys Res 106: 22,593–22,603

    Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (1990) Climate change, the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

  • IPCC (1994) Climate change 1994, radiative forcing of climate change and an evaluation of the IPCC IS92 emission scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

  • IPCC (1995) Radiative forcing of climate change, the supplementary report to the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

  • IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001, the scientific basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

  • Hansen JE, Lacis A, Rind D, Russell G, Stone P, Fung I, Ruedy Lerner RJ (1984) Climate sensitivity: analysis of feedback mechanisms. Geophys Monogr 29: 130–163

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansen JE, Sato M, Ruedy R (1997) Radiative forcing and climate response. J Geophys Res 102: 6831– 6864

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Hansen JE, Sato M, Lacis A, Reudy R, Tegen I, Mathews E (1999) Climate forcings in the industrial era. Proc Natl Acad Sci 95: 12,753–12,758

    Google Scholar 

  • Kattenberg A, Giorgi F, Grassl H, Meehl GA, Mitchell JFB, Stouffer RJ, Tokioka T, Weaver AJ, Wigley TML (1996) Climate models – projections of future climate. Climate change 1995: the IPCC second assessment. In: Houghton JT, Meira Filho LG, Callandar BA, Harris N, Kattenberg A, Varney SK (eds) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp 285–358

  • Kiehl JT, Williamson DL (1991) Dependence of cloud amount on horizontal resolution in the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate Model. J Geophys Res 96: 10,955–10,980

    Google Scholar 

  • Kiehl JT, Hack JJ, Bonan GB, Boville BY, Briegleb BP, Williamson DL, Rasch PJ (1996) Description of the NCAR Community climate Model (CCM3). NCAR Tech Note NCAR/TN-420+STR

  • Kothavala Z, Oglesby RJ, Saltzman B (1999) Sensitivity of equilibrium surface temperature of CCM3 to systematic changes in atmospheric CO2. Geophys Res Lett 26: 209–212

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Lal M, Cubasch U, Perlwitz J, Waszkewitz J (1997) Simulation of the Indian monsoon climatology in ECHAM3 model: sensitivity to horizontal resolution. Int J Climatol 17: 847–858

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lindzen RS, Fox-Rabinovitz MS (1989) Consistent vertical and horizontal resolution. Mon Weather Rev 117: 2575–2583

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Manabe S, Wetherald RT (1980) On the distribution of climate change resulting from an increase of CO2 content of the atmosphere. J Atmos Sci 37: 99–118

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Manabe S, Smagorinsky J, Holloway JL, Stone HM (1970) Simulated climatology of a general circulation model with a hydrological cycle. Mon Weather Rev 98: 175–213

    Google Scholar 

  • May W, Roeckner E (2001) A time slice-experiment with the ECHAM4 AGCM at high resolution: the impact of horizontal resolution on annual mean climate change. Clim Dyn 17: 407–420

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mitchell JFB, Manabe S, Meleshko V, Tokioka T (1990) Equilibrium climate change and its implications for the future. In: Houghton JT, Jenkins GJ, Epharaums JJ (eds) Climate change: the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp 131–172

  • Pawson S, Kodera K and Coauthors (2000) The GCM-reality intercomparison project for SPARC (GRIPS): scientific issues and initial results. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 81: 781–796

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pope VD, Pamment A, Stratton RA (1999) Resolution sensitivity of the UKMO climate model. Research activities in atmospheric and oceanic modeling. 28, WCRP CAS/JSC working group on numerical experimentation, WMO, Geneva

  • Pope VD, Gallani M, Rowntree PR, Stratton RA (2000) The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre Climate model – HadAM3. Clim Dyn 16: 123–146

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Press WH, Flannery BP, Teukolsky SA (1989) Numerical recipes. Cambridge University Press, New York

  • Ramanathan V, Dickinson RE (1979) The role of stratospheric ozone in the zonal and seasonal radiative energy balance of the earth–troposphere system. J Atmos Sci 36: 1084–1104

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Ramaswamy V, Chen CT (1997) Linear additivity of climate response for combined albedo and greenhouse perturbations. Geophys Res Lett 24: 567–570

    Google Scholar 

  • Rind D (1988) Dependence of warm and cold climate depiction on climate model resolution. J Clim 1: 965–997

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Senior CA, Mitchell JFB (2000) The time-dependence of climate sensitivity. Geophys Res Lett 27: 2685–2688

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Sperber KR, Hameed S, Potter GL, Boyle JS (1994) Simulation of the northern summer monsoon in the ECMWF model: sensitivity to horizontal resolution Mon Weather Rev 122: 2461–2481

    Google Scholar 

  • Stephenson DB, Royer JF (1995) GCM simulation of the southern oscillation from 1979–1988. Clim Dyn 11: 115–128

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stephenson DB, Charvin F, Royer JF (1998) Simulation of the Asian summer monsoon and its dependence on model horizontal resolution. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 76: 237–265

    Google Scholar 

  • Stuber N, Sausen R, Ponater M (2001) Stratosphere adjusted radiative forcing calculations in a comprehensive climate model. Theor Appl Climatol 68: 125–135

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Timbal B, Mahfouf JF, Royer JF, Cubasch U, Murphy JM (1997) Comparison between double CO2 time slice and coupled experiments. J Clim 10: 1463–1469

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wild M, Ohmura A, Cubasch U (1997) GCM simulated surface energy fluxes in climate change experiments. J Clim 10: 3093–3110

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Williamson DL (1999) Convergence of atmospheric simulations with increasing horizontal resolution and fixed forcing scale. Tellus 51A: 663–673

    Google Scholar 

  • Williamson DL, Hack JJ, Kiehl JT (1995) Climate sensitivity of the NCAR Community Climate model (CCM2) to horizontal resolution. Clim Dyn 11: 377–397

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Williamson DL, Olson JG, Boville BA (1998) A comparison of semi-Lagrangian and Eulerian tropical climate simulations. Mon Weather Rev 126: 1001–1012

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wellck RE, Kasahara A, Washington WM, Santo G (1971) Effect of horizontal resolution in a finite difference model of the general circulation. Mon Weather Rev 99: 673–683

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements.

This work was performed under the auspices of the US Department of Energy by the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory under contract W-7405-Eng-48. We thank Drs. Karl Taylor and Mike Wehner of PCMDI, Dr. I. Held of GFDL and Dr. Ken Caldeira of LLNL for their interest in this work. We also thank Dr. J. Hack of NCAR for his encouraging comments and help in this study.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to B. Govindasamy.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Govindasamy, B., Duffy, P.B. & Coquard, J. High-resolution simulations of global climate, part 2: effects of increased greenhouse cases. Climate Dynamics 21, 391–404 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-003-0340-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-003-0340-6

Keywords

Navigation