Environmental Management

, Volume 30, Issue 3, pp 391–405

Modeling the Spatial Dynamics of Regional Land Use: The CLUE-S Model

Authors

  • PETER H. VERBURG
    • Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P.O. Box 37, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
  • WELMOED SOEPBOER
    • Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P.O. Box 37, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
  • A. VELDKAMP
    • Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P.O. Box 37, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
  • RAMIL LIMPIADA
    • Department of Geography, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia
  • VICTORIA ESPALDON
    • School of Environmental Science and Management, University of the Philippines Los Baños, College, Laguna, 4031, Philippines
  • SHARIFAH S.A. MASTURA
    • Department of Geography, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia
Article

DOI: 10.1007/s00267-002-2630-x

Cite this article as:
VERBURG, P., SOEPBOER, W., VELDKAMP, A. et al. Environmental Management (2002) 30: 391. doi:10.1007/s00267-002-2630-x

Abstract

Land-use change models are important tools for integrated environmental management. Through scenario analysis they can help to identify near-future critical locations in the face of environmental change. A dynamic, spatially explicit, land-use change model is presented for the regional scale: CLUE-S. The model is specifically developed for the analysis of land use in small regions (e.g., a watershed or province) at a fine spatial resolution. The model structure is based on systems theory to allow the integrated analysis of land-use change in relation to socio-economic and biophysical driving factors. The model explicitly addresses the hierarchical organization of land use systems, spatial connectivity between locations and stability. Stability is incorporated by a set of variables that define the relative elasticity of the actual land-use type to conversion. The user can specify these settings based on expert knowledge or survey data. Two applications of the model in the Philippines and Malaysia are used to illustrate the functioning of the model and its validation.

KEY WORDS: Land-use change; Modeling; Systems approach; Scenario analysis; Natural resources management

Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag New York Inc. 2002