, Volume 18, Issue 1-2, pp 21-41

The application of evolution models in scientometrics

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According to the connection between field mobility and coupled manpower growth processes in a system of scientific fields a deterministic, stochastic and continuous version of an evolution model is presented. Some simulation results on base of the stochastic model are given in Section 5 and compared with corresponding trend analyses of the deterministic model. Several interesting effects, as delayed growth and temporal disappearance as well as rapid growth and overshooting of a new field, are shown by the simulations.